Stock Analysis

Mueller Water Products (MWA): Evaluating Valuation After 4.5% Dividend Increase Signals Confidence

Mueller Water Products (MWA) just announced a 4.5% bump to its quarterly dividend, now set at $0.070 per share. This move highlights the company’s confidence in its outlook and its ongoing focus on rewarding shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Mueller Water Products.

The dividend boost comes as Mueller Water Products rides a wave of momentum, with a year-to-date share price return of 15.73% and a standout one-year total shareholder return of 19.31%. Recent price gains suggest renewed optimism around long-term growth, as the stock’s three- and five-year total returns have outpaced many industry peers.

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With shares now up sharply and the latest dividend hike reinforcing bullish sentiment, investors must weigh whether Mueller Water Products is still undervalued or if the recent surge has already priced in its growth potential.

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Most Popular Narrative: 9.9% Undervalued

Mueller Water Products' most widely followed narrative pegs its fair value at $28.67 per share, sitting nearly $3 above the last close of $25.83. This sets the tone for a potential upside, depending on how the company's future plays out against aggressive growth forecasts.

Anticipated acceleration in demand for water infrastructure replacement, as the pressing need to repair and replace aging U.S. municipal water systems is expected to drive sustained order growth for repair products and valves, supporting long-term revenue expansion and backlog stability.

Read the complete narrative.

If you’re curious about which bold financial moves could turn this valuation into reality, you’ll want to uncover the earnings, margin leaps, and Wall Street math fueling that headline number. The core behind this narrative? It is anything but obvious; see what sets these projections apart.

Result: Fair Value of $28.67 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, delays in federal infrastructure funding or persistent high interest rates could dampen demand and limit the expected upside for Mueller Water Products.

Find out about the key risks to this Mueller Water Products narrative.

Build Your Own Mueller Water Products Narrative

If you have a different perspective or want to test your own ideas, you can dive into the numbers and build a personal thesis in just minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Mueller Water Products research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:MWA

Mueller Water Products

Manufactures and markets products and services for the transmission, distribution, and measurement of water used by municipalities, and the residential and non-residential construction industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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