Stock Analysis

Does Oshkosh Corporation's (NYSE:OSK) P/E Ratio Signal A Buying Opportunity?

NYSE:OSK
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This article is for investors who would like to improve their understanding of price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We'll look at Oshkosh Corporation's (NYSE:OSK) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company's share price. Oshkosh has a P/E ratio of 10.26, based on the last twelve months. In other words, at today's prices, investors are paying $10.26 for every $1 in prior year profit.

See our latest analysis for Oshkosh

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How Do You Calculate A P/E Ratio?

The formula for P/E is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for Oshkosh:

P/E of 10.26 = $73.57 ÷ $7.17 (Based on the year to December 2018.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio implies that investors pay a higher price for the earning power of the business. That isn't necessarily good or bad, but a high P/E implies relatively high expectations of what a company can achieve in the future.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. A lower P/E should indicate the stock is cheap relative to others -- and that may attract buyers.

Notably, Oshkosh grew EPS by a whopping 66% in the last year. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 13%. With that performance, I would expect it to have an above average P/E ratio.

How Does Oshkosh's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can get an indication of market expectations by looking at the P/E ratio. If you look at the image below, you can see Oshkosh has a lower P/E than the average (20) in the machinery industry classification.

NYSE:OSK Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 26th 2019
NYSE:OSK Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 26th 2019

This suggests that market participants think Oshkosh will underperform other companies in its industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with Oshkosh, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. It is arguably worth checking if insiders are buying shares, because that might imply they believe the stock is undervalued.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

Oshkosh's Balance Sheet

Oshkosh has net debt worth 13% of its market capitalization. It would probably deserve a higher P/E ratio if it was net cash, since it would have more options for growth.

The Bottom Line On Oshkosh's P/E Ratio

Oshkosh has a P/E of 10.3. That's below the average in the US market, which is 17.2. The company hasn't stretched its balance sheet, and earnings growth was good last year. If it continues to grow, then the current low P/E may prove to be unjustified.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. So this freevisualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

You might be able to find a better buy than Oshkosh. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this freelist of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.