Stock Analysis

Is Textainer Group Holdings (NYSE:TGH) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:TGH
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Textainer Group Holdings Limited (NYSE:TGH) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Textainer Group Holdings

What Is Textainer Group Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Textainer Group Holdings had US$5.69b of debt, an increase on US$5.15b, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$143.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$5.55b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:TGH Debt to Equity History December 6th 2022

How Healthy Is Textainer Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Textainer Group Holdings had liabilities of US$453.1m due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.35b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$143.7m as well as receivables valued at US$352.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$5.31b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$1.31b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Textainer Group Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Textainer Group Holdings has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.2 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.2 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. On the other hand, Textainer Group Holdings grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Textainer Group Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Textainer Group Holdings burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Textainer Group Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Textainer Group Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Textainer Group Holdings (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.