Northrop Grumman Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Northrop Grumman is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12% and 3.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 25.6% in 3 years.
Key information
12.0%
Earnings growth rate
14.0%
EPS growth rate
Aerospace & Defense earnings growth | 14.5% |
Revenue growth rate | 3.8% |
Future return on equity | 25.6% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 17 Jan 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
These Return Metrics Don't Make Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) Look Too Strong
Jan 10Northrop Grumman: Double-Digit Free Cash Flow And Why I Am Buying More
Dec 12Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NYSE:NOC) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Dec 09Northrop Grumman Could Offer Investors A Lucrative Return
Nov 08A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC)
Oct 16Northrop Grumman: A High-Flying Defense Stock For Total Return Investors
Oct 13Northrop Grumman Doesn't Need War To Be A Great Investment
Oct 03Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Oct 01Growing Cash Flows, Strong Defense Demand Position Northrop Grumman For Long-Term Success
Sep 01Northrop Grumman's (NYSE:NOC) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Aug 31Northrop Grumman Q2 Preview: The Wait For Growth Catalysts Continues
Jul 22Investors Interested In Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NYSE:NOC) Earnings
Jul 11These 4 Measures Indicate That Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) Is Using Debt Extensively
Jun 24Northrop Grumman: Why It's A Buy Despite Weakening Margins And Recent Setbacks
Jun 14Estimating The Fair Value Of Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC)
Jun 09Undervalued And Misunderstood: Why Northrop Grumman Is A High-Conviction Buy
May 31Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
May 22Why Has Northrop Grumman Stock Underperformed?
May 07Northrop Grumman Corporation Just Recorded A 9.6% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Apr 27Northrop Grumman May Take The Year Off To Navigate Headwinds
Apr 04Undervalued And Underestimated: Why Northrop Grumman Is A Buy
Mar 27Does Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Mar 12Market Participants Recognise Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NYSE:NOC) Earnings
Feb 23Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) Shares Could Be 33% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Feb 09Seizing The Moment: Why I Just Bought Even More Northrop Grumman
Jan 27Northrop Grumman: A Worthy Investment
Jan 12Northrop Grumman - Why I Remain So Very Bullish
Dec 17Northrop Grumman Is A Great Company, But Unfortunately Still A Hold
Dec 04Northrop Grumman: Near-Term Risks But Long-Term Growth
Nov 14Northrop Grumman: Buy Or Hold On Global Tensions?
Nov 01Northrop Grumman: Shares Up After Terrorist Attacks On Israel, Near Fair Value
Oct 09Northrop Grumman: My Favorite High-Tech Investment
Sep 10Northrop Grumman: 4 Reasons To Buy This Leading Defense Contractor
Aug 21Northrop Grumman: Strong Buy As It Sees A Path To Double Free Cash Flow
Jul 28Northrop Grumman Stock: A Realistic Approach
Jul 19Northrop Grumman: A Shareholder-Friendly Defense Stock
Jun 03Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2027 | 46,557 | 4,399 | 3,454 | 4,738 | 7 |
12/31/2026 | 44,752 | 4,179 | 3,377 | 4,802 | 19 |
12/31/2025 | 42,779 | 4,014 | 3,085 | 4,543 | 22 |
12/31/2024 | 41,319 | 3,826 | 2,507 | 4,259 | 23 |
9/30/2024 | 40,985 | 2,375 | 2,486 | 4,240 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 40,764 | 2,286 | 2,625 | 4,377 | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 40,122 | 2,158 | 2,135 | 3,871 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 39,290 | 2,056 | 2,100 | 3,875 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 38,685 | 4,671 | 2,092 | 3,696 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 37,881 | 4,649 | 2,262 | 3,803 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 37,106 | 4,783 | 1,187 | 2,687 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 36,602 | 4,896 | 1,466 | 2,901 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 35,208 | 5,526 | 556 | 2,092 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 34,957 | 5,674 | 433 | 1,920 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 35,307 | 5,765 | 1,691 | 3,145 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 35,667 | 7,005 | 2,152 | 3,567 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 37,240 | 4,625 | 2,453 | 3,727 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 37,603 | 4,548 | 2,609 | 3,923 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 37,336 | 4,516 | 3,879 | 5,232 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 36,799 | 3,189 | 2,885 | 4,305 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 35,308 | 2,450 | 3,868 | 5,167 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 34,700 | 2,397 | 3,678 | 4,947 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 34,272 | 2,253 | 2,965 | 4,217 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 33,841 | 2,248 | 3,033 | 4,297 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 33,276 | 3,013 | 2,954 | 4,210 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 32,886 | 3,324 | 2,602 | 3,883 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 31,549 | 3,252 | 1,923 | 3,151 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 30,095 | 3,229 | 2,578 | 3,827 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 28,491 | 3,894 | 1,993 | 3,057 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 26,975 | 3,293 | N/A | 3,183 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 26,329 | 3,059 | N/A | 2,815 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 26,004 | 2,869 | N/A | 2,613 | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 25,849 | 2,373 | N/A | 2,537 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 25,435 | 2,332 | N/A | 2,337 | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 24,962 | 2,294 | N/A | 2,434 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 24,706 | 2,043 | N/A | 2,813 | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 23,805 | 2,134 | N/A | 2,915 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 23,629 | 2,048 | N/A | 2,734 | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 23,525 | 2,062 | N/A | 2,756 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 23,526 | 1,990 | N/A | 2,162 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 23,940 | 2,037 | N/A | 2,019 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 23,945 | 1,994 | N/A | 2,395 | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 24,088 | 1,974 | N/A | 2,341 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 23,979 | 2,069 | N/A | 2,593 | N/A |
9/30/2014 | 24,028 | 2,041 | N/A | 2,307 | N/A |
6/30/2014 | 24,150 | 2,065 | N/A | 2,324 | N/A |
3/31/2014 | 24,405 | 2,042 | N/A | 2,080 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: NOC's forecast earnings growth (12% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: NOC's earnings (12% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: NOC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: NOC's revenue (3.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: NOC's revenue (3.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: NOC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (25.6%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2025/01/19 10:29 |
End of Day Share Price | 2025/01/17 00:00 |
Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Northrop Grumman Corporation is covered by 45 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
---|---|
John Eade | Argus Research Company |
Peter Arment | Baird |
Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |