Trane Technologies plc

NYSE:TT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$103.0b

Trane Technologies Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Trane Technologies is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.9% and 8.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 37.2% in 3 years.

Key information

12.9%

Earnings growth rate

13.22%

EPS growth rate

Building earnings growth20.3%
Revenue growth rate8.3%
Future return on equity37.17%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 07

Trane Technologies: Setup Remains Attractive

Summary I reiterate my buy rating on Trane Technologies (TT) as commercial HVAC demand and order momentum continue to strengthen, supporting future topline growth. Q1 saw Americas orders accelerate to 29%, with Commercial HVAC up >40% and Applied orders up >160%, boosting growth visibility into 2H26 and beyond. TT's strong domestic manufacturing footprint minimizes tariff risks, enhancing its competitive position and pricing power amid recent Section 232 tariff updates. While margins remain mixed, upgraded guidance and easing residential headwinds reinforce the investment thesis for continued upside in TT. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 03

TT: AI Thermal Management And Training Investments Will Support Balanced Long-Term Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Trane Technologies from $484.54 to $517.69, citing updated assumptions that include slightly higher revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, a small adjustment to the discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Raised full-year 2026 earnings guidance, with reported revenue growth expected at about 9.5% and GAAP and adjusted continuing EPS targeted in a range of $14.75 to $14.95.
Narrative Update Apr 19

TT: AI Thermal Management And Training Investments Will Support Balanced Long-Term Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Trane Technologies higher to about $485 from roughly $480, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Opened the Trane Advanced Technology Training Center at the North America headquarters in Davidson, North Carolina, a 45,000 square foot facility that can support up to 4,500 students and more than 100,000 training hours per year for commercial HVAC technicians.
Narrative Update Apr 04

TT: AI Thermal Management And Cold Climate Solutions Will Support Stronger Long-Term Outlook

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Trane Technologies by about $0.14 per share, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Trane Technologies completed all required U.S. Department of Energy laboratory testing for its 10-14 ton and 15-25 ton rooftop units in the Commercial Building HVAC Technology Challenge and moved into field trials at two sites in Illinois and Wisconsin, aimed at validating performance, reliability, and energy savings (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 21

TT: AI Data Center Expansion And Rising Capital Returns Will Support A Balanced Outlook

Analysts now hold their price target on Trane Technologies steady at $394.00, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E as the key drivers behind the unchanged view. What's in the News Trane Technologies announced major enhancements to its thermal management reference design for gigawatt scale AI factories and introduced two Trane Continuum Rubin DSX reference designs, engineered to integrate with the NVIDIA Omniverse DSX Blueprint for AI data centers, targeting a nearly 10% improvement in overall thermal management performance versus the prior 1 gigawatt design and expanding options for large scale AI deployments (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 07

TT: AI Efficiency, Data Center Demand And Dividends Will Support A Balanced Outlook

Analysts now set their price target for Trane Technologies at $394, up from about $389.79. This reflects updated views on slightly higher revenue growth expectations and a modest adjustment to margins and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Feb 21

TT: AI Energy Efficiency Initiatives And Capital Returns Will Support Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Trane Technologies by about $4 to reflect slightly adjusted assumptions around discount rates and profitability, while still factoring in updated views on revenue growth and future P/E levels. What's in the News Board approved a 12% increase in the company dividend, with a quarterly payment of $1.05 per ordinary share, or $4.20 per share annualized, payable March 31, 2026, to shareholders of record on March 6, 2026 (Dividend Increases).
Analysis Article Feb 07

Trane Technologies' (NYSE:TT) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Trane Technologies plc ( NYSE:TT ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 31st of March...
Narrative Update Feb 06

TT: AI Energy Efficiency Partnerships And Capital Returns Will Support Measured Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Trane Technologies by about $4, reflecting revised assumptions around fair value, revenue, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Board approves a 12% dividend increase, setting the quarterly dividend at $1.05 per ordinary share, or $4.20 per share on an annualized basis, payable March 31, 2026, to shareholders of record on March 6, 2026 (Dividend Increases).
Narrative Update Jan 23

TT: AI Energy Savings And Data Center Solutions Will Support A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Trane Technologies from about $345 to roughly $390, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that reflect their latest view of the company’s risk and earnings profile. What's in the News Trane Technologies and Amazon reported results from an AI driven project using BrainBox AI and AWS that reduced energy use by nearly 15% at three Amazon Grocery fulfillment facilities, with plans to roll out across more than 30 additional U.S. sites and pilot in grocery stores starting in 2026 (Client Announcements).
Narrative Update Jan 09

TT: AI Building Decarbonization And Data Center Cooling Will Support Future Upside

Analysts now see slightly less upside for Trane Technologies, trimming their fair value estimate from about US$482.28 to around US$479.91, citing updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Trane Technologies and Amazon reported results from an AI powered building decarbonization project using BrainBox AI and AWS.
Narrative Update Dec 17

TT: AI Building And Data Center Solutions Will Drive Future Margin Upside

Analysts slightly raised their price target on Trane Technologies by approximately 0.1 percent to about $482 per share, citing modest improvements in long term profit margin expectations and a marginally higher forward earnings multiple, despite largely unchanged growth and discount rate assumptions. What's in the News Trane Technologies completed the acquisition of BrainBox AI, expanding its AI driven building decarbonization and energy optimization capabilities after more than two years of prior collaboration.
Narrative Update Dec 03

TT: AI Building Solutions Will Drive Stronger Margins And Upside Ahead

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Trane Technologies to approximately $482 per share, reflecting slightly higher assumed discount rates and future valuation multiples, while maintaining their outlook on revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Trane Technologies and Amazon reported that an AI driven building decarbonization project at three Amazon Grocery fulfillment centers cut energy use by nearly 15%, more than double initial targets.
Narrative Update Nov 19

