Deere & Company

NYSE:DE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$151.8b

Deere Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Deere is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.1% and 2.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 24% in 3 years.

Key information

16.1%

Earnings growth rate

16.74%

EPS growth rate

Machinery earnings growth16.3%
Revenue growth rate2.5%
Future return on equity24.01%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated22 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 14

Deere: I Would Take The Gains (Q1 Earnings Preview)

Summary Caterpillar outperformed Deere over the past year, driven by AI-related power generator demand and manufacturing reshoring tailwinds. I have maintained a neutral rating on Deere, as its returns have largely tracked the broader market without clear outperformance. Upcoming Deere earnings are a key catalyst; I will reassess my rating based on reported results and forward outlook. Manufacturing sector momentum, fueled by data center buildout and reshoring, remains a central theme impacting both CAT and DE. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 09

DE: Construction Strength And Expected Large Ag Recovery Will Support Future Earnings

Narrative Update: Deere The analyst price target on Deere has been adjusted to reflect a more balanced risk and reward profile. Recent research highlights mixed views on valuation, with several firms raising targets by $25 to above $200, while others have flagged the stock as a bearish pick or issued downgrades even as they raised targets.
Narrative Update • Apr 21

DE: Construction Momentum And Pending Large Ag Recovery Will Support Future Earnings

The analyst fair value estimate for Deere has increased by about $1 to $665, reflecting modest adjustments to growth, profit and P/E assumptions as analysts weigh recent price target increases against mixed views on valuation and the timing of an agriculture recovery. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Deere is divided, with many firms lifting price targets and talking up execution, while others focus on valuation risk and the timing of an agriculture recovery.
Narrative Update • Apr 05

DE: Construction Strength And Anticipated Large Ag Upswing Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to the Deere price target, adding roughly $0.50. This reflects slightly higher modeled revenue growth and future P/E expectations, partially offset by a modestly higher discount rate and a stable profit margin outlook.
Narrative Update • Mar 22

DE: Construction Momentum And Large Ag Recovery Will Support Future Earnings Momentum

Analysts have made a small downward reset to the model driven price target for Deere, trimming it by about $2 to $663.51. A slightly higher discount rate offsets broadly supportive views around stronger Q1 results, healthier Large Ag orders, and improving trends in construction and small ag and turf.
Narrative Update • Mar 08

DE: Construction Strength And Large Ag Recovery Will Support Future Earnings Momentum

We are nudging our fair value estimate for Deere up from $630 to about $666 per share, reflecting analysts' higher price targets following a strong Q1 beat, healthier Large Ag order trends, and better support from Construction and Small Ag/Turf, even as views differ on how much of the next cycle is already priced in. Analyst Commentary Street research after Deere's Q1 report reflects a mix of enthusiasm about execution and caution around how much optimism is already embedded in the share price.
New Narrative • Mar 07

Construction Tailwinds And Equipment Pricing Power Will Eventually Fade For This Machinery Giant

Catalysts About Deere Deere & Company designs, manufactures and finances agricultural, construction and forestry equipment for customers globally. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Feb 22

DE: Q1 Beat And Construction Strength Will Support Earnings Recovery As Cycle Bottoms

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Deere from about $527 to about $630, citing stronger than expected Q1 results, an improved margin outlook, and higher long-term earnings power. This view is reflected in a slightly lower discount rate, steadier revenue expectations, and a similar future P/E multiple.
New Narrative • Feb 21

Long Term Construction Upswing And Aging Farm Fleets Will Support A Stronger Outlook

Catalysts About Deere Deere manufactures equipment and technology for agriculture, construction, forestry and related financial services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article • Jan 07

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Deere & Company's (NYSE:DE) Price

Deere & Company's ( NYSE:DE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.1x might make it look like a sell right now...
Narrative Update • Dec 23

DE: Precision Ag Subscriptions Will Support Earnings Recovery As Downturn Nears Trough

Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Deere modestly higher by about $1.50 per share to roughly $527, reflecting increased confidence that Precision Ag subscription growth and a maturing earnings downturn will support steadier profitability despite a still mixed cyclical backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Deere underscores a constructive long term outlook supported by Precision Ag adoption and technology driven differentiation, tempered by caution around near term cyclical headwinds and used equipment dynamics.
Narrative Update • Dec 09

DE: Precision Ag Subscriptions Will Drive Future Earnings Recovery Despite Cyclical Headwinds

