Hexcel Corporation

NYSE:HXL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.8b

Hexcel Valuation

Is HXL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HXL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HXL ($59.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($103.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HXL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HXL?

Key metric: As HXL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HXL. This is calculated by dividing HXL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HXL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio44.6x
EarningsUS$108.10m
Market CapUS$4.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HXL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HXL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.8x
AVAV AeroVironment
95.1x21.0%US$5.6b
MOG.A Moog
33.1x20.2%US$6.9b
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries
10.8x6.9%US$7.6b
AIR AAR
36.3x35.3%US$2.3b
HXL Hexcel
44.6x22.9%US$4.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HXL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.6x) compared to the peer average (43.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HXL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CVU CPI Aerostructures
2.2xn/aUS$38.35m
ETCC Environmental Tectonics
4.7xn/aUS$30.05m
AWIN AERWINS Technologies
0.002xn/aUS$6.93k
GIGA.Q Gresham Worldwide
n/an/aUS$7.00
No more companies available in this PE range
HXL 44.6xIndustry Avg. 34.1xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HXL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.6x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (34.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HXL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HXL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44.6x
Fair PE Ratio26x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HXL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HXL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$59.53
US$69.12
+16.1%
8.3%US$78.00US$60.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$58.84
US$69.12
+17.5%
8.3%US$78.00US$60.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$60.86
US$71.47
+17.4%
11.4%US$89.00US$60.00n/a17
Sep ’25US$63.29
US$72.34
+14.3%
11.3%US$89.00US$60.00n/a18
Aug ’25US$64.44
US$72.78
+12.9%
11.2%US$89.00US$60.00n/a18
Jul ’25US$62.49
US$75.53
+20.9%
12.1%US$95.00US$63.00n/a17
Jun ’25US$68.87
US$76.00
+10.4%
11.9%US$95.00US$63.00n/a17
May ’25US$66.29
US$74.19
+11.9%
9.4%US$88.00US$63.00n/a16
Apr ’25US$71.79
US$77.28
+7.6%
12.1%US$99.00US$63.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$74.96
US$77.11
+2.9%
12.3%US$99.00US$63.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$67.48
US$75.44
+11.8%
12.3%US$99.00US$63.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$73.75
US$73.39
-0.5%
12.5%US$89.00US$57.00n/a18
Dec ’24US$71.46
US$71.78
+0.4%
12.0%US$89.00US$57.00n/a18
Nov ’24US$62.53
US$70.56
+12.8%
11.8%US$89.00US$57.00US$58.8416
Oct ’24US$65.14
US$75.93
+16.6%
9.3%US$92.00US$62.00US$60.8614
Sep ’24US$73.99
US$76.38
+3.2%
9.3%US$92.00US$62.00US$63.2913
Aug ’24US$70.50
US$75.08
+6.5%
8.8%US$92.00US$62.00US$64.4412
Jul ’24US$76.02
US$72.58
-4.5%
10.7%US$92.00US$59.00US$62.4912
Jun ’24US$70.53
US$72.58
+2.9%
10.7%US$92.00US$59.00US$68.8712
May ’24US$71.99
US$72.55
+0.8%
10.6%US$90.00US$59.00US$66.2911
Apr ’24US$68.25
US$68.18
-0.1%
13.5%US$89.00US$51.00US$71.7911
Mar ’24US$72.61
US$68.64
-5.5%
13.8%US$89.00US$51.00US$74.9611
Feb ’24US$71.22
US$64.70
-9.2%
8.7%US$70.00US$51.00US$67.4810
Jan ’24US$58.85
US$58.73
-0.2%
12.8%US$70.00US$45.00US$73.7511
Dec ’23US$61.27
US$58.27
-4.9%
12.9%US$70.00US$44.00US$71.4611
Nov ’23US$56.59
US$58.27
+3.0%
12.9%US$70.00US$44.00US$62.5311

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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