Vista Outdoor Inc.

NYSE:VSTO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.6b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Vista Outdoor Valuation

Is VSTO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VSTO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VSTO ($44.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($135.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VSTO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VSTO?

Key metric: As VSTO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VSTO. This is calculated by dividing VSTO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VSTO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$2.69b
Market CapUS$2.61b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VSTO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VSTO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
YETI YETI Holdings
1.9x6.9%US$3.4b
PII Polaris
0.5x-0.2%US$3.8b
PTON Peloton Interactive
1.4x-0.2%US$3.7b
GOLF Acushnet Holdings
1.8x3.6%US$4.5b
VSTO Vista Outdoor
1x2.4%US$2.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VSTO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VSTO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VVX V2X
0.5x4.9%US$1.90b
LLAP Terran Orbital
0.4x29.5%US$51.22m
SIF SIFCO Industries
0.2xn/aUS$23.79m
AIRI Air Industries Group
0.3x8.9%US$15.28m
VSTO 1.0xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies10PS0246810+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VSTO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VSTO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VSTO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VSTO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VSTO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$44.63
US$42.27
-5.3%
4.5%US$45.00US$40.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$43.99
US$42.22
-4.0%
4.0%US$45.00US$40.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$38.85
US$41.85
+7.7%
3.2%US$44.00US$40.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$40.04
US$41.85
+4.5%
3.2%US$44.00US$40.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$40.36
US$41.62
+3.1%
1.9%US$43.00US$41.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$37.34
US$40.25
+7.8%
5.4%US$43.00US$37.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$34.88
US$38.00
+8.9%
6.4%US$41.00US$34.00n/a5
May ’25US$34.95
US$37.00
+5.9%
7.3%US$40.00US$33.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$32.50
US$35.00
+7.7%
8.2%US$40.00US$31.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$33.23
US$35.00
+5.3%
8.2%US$40.00US$31.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$30.51
US$33.00
+8.2%
11.3%US$40.00US$29.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$29.57
US$33.00
+11.6%
11.3%US$40.00US$29.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$28.52
US$33.50
+17.5%
14.4%US$40.00US$26.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$25.50
US$34.00
+33.3%
17.4%US$40.00US$25.00US$43.995
Oct ’24US$33.12
US$38.40
+15.9%
15.0%US$47.00US$29.00US$38.855
Sep ’24US$29.35
US$38.40
+30.8%
15.0%US$47.00US$29.00US$40.045
Aug ’24US$31.07
US$38.40
+23.6%
15.0%US$47.00US$29.00US$40.365
Jul ’24US$27.67
US$38.20
+38.1%
15.9%US$47.00US$28.00US$37.345
Jun ’24US$26.21
US$37.00
+41.2%
12.6%US$41.00US$28.00US$34.885
May ’24US$24.64
US$36.20
+46.9%
13.9%US$41.00US$27.00US$34.955
Apr ’24US$27.71
US$36.20
+30.6%
13.9%US$41.00US$27.00US$32.505
Mar ’24US$28.53
US$34.67
+21.5%
16.5%US$41.00US$27.00US$33.236
Feb ’24US$29.87
US$36.83
+23.3%
21.0%US$45.00US$26.00US$30.516
Jan ’24US$24.37
US$38.29
+57.1%
20.9%US$47.00US$26.00US$29.577
Dec ’23US$28.26
US$38.29
+35.5%
20.9%US$47.00US$26.00US$28.527
Nov ’23US$29.34
US$44.43
+51.4%
25.9%US$57.00US$26.00US$25.507

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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