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Deere to approximately $540 from about $535, reflecting increased confidence in the long term earnings power from its expanding Precision Ag subscription base and data enabled ecosystem, even as they acknowledge a near term cyclical downturn and a mixed demand backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Deere reflects a generally constructive stance on the shares, with analysts emphasizing the company’s growing Precision Ag subscription base, data driven offerings, and potential earnings recovery as key drivers of long term value, even as they flag near term cyclical and inventory related risks.
Analysis Article • Dec 07

Deere (NYSE:DE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $1.62

The board of Deere & Company ( NYSE:DE ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 9th of February, with...
Narrative Update • Nov 25

DE: Technology-Driven Offerings Will Aid Earnings Recovery Amid Steel Tariff Headwinds

Deere's analyst price target was modestly increased to $525.78 from $525.40, reflecting analysts' expectations for ongoing growth in Precision Ag adoption, technology-driven profitability, and constructive long-term fundamentals. This outlook remains despite mixed cyclical indicators and tariff headwinds.
Narrative Update • Nov 08

DE: Technology Ecosystem Will Drive Earnings Recovery After Tariff Headwinds

Deere’s analyst price target increased slightly by $0.45 to $525.40. Analysts cite improving revenue growth, embedded technology advantages, and expectations for an earnings recovery in 2027 that are starting to be reflected in forecasts.
Narrative Update • Oct 24

Precision Farming Advances Will Drive Cycle Recovery Despite Headwinds

Deere's analyst price target was revised slightly lower to approximately $524.95. This modest decrease reflects analysts' cautious outlook on near-term agriculture fundamentals, tariff impacts, and expectations for a longer earnings recovery cycle, balanced by ongoing innovation and the company's strong market position.
Narrative Update • Oct 10

Precision Agriculture And Automation Will Boost Global Reach

Deere's analyst price target has been modestly reduced to approximately $525 from $533. Analysts cite updated tariff headwinds, along with softening revenue growth and profit margin projections, in their revised outlooks.
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Precision Agriculture And Automation Will Boost Global Reach

Analysts cite increased steel and aluminum tariffs as a margin headwind and lingering weak global ag demand, but also highlight Deere’s strong Q3 Small Ag performance, lower dealer inventories, and an expected cyclical earnings upturn in FY26, resulting in no change to the consensus price target at $534.61. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts lowered price targets to reflect updated Section 232 tariffs, which significantly increase the cost of steel and aluminum content in imported products, posing a headwind to margins and earnings.
Analysis Article • Jun 25

Deere (NYSE:DE) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article • Jun 12

Investors Interested In Deere & Company's (NYSE:DE) Earnings

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...
Analysis Article • May 29

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Deere & Company (NYSE:DE)?

Deere & Company ( NYSE:DE ) received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NYSE over the last few...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 21

Deere: What Turnaround? (Technical Analysis)

Summary Deere's technicals are currently mixed, with the chart and moving averages favouring an upside breakout while the indicators show that the top is likely in for the stock. Most recent earnings show weak financials, with revenue and EPS growth hitting three-year lows. Guidance shows that net income declines may moderate modestly in 2025. The valuation has gotten ahead of itself, as expansion in the P/S and P/E ratios are unjustified by the fundamentals of the business. Therefore, I initiate DE stock at a sell rating on technical uncertainty and fundamental unattractiveness. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

Is Deere Still Cheap?

Summary Deere's Q1 earnings served to reaffirm the investment thesis despite the "worrying" headline numbers. There are certain things to be optimistic about regarding the future of the company. I discuss these in the article. I believe Deere's stock remains attractive despite hovering at all-time highs. I explain why my base case scenario yields a 16% 6-year IRR. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 11

Deere's Q1 Earnings: Why Investors Want 'Bad News'

Summary Deere & Company's stock is currently expensive with a high forward P/E of 24, but investor optimism is driven by an expected gradual recovery through 2025. Deere's earnings report is crucial, especially regarding inventory management and production hours, as competitors face significant declines and market downturns. Despite a weak 2025 outlook, Deere's strong market position and technology in precision agriculture and autonomous solutions offer long-term potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 05

As Cyclical Pressures And Strategic Shifts Emerge, I'm Bearish On Deere & Company

Summary Deere & Company faces near-term challenges due to declining commodity prices, tightening financial conditions, and reduced demand, prompting a sell rating. The latest earnings report shows a significant drop in net income, reflecting broader market and economic uncertainties impacting farm equipment investments. Current valuations appear overly optimistic, with DCF calculations indicating shares are approaching fair value, posing downside risk amid potential economic downturns. Despite Deere's focus on precision agriculture and automation, its high P/E ratio compared to peers suggests vulnerability if market conditions worsen. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 28

