Stock Analysis

V2X, Inc. Just Recorded A 30% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Published
NYSE:VVX

Investors in V2X, Inc. (NYSE:VVX) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.7% to close at US$47.24 following the release of its annual results. Revenues were US$4.3b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$1.08, an impressive 30% ahead of estimates. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for V2X

NYSE:VVX Earnings and Revenue Growth February 27th 2025

After the latest results, the ten analysts covering V2X are now predicting revenues of US$4.47b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a modest 3.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 87% to US$2.06. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$4.46b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.02 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$66.40. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic V2X analyst has a price target of US$80.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$52.00. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the V2X's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that V2X's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.4% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 28% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.8% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that V2X is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for V2X going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with V2X , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.