Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Primoris Services Corporation's (NYSE:PRIM) Massive 26% Price Jump

NYSE:PRIM
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Primoris Services Corporation (NYSE:PRIM) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 93% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Primoris Services' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.3x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Primoris Services certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Primoris Services

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:PRIM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 10th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Primoris Services.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Primoris Services' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 23% last year. As a result, it also grew EPS by 22% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Primoris Services is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Primoris Services' P/E

Primoris Services shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Primoris Services' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Primoris Services that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Primoris Services. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.