Stock Analysis

V2X (VVX): Evaluating Valuation After $84 Million Navy Contract Win Highlights Defense Momentum

V2X announced it secured an $84 million task order with the U.S. Navy, extending its efforts in building a reliable water supply system at Red Hill, Hawaii. This contract highlights V2X's established role in supporting military projects.

See our latest analysis for V2X.

V2X’s announcement comes after a period of renewed momentum in its share price, with a 14% gain over the past 90 days and a year-to-date increase of 17%. Despite some recent volatility, including a 4.4% drop in the last session, the company’s 3-year total shareholder return remains robust at 54%, even as the 1-year total return has been negative. This mix of short-term growth and longer-term outperformance suggests investors are weighing both V2X's current contract wins and its overall trajectory.

If contract-driven moves have you curious about what else is taking off in the sector, check out See the full list for free.

But with shares up double-digits from their recent lows and the latest contract win in the spotlight, is V2X truly undervalued at these levels, or has the market already factored in future growth potential?

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Most Popular Narrative: 13% Undervalued

With V2X closing at $55.76, the most widely followed narrative pegs fair value materially above that, reflecting optimism around future growth and margins.

The company is experiencing substantial growth in its addressable market due to rising global defense spending, particularly driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and military threats. This is evident in its robust $50 billion pipeline and recent major contract wins, which are expected to support long-term revenue growth.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know what’s fueling this valuation? The narrative hinges on ambitious growth assumptions for both earnings and profit margins, backed by expectations of accelerating market demand and transformative industry shifts. The full story reveals the exact forecasts and bold projections that anchor this price target. Curious about the numbers behind the optimism? Find out what stands out when you read more.

Result: Fair Value of $64.09 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, a slowdown in new contract awards or continued delays in international projects could challenge V2X's ability to sustain its current growth expectations.

Find out about the key risks to this V2X narrative.

Build Your Own V2X Narrative

If you have a different perspective or prefer digging into the details yourself, you can easily build your own V2X view in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your V2X research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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