Peloton Interactive, Inc.

NasdaqGS:PTON Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.6b

Peloton Interactive Valuation

Is PTON undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PTON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PTON ($8.96) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PTON is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PTON?

Key metric: As PTON is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PTON. This is calculated by dividing PTON's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PTON's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesUS$2.69b
Market CapUS$3.58b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PTON's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PTON vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
BC Brunswick
0.8x3.2%US$4.3b
GOLF Acushnet Holdings
1.8x3.6%US$4.3b
PII Polaris
0.4x-0.2%US$3.2b
YETI YETI Holdings
1.8x6.9%US$3.3b
PTON Peloton Interactive
1.3x-0.1%US$3.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PTON is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PTON's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Leisure Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DTC Solo Brands
0.1x3.8%US$102.67m
BFXX.Q BowFlex
0.00003xn/aUS$3.64k
No more companies available in this PS range
PTON 1.3xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies6PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PTON is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the US Leisure industry average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PTON's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PTON PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PTON is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PTON forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.96
US$9.13
+1.9%
36.4%US$20.00US$5.00n/a17
Dec ’25US$10.34
US$8.20
-20.7%
44.7%US$20.00US$2.50n/a17
Nov ’25US$7.25
US$7.64
+5.4%
51.2%US$20.00US$2.50n/a17
Oct ’25US$4.34
US$5.33
+22.8%
68.0%US$20.00US$2.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$4.66
US$5.31
+13.8%
68.5%US$20.00US$2.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$3.32
US$4.82
+45.2%
79.4%US$20.00US$2.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$3.25
US$4.86
+49.6%
78.3%US$20.00US$2.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$3.64
US$4.77
+31.0%
78.3%US$20.00US$2.00n/a20
May ’25US$3.22
US$5.82
+80.9%
61.7%US$20.00US$2.50n/a21
Apr ’25US$4.28
US$5.98
+39.7%
58.6%US$20.00US$3.00n/a21
Mar ’25US$4.60
US$6.10
+32.7%
56.5%US$20.00US$3.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$4.21
US$6.65
+57.8%
53.3%US$20.00US$3.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$6.09
US$7.42
+21.9%
50.7%US$20.00US$3.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$6.22
US$7.55
+21.4%
51.7%US$20.00US$3.00US$10.3423
Nov ’24US$4.81
US$7.79
+61.9%
38.7%US$14.00US$4.00US$7.2522
Oct ’24US$5.05
US$8.16
+61.6%
37.1%US$14.00US$4.00US$4.3422
Sep ’24US$6.55
US$8.64
+31.9%
42.7%US$20.00US$4.00US$4.6622
Aug ’24US$9.61
US$12.04
+25.3%
37.6%US$20.00US$4.50US$3.3224
Jul ’24US$7.69
US$12.04
+56.6%
37.6%US$20.00US$4.50US$3.2524
Jun ’24US$7.73
US$12.42
+60.7%
34.8%US$20.00US$4.50US$3.6424
May ’24US$9.07
US$15.34
+69.1%
31.5%US$22.00US$4.50US$3.2224
Apr ’24US$11.34
US$15.24
+34.4%
31.1%US$22.00US$4.50US$4.2825
Mar ’24US$12.66
US$15.52
+22.6%
30.9%US$22.00US$4.50US$4.6025
Feb ’24US$16.36
US$13.18
-19.4%
31.4%US$20.00US$4.50US$4.2125
Jan ’24US$7.94
US$12.65
+59.3%
27.8%US$20.00US$5.00US$6.0927
Dec ’23US$11.77
US$12.63
+7.3%
28.4%US$20.00US$5.00US$6.2226

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 23:00
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Peloton Interactive, Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Jasper HellwegArgus Research Company
Jonathan KompBaird