Emerson Electric Co.

NYSE:EMR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$79.6b

Emerson Electric Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Emerson Electric is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.9% and 5.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.9% in 3 years.

Key information

11.9%

Earnings growth rate

13.11%

EPS growth rate

Electrical earnings growth18.9%
Revenue growth rate5.3%
Future return on equity21.85%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated28 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 24

EMR: AI Automation Upside Is Expected To Outweigh New Competitive Threat

Narrative Update Emerson Electric's updated analyst price target edges lower by about $1 to $163.72 as analysts fine-tune fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E inputs following a mix of recent target increases and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Emerson Electric reflects a split view, with some bullish analysts lifting price targets and ratings, while bearish analysts trim targets or flag short term downside risk.
Narrative Update May 06

EMR: AI Disruption Risk Will Likely Cap Future Share Upside

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Emerson Electric has been revised higher by about $1 to reflect updated assumptions on discount rate, more conservative revenue growth, a higher profit margin outlook, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, consistent with the mixed but generally constructive tone in recent research where several firms raised targets while others turned more cautious in the near term. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Emerson Electric reflects a split view, with some firms lifting price targets while others are more cautious on execution and valuation risk.
Seeking Alpha May 06

Emerson Electric: Not An AI Infrastructure Company

Summary Emerson Electric Co. is a mature industrial company with slow growth, limited exposure to AI-driven data center capex, and a premium valuation. EMR's recent quarter showed 3% revenue and 4% earnings growth, reflecting dependence on broad macro drivers rather than high-growth sectors. Despite solid margins and over $3bn FCF, EMR's serial M&A and portfolio strategy have not enhanced growth or returns. I rate EMR stock a Sell due to its high valuation (20x P/E, 2.4x PEG) relative to modest 8–10% EPS growth and strategic limitations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 22

EMR: AI Disruption Risk Will Shape Future Automation And Software Execution Outcomes

Analyst price targets for Emerson Electric have been adjusted modestly, with mixed recent research that includes several target cuts from Wells Fargo and Barclays alongside multiple target increases and rating changes. The updated target is $205.00 as analysts balance AI related competitive risks with company specific drivers.
Narrative Update Apr 08

EMR: AI Disruption Risk Will Shape Future High Margin Automation Upside

Emerson Electric's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly higher from $204 to $205, as analysts balance modestly different assumptions for revenue growth, margins, and future P/E, alongside a wide range of recent price target changes and mixed views on AI related risks to its high margin hardware and software exposure. Analyst Commentary Street research on Emerson Electric over the past few months reflects a wide range of opinions, with some firms trimming price targets or flagging shorter term concerns and others lifting targets or adjusting ratings as they update their models.
Narrative Update Mar 25

EMR: AI Automation Demand And High Margins Will Drive Future Upside

Emerson Electric's analyst price targets have generally moved higher, with several firms lifting their views by $4 to $30 to reflect updated expectations around AI driven demand and software exposure, while also flagging emerging competitive risks in high margin hardware and automation software. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are focusing on Emerson Electric's mix of high margin automation hardware and software, with several research notes pointing to AI related demand as an important theme in recent price target updates.
Narrative Update Mar 10

EMR: AI Exposure And High Margins Will Support Future Upside

Emerson Electric's updated analyst price target holds steady at $204. Analysts are balancing slightly adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E with a mix of recent target raises and downgrades that reflect both AI driven opportunity and competitive risk in high margin industrial hardware and software.
Narrative Update Feb 24

EMR: Higher Long Term Margins And P/E Framework Will Support Upside

We are lifting our analyst price target framework for Emerson Electric to $204, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as key supports for the higher fair value view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Emerson Electric reflects an active debate, but with a clear cluster of higher price targets from bullish analysts who are leaning into a stronger long term earnings and cash generation profile for the company.
Narrative Update Feb 09

EMR: Fair Outlook Weighs AI Demand Resilience Against Aspen Execution Overhang

The analyst price target for Emerson Electric has been raised by about US$9. Analysts cited adjustments in their models that include slightly higher projected revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, and a small change in the discount rate, while keeping future P/E assumptions broadly similar.
Narrative Update Jan 26

EMR: Fair Outlook Balances AI Demand Support And Aspen Execution Risks

Our analyst price target for Emerson Electric has been nudged higher to about US$156 from roughly US$154, reflecting updated Street views that balance slightly softer revenue growth assumptions with modestly stronger profitability and a similar long term P/E framework. This is supported by recent price target revisions from multiple firms and ongoing debate about near term upside.
Narrative Update Jan 10

EMR: Fair Outlook Balances AI Demand Opportunities And Execution Risks

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Emerson Electric by about US$2.87 to roughly US$153.71. This change reflects updated expectations for slightly higher margins and valuation multiples, along with recent price target moves that have trended toward US$145 to US$150, even as some research highlights valuation limits and execution timing.
Narrative Update Dec 26

EMR: Long-Term Margin Expansion Will Support Bullish Upside From Current Levels

Analysts modestly reduced their price target on Emerson Electric to $150 from $151. The change reflects updated models that incorporate slightly lower long term revenue growth assumptions, a higher discount rate, and a modestly higher future earnings multiple.
Narrative Update Dec 12

EMR: Future Margins And Order Visibility Will Likely Restrain Share Upside

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Emerson Electric to approximately $120.65 from about $109.01, citing updated post earnings modeling that reflects slightly higher expected growth, a richer future valuation multiple, and a modestly lower profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan recently trimmed its price target on Emerson Electric to $150 from $151 while maintaining a Neutral rating, signaling a more tempered outlook following the fiscal Q4 report.
Analysis Article Nov 08

Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.555

Emerson Electric Co. ( NYSE:EMR ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable...
Analysis Article Oct 01

Why Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR) Could Be Worth Watching

Let's talk about the popular Emerson Electric Co. ( NYSE:EMR ). The company's shares saw significant share price...
Narrative Update Sep 04

Digital Automation And AI Adoption Will Fuel Global Modernization

Despite stable process markets, solid demand, and improved margin outlook following Emerson's portfolio shift, consensus analyst price targets remain unchanged at $149.69, reflecting more realistic market expectations and increased conviction in the company's long-term growth. Analyst Commentary Market expectations for Emerson's process and industrial capex outlook have become more realistic, supported by stable process markets expected into 2026.
Analysis Article Aug 11

Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.5275

The board of Emerson Electric Co. ( NYSE:EMR ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 10th of September, with...
Analysis Article Aug 05

We Think Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Jun 26

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Emerson Electric Co.'s (NYSE:EMR) Price

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...
Analysis Article Jun 12

Is It Time To Consider Buying Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR)?

Emerson Electric Co. ( NYSE:EMR ) saw a significant share price rise of 34% in the past couple of months on the NYSE...
Seeking Alpha Apr 23

Emerson Electric: Buy The Dip On This Dividend Aristocrat

Summary Emerson Electric's price dip in recent months creates an attractive entry point. It trades below its historical average PE and has strong fundamentals and growth prospects. EMR's leadership in automation solutions, high margins, and strategic acquisitions position it well to benefit from rising global power demand and energy transition trends. Record gross and EBITDA margins, solid EPS growth, and a healthy balance sheet underscore EMR's high-quality status in industrial automation and energy solutions. With a safe dividend yield of 2.1%, strong profitability, and multiple growth levers, EMR offers potential for double-digit total returns at its current valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 24

Emerson Electric: Investors Should Be Patient

Summary Emerson Electric Co. is a diversified technology and engineering company with two major segments: Intelligent Devices and Software & Control. The company employs around 73,000 people globally and has a market cap exceeding $70 billion. Over the past decade, Emerson Electric has returned approximately 175%, or about 10.7% annually. Despite a long history of dividend growth, it has been weak in recent years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 06

Emerson Q4: Acquiring All Shares Of Aspen Technology - Strong Buy

Summary I reiterate a “Strong Buy” rating on Emerson Electric Co. with a one-year target price of $150 per share, driven by its strategic acquisition of Aspen Technology, Inc. The full acquisition of Aspen Technology is expected to be value-accretive, enhancing Emerson’s market position by integrating hardware with leading industrial software solutions. Emerson’s Q4 results showed 4% organic revenue growth and a strategic focus on expanding its industrial software business, anticipating double-digit ACV growth. A key risk includes potential demand challenges in China, but overall, I favor Emerson’s move to consolidate Aspen Technology, strengthening its leadership in the industrial software market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:EMR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/202820,9273,5374,3114,82314
9/30/202719,8633,1353,8314,30427
9/30/202618,8282,7543,5093,98825
3/31/202618,3162,4383,1153,558N/A
12/31/202518,1872,3052,5753,020N/A
9/30/202518,0162,2852,6673,098N/A
6/30/202517,7802,2082,7413,172N/A
3/31/202517,6071,9722,7623,192N/A
12/31/202417,5502,0343,2693,694N/A
9/30/202417,4921,6182,9133,332N/A
6/30/202416,9631,8441,1851,605N/A
3/31/202416,5292,1409081,309N/A
12/31/202315,9092,120253634N/A
9/30/202315,1652,280274637N/A
6/30/202314,9671,9812,2032,497N/A
3/31/202314,4861,5652,1632,443N/A
12/31/202214,0211,4662,5322,817N/A
9/30/202213,8041,8842,6232,922N/A
6/30/202214,8592,0692,1302,560N/A
3/31/202216,0912,4722,4262,925N/A
12/31/202117,2312,6052,7583,290N/A
9/30/202112,9321,3923,1713,575N/A
6/30/202117,8472,3563,3903,949N/A
3/31/202117,0642,1283,1513,686N/A
12/31/202016,7952,0842,9213,467N/A
9/30/202016,7851,9652,5453,083N/A
6/30/202017,1981,9592,5303,058N/A
3/31/202017,9682,1642,6173,162N/A
12/31/201918,3762,167N/A3,107N/A
9/30/201918,3722,306N/A3,006N/A
6/30/201918,2892,206N/A2,826N/A
3/31/201918,0612,314N/A2,804N/A
12/31/201817,7392,276N/A2,768N/A
9/30/201817,4082,203N/A2,892N/A
6/30/201816,9552,082N/A2,722N/A
3/31/201816,5381,777N/A2,446N/A
12/31/201715,8641,671N/A2,121N/A
9/30/201715,2641,643N/A1,912N/A
6/30/201714,7611,626N/A2,015N/A
3/31/201714,3961,660N/A2,085N/A
12/31/201614,4011,651N/A2,632N/A
9/30/201614,5221,590N/A2,881N/A
6/30/201610,3491,566N/A3,025N/A
3/31/201612,1781,689N/A2,806N/A
12/31/201513,9992,295N/A2,445N/A
9/30/201516,2492,517N/A2,529N/A
6/30/201523,2972,472N/A2,836N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EMR's forecast earnings growth (11.9% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: EMR's earnings (11.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (17.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: EMR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: EMR's revenue (5.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EMR's revenue (5.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: EMR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.9%)


Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/03 00:44
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/03 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Emerson Electric Co. is covered by 48 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David HeasmanAccountability Research Corporation
John EadeArgus Research Company
Michael HalloranBaird