BOC Aviation Limited

OTCPK:BCVV.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.4b

BOC Aviation Valuation

Is BCVV.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BCVV.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$24.46
Fair Value
70.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BCVV.F ($7.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($24.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BCVV.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BCVV.F?

Key metric: As BCVV.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BCVV.F. This is calculated by dividing BCVV.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BCVV.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.6x
EarningsUS$962.35m
Market CapUS$5.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BCVV.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BCVV.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
GATX GATX
20.3x7.1%US$5.5b
MSM MSC Industrial Direct
19.4x8.8%US$4.6b
AL Air Lease
10.5x12.6%US$5.1b
SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply
43.4x20.4%US$6.2b
BCVV.F BOC Aviation
5.6x-3.6%US$42.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BCVV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BCVV.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MWG Multi Ways Holdings
1.4xn/aUS$9.18m
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.8xn/aUS$8.94m
No more companies available in this PE range
BCVV.F 5.6xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BCVV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BCVV.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BCVV.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BCVV.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BCVV.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.30
US$9.97
+36.5%
3.5%US$10.52US$9.26n/a11
Jan ’26n/a
US$10.01
0%
3.9%US$10.55US$9.26n/a11
Dec ’25US$7.35
US$9.95
+35.4%
4.8%US$10.55US$8.95n/a13
Nov ’25US$7.61
US$9.88
+29.8%
5.2%US$10.55US$8.95n/a14
Oct ’25US$8.16
US$9.87
+21.0%
5.2%US$10.52US$8.95n/a14
Sep ’25n/a
US$9.83
0%
5.3%US$10.52US$8.95n/a15
Aug ’25US$8.23
US$9.53
+15.8%
4.6%US$10.43US$8.83n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
US$9.45
0%
5.6%US$10.40US$8.31n/a15
Jun ’25US$7.80
US$9.40
+20.6%
5.6%US$10.40US$8.31n/a15
May ’25US$8.13
US$9.44
+16.1%
5.6%US$10.40US$8.31n/a14
Apr ’25US$7.66
US$9.44
+23.2%
5.7%US$10.40US$8.31n/a14
Mar ’25US$7.20
US$9.36
+30.0%
6.7%US$10.42US$8.02n/a14
Feb ’25US$7.36
US$9.36
+27.1%
6.7%US$10.42US$8.03n/a14
Jan ’25US$7.43
US$9.33
+25.5%
6.5%US$10.42US$8.03n/a14
Dec ’24US$6.83
US$9.32
+36.5%
6.5%US$10.40US$8.03US$7.3514
Nov ’24n/a
US$9.35
0%
6.2%US$10.40US$8.03US$7.6114
Oct ’24n/a
US$9.48
0%
4.8%US$10.40US$8.68US$8.1615
Sep ’24US$7.27
US$9.48
+30.3%
4.8%US$10.40US$8.68n/a15
Aug ’24US$8.09
US$9.53
+17.8%
5.9%US$10.42US$8.28US$8.2314
Jul ’24US$7.93
US$9.51
+20.0%
5.9%US$10.38US$8.28n/a14
Jun ’24US$7.69
US$9.51
+23.7%
5.8%US$10.37US$8.28US$7.8014
May ’24US$7.62
US$9.51
+24.8%
5.8%US$10.37US$8.28US$8.1314
Apr ’24n/a
US$9.60
0%
5.5%US$10.37US$8.28US$7.6613
Mar ’24n/a
US$9.57
0%
5.1%US$10.15US$8.30US$7.2013
Feb ’24US$8.32
US$9.57
+15.0%
5.1%US$10.15US$8.30US$7.3613
Jan ’24US$8.08
US$9.50
+17.7%
5.4%US$10.15US$8.30US$7.4313
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
US$9.32
Fair Value
21.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/15 08:31
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/14 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

BOC Aviation Limited is covered by 28 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James TeoBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Wenzhou HuBOCI Research Ltd.
Yifan ZhouBOCI Research Ltd.