Ferguson Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Ferguson is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9% and 6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 31.4% in 3 years.
Key information
9.0%
Earnings growth rate
10.2%
EPS growth rate
| Trade Distributors earnings growth | 8.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.0% |
| Future return on equity | 31.4% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 28 Mar 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Should You Investigate Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG) At US$218?
Apr 12
Here's What Ferguson's (NYSE:FERG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean
Mar 31Ferguson plc's (NYSE:FERG) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 21% Below Its Share Price
Mar 18Ferguson: Weaker Demand And Elevated Valuation Make This HVAC Distributor A Hold
Mar 08Ferguson plc's (NYSE:FERG) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
Jan 08Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG)?
Dec 25Ferguson: Has The Momentum
Dec 24Ferguson (NYSE:FERG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.79
Dec 12Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Dec 10Ferguson (NYSE:FERG) Looks To Prolong Its Impressive Returns
Dec 05Ferguson plc's (NYSE:FERG) CEO Looks Due For A Compensation Raise
Nov 23Right Tail Capital - Ferguson: An Investment That Can Compound At A Mid-Teens Rate
Oct 19Ferguson Facing Tougher Markets, But Still Well-Placed For Long-Term Growth
Oct 12Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG)
Oct 12Here's Why Ferguson (NYSE:FERG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Sep 19Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Ferguson (NYSE:FERG)
Aug 24Ferguson: A Must-Own Stock For Long-Term Investors
Aug 07Is It Time To Consider Buying Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG)?
Jul 30Ferguson: Long-Term Compounder Facing Housing Market Downturn
Jul 10Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG) Shares Could Be 34% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Jun 22Ferguson Will Soon Become A Must-Know Stock
Jun 14Ferguson (NYSE:FERG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Jun 09Under The Bonnet, Ferguson's (NYSE:FERG) Returns Look Impressive
May 16At US$137, Is Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG) Worth Looking At Closely?
Apr 23Benign Growth For Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG) Underpins Its Share Price
Apr 11Is Now The Time To Put Ferguson (NYSE:FERG) On Your Watchlist?
Mar 31Calculating The Fair Value Of Ferguson plc (NYSE:FERG)
Feb 27Here's Why Ferguson (NYSE:FERG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Feb 16Ferguson: We Might See Slow Revenue Growth In FY23
Dec 22Ferguson goes ex-dividend tomorrow
Dec 14Ferguson decrease quarterly dividend by -60.7% to $0.75/share
Dec 07Nelson Peltz's Trian fund pares stakes in Ferguson, Sysco
Nov 14Ferguson increases liquidity by $800M
Oct 13Ferguson notifies share buyback program
Oct 05Ferguson reports Q4 results
Sep 27Right Tail Capital - Ferguson Plc: Improving By Subtraction
Jul 27Ferguson: Staying Resilient Through The Cycles
Jul 08Merion Road - Ferguson PLC: An Inherently Stable Business
Apr 22Ferguson: Outlining The Path To Medium-Term Upside
Feb 22Ferguson: Maximizing Shareholder Returns
Dec 09Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/31/2026 | 33,914 | 2,291 | 1,989 | 2,448 | 14 |
| 7/31/2025 | 31,477 | 2,039 | 1,801 | 2,275 | 21 |
| 7/31/2024 | 29,891 | 1,856 | 1,794 | 2,152 | 20 |
| 1/31/2024 | 29,359 | 1,761 | 2,024 | 2,415 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 29,511 | 1,813 | 2,345 | 2,782 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 29,734 | 1,889 | 2,282 | 2,723 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 29,867 | 1,887 | 1,814 | 2,270 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 30,011 | 2,097 | 1,681 | 2,091 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 29,694 | 2,159 | 1,325 | 1,656 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 28,566 | 2,099 | 859 | 1,149 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 27,162 | 2,182 | 1,013 | 1,272 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 25,794 | 2,008 | 1,040 | 1,277 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 24,223 | 1,849 | 944 | 1,179 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 22,792 | 1,630 | 1,141 | 1,382 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 21,249 | 1,224 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 20,356 | 1,110 | 1,544 | 1,808 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 20,366 | 1,062 | 1,585 | 1,865 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 19,940 | 973 | 1,262 | 1,545 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 21,056 | 979 | 1,225 | 1,563 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 21,533 | 1,020 | 1,049 | 1,427 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 19,729 | 1,042 | 872 | 1,290 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 21,791 | 1,001 | 700 | 1,093 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 21,572 | 941 | 528 | 896 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 21,162 | 891 | 633 | 966 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 20,752 | 841 | 737 | 1,036 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 20,341 | 967 | 723 | 1,026 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 19,929 | 1,093 | 708 | 1,016 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 19,607 | 1,073 | N/A | 983 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 19,284 | 1,053 | N/A | 950 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 19,065 | 846 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 16,613 | 663 | N/A | 1,077 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 15,866 | 617 | N/A | 1,007 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 16,663 | 629 | N/A | 1,045 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 19,392 | 813 | N/A | 1,054 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 20,877 | 692 | N/A | 1,103 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 20,851 | 502 | N/A | 1,070 | N/A |
| 1/31/2015 | 18,998 | 404 | N/A | 751 | N/A |
| 10/31/2014 | 19,926 | 601 | N/A | 761 | N/A |
| 7/31/2014 | 20,719 | 814 | N/A | 763 | N/A |
| 4/30/2014 | 21,634 | 747 | N/A | 904 | N/A |
| 1/31/2014 | 21,296 | 633 | N/A | 1,018 | N/A |
| 10/31/2013 | 20,951 | 537 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 7/31/2013 | 19,974 | 431 | N/A | 629 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: FERG's forecast earnings growth (9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: FERG's earnings (9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: FERG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: FERG's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: FERG's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: FERG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (31.4%)