Howden Joinery Group Plc

OTCPK:HWDJ.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.0b

Howden Joinery Group Valuation

Is HWDJ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of HWDJ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: HWDJ.F ($11) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($13.3)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: HWDJ.F is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HWDJ.F?

Key metric: As HWDJ.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HWDJ.F. This is calculated by dividing HWDJ.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HWDJ.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.1x
EarningsUK£267.70m
Market CapUK£4.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HWDJ.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HWDJ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26x
RUSH.A Rush Enterprises
21.2x11.45%US$5.7b
MSM MSC Industrial Direct
31.3x10.67%US$6.5b
SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply
32.4x17.37%US$4.7b
GATX GATX
19x12.41%US$6.3b
HWDJ.F Howden Joinery Group
17.1x5.96%US$4.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HWDJ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the peer average (26x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HWDJ.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TLIH Ten-League International Holdings
2.9xn/aUS$12.85m
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.8xn/aUS$8.94m
AMMX AmeraMex International
2.3xn/aUS$2.49m
No more companies available in this PE range
HWDJ.F 17.1xIndustry Avg. 24.8xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HWDJ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HWDJ.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HWDJ.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HWDJ.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HWDJ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$13.21
0%
9.91%US$15.93US$11.85n/a16
Jun ’27US$10.00
US$13.52
+35.20%
9.99%US$16.29US$12.11n/a16
May ’27US$10.32
US$13.54
+31.18%
9.99%US$16.31US$12.13n/a16
Apr ’27n/a
US$13.39
0%
9.73%US$16.06US$11.94n/a16
Mar ’27n/a
US$13.47
0%
9.72%US$16.31US$12.13n/a16
Feb ’27US$11.32
US$12.95
+14.39%
9.24%US$16.19US$11.77n/a16
Jan ’27US$11.32
US$12.79
+12.95%
8.80%US$16.15US$11.75n/a15
Dec ’26n/a
US$12.66
0%
9.16%US$16.02US$11.34n/a15
Nov ’26US$11.01
US$12.60
+14.46%
9.19%US$15.90US$11.24n/a15
Oct ’26US$10.94
US$12.87
+17.70%
8.93%US$16.26US$11.50n/a16
Sep ’26US$11.51
US$12.77
+10.94%
9.08%US$16.16US$11.43n/a15
Aug ’26US$12.40
US$12.63
+1.86%
9.40%US$15.98US$11.30n/a14
Jul ’26US$11.94
US$12.83
+7.48%
11.02%US$16.61US$11.31n/a14
Jun ’26n/a
US$12.41
0%
11.31%US$16.10US$10.91US$10.0014
May ’26US$10.00
US$12.37
+23.71%
11.40%US$16.07US$10.89US$10.3214
Apr ’26US$9.57
US$12.06
+26.06%
11.40%US$15.67US$10.62n/a14
Mar ’26US$10.46
US$11.74
+12.27%
11.20%US$15.22US$10.32n/a14
Feb ’26US$10.10
US$11.77
+16.50%
9.89%US$14.73US$10.33US$11.3213
Jan ’26US$9.48
US$12.36
+30.36%
9.77%US$15.43US$10.83US$11.3213
Dec ’25US$10.30
US$12.01
+16.60%
12.48%US$15.24US$8.56n/a13
Nov ’25US$11.96
US$13.05
+9.11%
11.91%US$16.15US$9.08US$11.0114
Oct ’25US$12.60
US$13.05
+3.57%
11.91%US$16.15US$9.08US$10.9414
Sep ’25US$12.60
US$12.63
+0.21%
12.06%US$15.72US$8.83US$11.5114
Aug ’25US$11.65
US$12.43
+6.71%
11.81%US$15.53US$8.73US$12.4014
Jul ’25US$10.97
US$11.85
+7.97%
11.93%US$15.30US$8.60US$11.9414
Jun ’25US$11.57
US$11.37
-1.71%
13.59%US$14.66US$8.52n/a15
US$13.04
Fair Value
15.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/25 14:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/11 00:00
Earnings2025/12/27
Annual Earnings2025/12/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Howden Joinery Group Plc is covered by 27 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Emily BiddulphBarclays
Rajesh PatkiBarclays
Harry GoadBerenberg