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Maxar Technologies Valuation

Is MAXR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAXR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MAXR ($52.99) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($42.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAXR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAXR?

Key metric: As MAXR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MAXR. This is calculated by dividing MAXR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MAXR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.5x
SalesUS$1.62b
Market CapUS$4.02b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MAXR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MAXR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
DRS Leonardo DRS
2.8x6.2%US$8.9b
AJRD Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings
2x4.7%US$4.7b
PSN Parsons
1.6x8.4%US$10.3b
MOG.A Moog
1.9x4.3%US$6.9b
MAXR Maxar Technologies
2.5x11.0%US$4.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MAXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MAXR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VVX V2X
0.4x5.2%US$1.80b
LLAP Terran Orbital
0.4x29.5%US$51.22m
CVU CPI Aerostructures
0.5xn/aUS$38.35m
SIF SIFCO Industries
0.2xn/aUS$22.25m
MAXR 2.5xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies10PS0246810+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MAXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (1.9x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAXR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAXR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.5x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MAXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAXR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
May ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Nov ’24n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Oct ’24n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Sep ’24n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Aug ’24n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Jul ’24n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
Jun ’24n/a
US$50.83
0%
9.5%US$53.00US$40.00n/a6
May ’24US$52.98
US$51.14
-3.5%
8.9%US$53.00US$40.00n/a7
Apr ’24US$51.06
US$51.38
+0.6%
8.4%US$53.00US$40.00n/a8
Mar ’24US$51.47
US$51.56
+0.2%
7.9%US$53.00US$40.00n/a9
Feb ’24US$51.78
US$51.56
-0.4%
7.9%US$53.00US$40.00n/a9
Jan ’24US$51.74
US$51.56
-0.4%
7.9%US$53.00US$40.00n/a9
Dec ’23US$24.80
US$33.57
+35.4%
25.8%US$47.00US$15.00n/a14
Nov ’23US$22.38
US$36.57
+63.4%
24.8%US$47.00US$15.00n/a14

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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