TT: Share Buybacks And AI Solutions Will Drive Stronger Margins Ahead

Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Lifted for Trane Technologies Analysts have raised their price target for Trane Technologies from $477.69 to $482.02, citing improvements in profit margin expectations along with slight adjustments to growth and discount rate assumptions. What's in the News Issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full-year 2025, projecting approximately 3% organic revenue growth for Q4, 7% full-year reported revenue growth, and GAAP continuing EPS of $13.15 to $13.25 for 2025 (guidance announcement).
Narrative Update Nov 03

TT: Share Repurchases And Margin Strength Will Support Long-Term Performance

Analysts have increased their price target for Trane Technologies from $463.08 to $477.69. This reflects expectations of stronger profit margins and sustained company performance.
Narrative Update Oct 20

Commercial HVAC Energy Efficiency Will Drive Future Success

Analysts have raised their price target for Trane Technologies to $463.08 from $457.60, citing improving growth and profitability projections as key factors behind the upward revision. What's in the News Trane Technologies introduced AI Control, an AI-powered solution that analyzes building data such as occupancy, weather, and energy use to automatically optimize HVAC operations for efficiency and sustainability.
Analysis Article Sep 07

Investors Shouldn't Overlook Trane Technologies' (NYSE:TT) Impressive Returns On Capital

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things...
Analysis Article Jul 15

Is Trane Technologies plc (NYSE:TT) Potentially Undervalued?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Trane Technologies plc ( NYSE:TT ). The company's stock led...
Analysis Article May 20

Trane Technologies (NYSE:TT) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to...
Analysis Article May 20

What Trane Technologies plc's (NYSE:TT) 29% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Trane Technologies plc ( NYSE:TT ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
Seeking Alpha Mar 20

Trane Technologies: Great Year, Which Will Be Tough To Beat Going Forward

Summary Trane Technologies plc showed strong performance in 2024, with 12% revenue growth, improved margins, and high ROA and ROE, indicating efficient management. Despite a solid financial position, Trane faces challenges in 2025, including slowing sales growth, potential tariff impacts, and a weak transport sector. TT expects residential HVAC demand to stabilize and sees significant growth potential in the data center cooling segment. Given market uncertainty and potential downside risks, I recommend staying on the sidelines and monitoring the economic situation closely. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 11

Trane Technologies Has Left The Station

Summary The stock of Trane Technologies plc has roughly tripled in value over the past two and a half years. The company delivered another solid quarter at the end of October and recently boosted its stock buyback authorization. However, the analyst community has turned mixed and slightly negative, mainly due to valuations. Can Trane Technologies continue to deliver the goods for shareholders?  An analysis follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 31

Trane Technologies Q3: Strong North America And Weak China

Summary Trane's Q3 shows strong business growth in North America, alongside some weakness in China. During the quarter, the Company experienced a significant revenue decline in China, with a 50% drop in bookings and a 45% decrease in revenue. The strong growth during the quarter was led by TT's North America business. More specifically, its residential HVAC business in North America grew by 20% year-over-year. I reiterate a ‘Strong Buy’ rating with a one-year target price of $425 per share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:TT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202827,4994,3444,2384,67012
12/31/202725,3103,7423,6204,03324
12/31/202623,3693,3013,3333,89822
3/31/202621,6032,9363,1373,481N/A
12/31/202521,3222,9562,8123,195N/A
9/30/202521,0512,9502,5332,936N/A
6/30/202520,7502,8742,8113,234N/A
3/31/202520,3112,7652,8323,238N/A
12/31/202419,8382,5932,7753,146N/A
9/30/202419,3882,4982,8523,181N/A
6/30/202418,8302,3502,4772,800N/A
3/31/202418,2272,1802,3212,628N/A
12/31/202317,6782,0512,0892,390N/A
9/30/202317,3271,9821,9092,215N/A
6/30/202316,8161,9051,5211,803N/A
3/31/202316,3021,8231,4071,701N/A
12/31/202215,9921,7781,2121,504N/A
9/30/202215,4871,6608671,171N/A
6/30/202214,8351,5237821,071N/A
3/31/202214,4741,4778861,140N/A
12/31/202114,1361,4441,3651,588N/A
9/30/202113,7461,3641,6091,788N/A
6/30/202113,5221,3512,1442,308N/A
3/31/202112,8311,1621,8672,023N/A
12/31/202012,4559771,2891,435N/A
9/30/202012,4599411,5321,675N/A
6/30/202012,4359171,2321,403N/A
3/31/202012,9141,0511,4531,645N/A
12/31/201913,0761,145N/A1,920N/A
9/30/201913,7871,184N/A1,564N/A
6/30/201914,3471,329N/A1,424N/A
3/31/201915,0871,374N/A1,421N/A
12/31/201812,3441,008N/A1,408N/A
9/30/201815,3911,601N/A1,548N/A
6/30/201815,0311,438N/A1,496N/A
3/31/201814,5821,334N/A1,501N/A
12/31/201714,1981,328N/A1,524N/A
9/30/201713,9381,037N/A1,278N/A
6/30/201713,8361,037N/A1,499N/A
3/31/201713,6151,441N/A1,486N/A
12/31/201613,5091,443N/A1,522N/A
9/30/201613,4761,478N/A1,715N/A
6/30/201613,3951,427N/A1,109N/A
3/31/201613,307756N/A969N/A
12/31/201513,301689N/A888N/A
9/30/201513,215667N/A729N/A
6/30/201513,114652N/A1,012N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TT's forecast earnings growth (12.9% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: TT's earnings (12.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TT's revenue (8.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TT's revenue (8.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TT's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (37.2%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/11 10:53
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/11 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Trane Technologies plc is covered by 39 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Robert CornellBarclays