Stock Analysis

Assessing Hillenbrand (HI) Valuation After Recent 30% Share Price Surge

Hillenbrand (HI) shares have seen swings over the past month, gaining roughly 30% despite mixed results on the business front. Investors are watching how recent moves fit into the company’s longer-term growth plans.

See our latest analysis for Hillenbrand.

Hillenbrand’s strong 30% share price gain over the past month follows a period of muted movement earlier in the year. This signals renewed momentum for investors. While the latest one-year total shareholder return stands at 18.4%, the stock’s three-year total return is still in negative territory, suggesting sentiment may be shifting after a rocky stretch.

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With solid price gains, a modest discount to analyst targets, and signs of improving sentiment, the key question for Hillenbrand is clear: is the stock undervalued at current levels, or is the market already factoring in its future prospects?

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Most Popular Narrative: 4.9% Undervalued

With Hillenbrand’s fair value pegged at $33.00, just above its last close at $31.37, the most widely tracked narrative projects further upside. This perspective sets the scene for what is driving optimism among analysts.

Refocused portfolio and investments in automation, digital services, and R&D are expected to boost margins and drive stable, long-term earnings growth. Strong global demand trends and supply chain optimization position Hillenbrand to rebound with higher revenue and greater resilience amid macro uncertainties.

Read the complete narrative.

Why are analysts so bullish? Under the surface lies an ambitious plan with a blend of aggressive margin expansion and a turnaround in profitability. What financial levers and industry shifts are hidden behind that price? Uncover the crucial assumptions that power this fair value outlook.

Result: Fair Value of $33.00 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing global uncertainty and integration challenges could still threaten Hillenbrand’s rebound if demand remains sluggish or if cost synergies are delayed.

Find out about the key risks to this Hillenbrand narrative.

Build Your Own Hillenbrand Narrative

If you see the numbers differently, or want to dig deeper into the details, you can build your own Hillenbrand view from scratch in just a few minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Hillenbrand research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hillenbrand might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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