Primoris Services (PRIM): Valuation Check After S&P 1000 Index Inclusion and Recent Share Price Strength
Primoris Services (PRIM) just secured a spot in the S&P 1000, a move that can quietly reshape who owns the stock as index funds and institutional investors adjust their portfolios.
See our latest analysis for Primoris Services.
The index inclusion caps a powerful run, with the share price up strongly this year and supported by a multi year total shareholder return that signals momentum is still firmly in Primoris Services favor.
If this kind of re rating story has your attention, it might be worth seeing which other infrastructure linked names are catching bids and exploring fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
With the stock up sharply and now trading near analyst targets, investors have to ask whether Primoris Services still offers mispriced value or if the market is already factoring in the next leg of growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 14% Undervalued
With Primoris Services last closing at $128.20 versus a narrative fair value of about $149, the current setup leans toward upside if the assumptions hold.
Surging demand from data center development, including $1.7 billion of potential contracts being pursued, is creating incremental, higher margin project opportunities across site prep, power generation, utility, and fiber network services, which is likely to lift future revenues and segment profitability.
Curious how steady mid single digit growth, rising margins, and a slightly lower future earnings multiple still point to upside from here? The narrative walks through the revenue build, margin path, and valuation bridge that underpin this higher fair value without assuming tech like growth. Want to see exactly how those moving parts stack up over the next few years?
Result: Fair Value of $149.08 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, execution missteps on large data center or renewable projects, along with renewed margin pressure in the Energy segment, could challenge the upside implied in this narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this Primoris Services narrative.
Another Angle on Value
Our DCF model paints a more cautious picture, with fair value closer to $111 versus today’s $128, suggesting the shares might now be overvalued rather than cheap. If cash flows disappoint or multiples compress, is the recent rerating already a step too far?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Primoris Services for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 902 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Build Your Own Primoris Services Narrative
If you see the story differently or want to stress test the numbers yourself, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes: Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Primoris Services research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Primoris Services might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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