BOC Aviation Valuation

Is BCVV.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BCVV.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BCVV.F ($8.13) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BCVV.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BCVV.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BCVV.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BCVV.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BCVV.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.8x
BCC Boise Cascade
11x0.5%US$5.2b
AL Air Lease
9.9x6.3%US$5.6b
MSM MSC Industrial Direct
16.3x9.9%US$5.1b
GATX GATX
18x7.6%US$4.4b
BCVV.F BOC Aviation
7.3x5.9%US$43.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BCVV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BCVV.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BCVV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BCVV.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BCVV.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BCVV.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BCVV.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.13
US$9.43
+16.1%
5.6%US$10.40US$8.31n/a14
Apr ’25US$7.66
US$9.44
+23.2%
5.7%US$10.40US$8.31n/a14
Mar ’25US$7.20
US$9.36
+30.0%
6.7%US$10.42US$8.02n/a14
Feb ’25US$7.36
US$9.36
+27.1%
6.7%US$10.42US$8.03n/a14
Jan ’25US$7.43
US$9.33
+25.5%
6.5%US$10.42US$8.03n/a14
Dec ’24US$6.83
US$9.32
+36.5%
6.5%US$10.40US$8.03n/a14
Nov ’24n/a
US$9.35
0%
6.2%US$10.40US$8.03n/a14
Oct ’24n/a
US$9.48
0%
4.8%US$10.40US$8.68n/a15
Sep ’24US$7.27
US$9.48
+30.3%
4.8%US$10.40US$8.68n/a15
Aug ’24US$8.09
US$9.53
+17.8%
5.9%US$10.42US$8.28n/a14
Jul ’24US$7.93
US$9.51
+20.0%
5.9%US$10.38US$8.28n/a14
Jun ’24US$7.69
US$9.51
+23.7%
5.8%US$10.37US$8.28n/a14
May ’24US$7.62
US$9.51
+24.8%
5.8%US$10.37US$8.28US$8.1314
Apr ’24n/a
US$9.60
0%
5.5%US$10.37US$8.28US$7.6613
Mar ’24n/a
US$9.57
0%
5.1%US$10.15US$8.30US$7.2013
Feb ’24US$8.32
US$9.57
+15.0%
5.1%US$10.15US$8.30US$7.3613
Jan ’24US$8.08
US$9.50
+17.7%
5.4%US$10.15US$8.30US$7.4313
Dec ’23US$7.86
US$9.42
+19.9%
5.2%US$10.09US$8.30US$6.8313
Nov ’23n/a
US$9.44
0%
5.4%US$10.09US$8.29n/a12
Oct ’23US$7.06
US$9.85
+39.6%
15.3%US$14.79US$8.29n/a13
Sep ’23US$7.84
US$9.85
+25.6%
15.3%US$14.79US$8.29US$7.2713
Aug ’23US$8.03
US$9.83
+22.4%
16.3%US$14.79US$7.90US$8.0913
Jul ’23US$8.24
US$9.82
+19.1%
16.6%US$14.79US$8.20US$7.9312
Jun ’23US$8.12
US$9.77
+20.4%
17.4%US$14.79US$8.20US$7.6911
May ’23US$7.79
US$9.77
+25.4%
17.4%US$14.79US$8.20US$7.6211

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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