Comfort Systems USA, Inc.

NYSE:FIX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.3b

Comfort Systems USA Valuation

Is FIX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FIX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FIX ($317.71) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($186.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FIX is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FIX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FIX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA22.8x
PEG Ratio3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FIX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FIX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average61.7x
WSC WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
25.8x18.1%US$8.8b
EME EMCOR Group
26x7.1%US$16.5b
ACM AECOM
108.2x25.7%US$13.2b
FLR Fluor
86.8x24.7%US$7.1b
FIX Comfort Systems USA
34.9x11.5%US$11.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FIX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.9x) compared to the peer average (61.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FIX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.9x) compared to the US Construction industry average (25.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FIX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FIX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.9x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FIX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$317.71
US$312.75
-1.6%
8.6%US$350.00US$280.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$314.43
US$308.67
-1.8%
9.7%US$350.00US$280.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$225.00
US$204.33
-9.2%
1.6%US$208.00US$200.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$205.67
US$198.33
-3.6%
3.1%US$205.00US$190.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$196.61
US$198.33
+0.9%
3.1%US$205.00US$190.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$184.88
US$198.33
+7.3%
3.1%US$205.00US$190.00n/a3
Oct ’24US$170.41
US$185.67
+9.0%
4.5%US$193.00US$174.00n/a3
Sep ’24US$185.96
US$185.67
-0.2%
4.5%US$193.00US$174.00n/a3
Aug ’24US$173.66
US$185.67
+6.9%
4.5%US$193.00US$174.00n/a3
Jul ’24US$164.20
US$167.33
+1.9%
3.3%US$175.00US$162.00n/a3
Jun ’24US$148.38
US$170.00
+14.6%
2.9%US$175.00US$165.00n/a2
May ’24US$147.51
US$170.00
+15.2%
2.9%US$175.00US$165.00n/a2
Apr ’24US$145.96
US$165.00
+13.0%
3.0%US$170.00US$160.00n/a2
Mar ’24US$146.94
US$165.00
+12.3%
3.0%US$170.00US$160.00US$314.432
Feb ’24US$121.92
US$130.00
+6.6%
3.8%US$135.00US$125.00US$225.002
Jan ’24US$115.08
US$130.00
+13.0%
3.8%US$135.00US$125.00US$205.672
Dec ’23US$125.78
US$130.00
+3.4%
3.8%US$135.00US$125.00US$196.612
Nov ’23US$120.99
US$130.00
+7.4%
3.8%US$135.00US$125.00US$184.882
Oct ’23US$97.33
US$111.00
+14.0%
2.7%US$114.00US$108.00US$170.412
Sep ’23US$100.99
US$111.00
+9.9%
2.7%US$114.00US$108.00US$185.962
Aug ’23US$105.43
US$111.00
+5.3%
2.7%US$114.00US$108.00US$173.662
Jul ’23US$84.17
US$98.50
+17.0%
1.5%US$100.00US$97.00US$164.202
Jun ’23US$89.30
US$98.50
+10.3%
1.5%US$100.00US$97.00US$148.382
May ’23US$84.42
US$98.50
+16.7%
1.5%US$100.00US$97.00US$147.512
Apr ’23US$90.13
US$98.50
+9.3%
1.5%US$100.00US$97.00US$145.962
Mar ’23US$83.53
US$98.50
+17.9%
1.5%US$100.00US$97.00US$146.942

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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