Parsons Valuation

Is PSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PSN ($94.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($98.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PSN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PSN?

Key metric: As PSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PSN. This is calculated by dividing PSN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio127.4x
EarningsUS$78.68m
Market CapUS$10.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.7x
CACI CACI International
21.9x7.9%US$10.0b
ULS UL Solutions
34.2x8.9%US$10.3b
FCN FTI Consulting
22.3x6.0%US$7.0b
KBR KBR
24.3x22.9%US$7.8b
PSN Parsons
127.4x64.7%US$10.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (127.4x) compared to the peer average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Professional Services Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CNDT Conduent
1.3x-104.3%US$569.21m
CIH China Index Holdings
3.5xn/aUS$87.15m
ALJJ ALJ Regional Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$70.26m
STCN Steel Connect
3xn/aUS$62.29m
PSN 127.4xIndustry Avg. 23.7xNo. of Companies17PE01632486480+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (127.4x) compared to the US Professional Services industry average (23.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio127.4x
Fair PE Ratio65.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (127.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$94.42
US$122.91
+30.2%
6.5%US$130.00US$103.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$108.69
US$119.91
+10.3%
8.5%US$130.00US$100.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$104.80
US$103.67
-1.1%
6.2%US$115.00US$92.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$95.46
US$103.80
+8.7%
5.9%US$115.00US$92.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$88.53
US$100.50
+13.5%
7.9%US$115.00US$90.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$80.20
US$89.30
+11.3%
9.3%US$100.00US$68.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$76.15
US$89.10
+17.0%
9.1%US$100.00US$68.00n/a10
May ’25US$77.63
US$86.80
+11.8%
10.5%US$100.00US$68.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$83.20
US$82.10
-1.3%
8.6%US$90.00US$68.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$80.82
US$80.40
-0.5%
7.5%US$90.00US$68.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$65.50
US$71.20
+8.7%
6.6%US$80.00US$64.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$62.71
US$70.89
+13.0%
10.8%US$90.00US$62.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$63.48
US$70.89
+11.7%
10.8%US$90.00US$62.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$61.07
US$63.67
+4.3%
9.8%US$74.00US$53.00US$108.699
Oct ’24US$54.35
US$60.78
+11.8%
6.8%US$66.00US$53.00US$104.809
Sep ’24US$57.19
US$60.78
+6.3%
6.8%US$66.00US$53.00US$95.469
Aug ’24US$49.51
US$53.00
+7.0%
6.7%US$60.00US$46.00US$88.539
Jul ’24US$48.14
US$51.89
+7.8%
5.0%US$55.00US$46.00US$80.209
Jun ’24US$44.93
US$51.89
+15.5%
5.0%US$55.00US$46.00US$76.159
May ’24US$43.72
US$49.40
+13.0%
8.8%US$55.00US$39.00US$77.6310
Apr ’24US$44.74
US$48.90
+9.3%
9.7%US$55.00US$39.00US$83.2010
Mar ’24US$44.88
US$49.20
+9.6%
9.1%US$55.00US$39.00US$80.8210
Feb ’24US$43.84
US$49.60
+13.1%
8.7%US$56.00US$40.00US$65.5010
Jan ’24US$46.25
US$50.00
+8.1%
8.2%US$56.00US$40.00US$62.7110
Dec ’23US$49.23
US$50.00
+1.6%
8.6%US$56.00US$40.00US$63.489
Nov ’23US$46.64
US$43.89
-5.9%
5.8%US$48.00US$40.00US$61.079

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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