Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Stem, Inc.'s (NYSE:STEM) Revenues As Shares Take 51% Pounding

NYSE:STEM
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The Stem, Inc. (NYSE:STEM) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 51%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 91% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Stem may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electrical industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Stem

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:STEM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 9th 2024

What Does Stem's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Stem could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Stem's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Stem's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 32% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 46% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Stem is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Stem's P/S Mean For Investors?

Stem's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Electrical companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Stem maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Stem (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.