Stock Analysis

JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.'s (NYSE:JELD) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 29%

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NYSE:JELD

Those holding JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. (NYSE:JELD) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.8% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, JELD-WEN Holding may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Building industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for JELD-WEN Holding

NYSE:JELD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 1st 2024

What Does JELD-WEN Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, JELD-WEN Holding's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on JELD-WEN Holding will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like JELD-WEN Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.6%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 3.8% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 3.8% during the coming year according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 6.0%.

In light of this, it's understandable that JELD-WEN Holding's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From JELD-WEN Holding's P/S?

Despite JELD-WEN Holding's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that JELD-WEN Holding's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for JELD-WEN Holding that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on JELD-WEN Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.