Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Redwire Corporation's (NYSE:RDW) Revenues Despite 28% Price Jump

Despite an already strong run, Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 362% gain over the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Redwire's P/S ratio of 2.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the United States is also close to 2.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Redwire

How Has Redwire Performed Recently?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Redwire's and the industry's revenue growth lately. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. Those who are bullish on Redwire will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Redwire.

How Is Redwire's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Redwire would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 27% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 142% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 3.1% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Redwire's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Redwire's P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Redwire currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Redwire that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.