Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:HTCM.Y Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.6b

Hitachi Construction Machinery Valuation

Is HTCM.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HTCM.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HTCM.Y ($43.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($83.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HTCM.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HTCM.Y?

Key metric: As HTCM.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HTCM.Y. This is calculated by dividing HTCM.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HTCM.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsJP¥78.27b
Market CapJP¥718.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HTCM.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HTCM.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
FSS Federal Signal
27.5x7.5%US$5.9b
TEX Terex
7.7x1.2%US$3.6b
ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies
20.5x11.7%US$3.7b
OSK Oshkosh
10.7x7.2%US$7.3b
HTCM.Y Hitachi Construction Machinery
9.2x9.3%US$718.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HTCM.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HTCM.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
1.9xn/aUS$421.66m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.8x-46.6%US$78.29m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
HTCM.Y 9.2xIndustry Avg. 25.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HTCM.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (25x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HTCM.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HTCM.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HTCM.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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