Wabash National Corporation

NYSE:WNC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.0b

Wabash National Valuation

Is WNC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WNC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WNC ($22.45) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($10.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WNC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WNC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

WNC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.1x
PEG Ratio-0.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WNC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WNC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
MLR Miller Industries
10.8x11.0%US$712.5m
ASTE Astec Industries
30.5x23.5%US$757.4m
BLBD Blue Bird
19.8x13.4%US$1.6b
REVG REV Group
5.3x-54.9%US$1.3b
WNC Wabash National
5.1x-31.5%US$1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WNC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WNC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WNC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (20.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WNC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WNC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.1x
Fair PE Ratio5.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WNC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WNC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$22.45
US$26.50
+18.0%
13.2%US$30.00US$23.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$21.52
US$26.50
+23.1%
13.2%US$30.00US$23.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$22.61
US$27.33
+20.9%
7.5%US$30.00US$25.00n/a3
May ’25US$22.69
US$27.33
+20.5%
7.5%US$30.00US$25.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$28.98
US$27.67
-4.5%
7.4%US$30.00US$25.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$26.86
US$27.67
+3.0%
7.4%US$30.00US$25.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$26.72
US$25.67
-3.9%
12.9%US$30.00US$22.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$25.62
US$25.00
-2.4%
14.2%US$30.00US$22.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$22.47
US$24.67
+9.8%
15.6%US$30.00US$21.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$21.36
US$24.67
+15.5%
15.6%US$30.00US$21.00n/a3
Oct ’24US$21.12
US$27.67
+31.0%
11.2%US$32.00US$25.00n/a3
Sep ’24US$23.11
US$31.33
+35.6%
13.1%US$36.00US$26.00n/a3
Aug ’24US$23.79
US$31.33
+31.7%
13.1%US$36.00US$26.00n/a3
Jul ’24US$25.64
US$31.75
+23.8%
11.4%US$36.00US$26.00US$21.524
Jun ’24US$24.07
US$31.70
+31.7%
9.0%US$36.00US$27.50US$22.615
May ’24US$25.72
US$31.63
+23.0%
10.1%US$36.00US$27.50US$22.694
Apr ’24US$24.59
US$31.38
+27.6%
9.1%US$35.00US$27.50US$28.984
Mar ’24US$27.49
US$31.13
+13.2%
9.7%US$35.00US$27.50US$26.864
Feb ’24US$26.18
US$24.75
-5.5%
19.9%US$29.00US$17.00US$26.724
Jan ’24US$22.60
US$22.25
-1.5%
19.9%US$29.00US$17.00US$25.624
Dec ’23US$25.69
US$22.25
-13.4%
19.9%US$29.00US$17.00US$22.474
Nov ’23US$22.08
US$21.25
-3.8%
14.3%US$25.00US$17.00US$21.364
Oct ’23US$15.56
US$20.25
+30.1%
14.6%US$25.00US$17.00US$21.124
Sep ’23US$16.39
US$20.25
+23.6%
14.6%US$25.00US$17.00US$23.114
Aug ’23US$18.41
US$20.25
+10.0%
14.6%US$25.00US$17.00US$23.794
Jul ’23US$13.69
US$20.25
+47.9%
17.2%US$25.00US$16.00US$25.644

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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