Deere: Strong Buy At The Ag Cycle Nadir

Summary Deere is a strong buy with a conservative upside target of $600, driven by structural profitability improvements and a turn in the agricultural cycle. Historically, the best buying opportunities for DE shares occur when corn and soybean prices are low, as the agricultural cycle inevitably turns higher. DE's investment in new technologies and rapid response to industry downturns have improved profit margins, justifying higher valuations through the next agricultural cycle. Despite current weak fundamentals, improving supply/demand balance for key crops and a rising Farm Capital Investment Index suggest the worst may be over for DE's core markets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 30

Deere: Another Challenging Year Ahead (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Deere's share price continues to disappoint in relative terms to the broader equity market. After yet another year of underperformance, the outlook for 2025 appears bleak. Deere's share price remains elevated once we consider margins, demand outlook, commodity prices and last but not least - the dividend. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 23

Deere: Conservative Market Expectations As It Sows The Seeds Of Recovery

Summary Deere faces sales declines due to weak crop prices, but strong margin protection and operational excellence support a 'Buy' rating. Despite a challenging 2025 outlook, DE's structural improvements and cash flow generation position it well for a potential market rebound. Long-term growth prospects are bolstered by precision agriculture technologies and potential benefits from infrastructure investments. Current valuation appears attractive, suggesting investors are paying a relatively cheap multiple for a business likely to outperform conservative analyst estimates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 27

Is The Market Waking Up To Deere?

Summary Deere & Company reported good results last week, to which the market reacted positively. The stock is currently hovering around all-time highs. The company is still going through a downcycle, but there's no denying it's becoming a structurally better business. We go over the valuation to show that Deere might be trading at a reasonable valuation despite the recent run. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 21

Deere: Sell It On Q4 Earnings Bounce, Buy It Back Later

Summary Deere is the undisputed market leader among tractor and farming equipment manufacturers. This year, the whole industry faced many challenges and was expected to report weak earnings. However, after a weak report, John Deere's shares are rising close to ATHs. I see this as an opportunity to sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:DE - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
10/31/202850,1217,4217,34010,8397
10/31/202744,9226,1316,1257,87315
10/31/202641,0444,8184,2676,47215
2/1/202646,7314,8143,5767,701N/A
11/2/202545,6285,0273,2317,459N/A
7/27/202544,2505,2074,1018,556N/A
4/27/202545,3845,6524,3328,855N/A
1/26/202547,8556,2184,2309,007N/A
10/27/202451,5327,1004,4299,231N/A
7/28/202455,9558,2245,0119,832N/A
4/28/202458,6049,4684,9379,680N/A
1/28/202460,7559,9584,4558,927N/A
10/29/202361,22210,1664,1218,589N/A
7/30/202361,36110,0432,8477,177N/A
4/30/202359,6628,9492,0636,314N/A
1/29/202355,6468,1871,9906,006N/A
10/30/202252,5637,1319114,699N/A
7/31/202248,3546,1686393,830N/A
5/1/202245,7525,9511,3324,178N/A
1/30/202244,4405,6422,3145,030N/A
10/31/202143,9835,9635,1467,726N/A
8/1/202142,3755,4385,2887,740N/A
5/2/202139,8004,5826,1548,493N/A
1/31/202136,9953,4585,8188,134N/A
11/1/202035,5142,7514,8277,483N/A
8/2/202035,6872,7143,9287,065N/A
5/3/202036,7962,8022,2485,683N/A
2/2/202038,8803,2729764,555N/A
11/3/201939,2333,253N/A3,412N/A
7/28/201938,7313,316N/A2,898N/A
4/28/201939,0053,327N/A1,547N/A
1/27/201938,3893,401N/A1,467N/A
10/28/201837,3182,368N/A1,822N/A
7/29/201835,5672,094N/A799N/A
4/29/201832,9711,825N/A1,143N/A
1/28/201830,3601,425N/A1,641N/A
10/29/201729,0712,159N/A2,196N/A
7/30/201727,8741,934N/A3,175N/A
4/30/201726,8841,781N/A3,918N/A
1/29/201726,7571,468N/A3,811N/A
10/30/201626,5491,523N/A3,770N/A
7/31/201626,8041,589N/A3,872N/A
5/1/201627,6711,612N/A3,583N/A
1/31/201627,8161,807N/A3,473N/A
11/1/201528,7811,939N/A3,759N/A
7/31/201531,0462,237N/A4,036N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DE's forecast earnings growth (16.1% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: DE's earnings (16.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: DE's revenue (2.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DE's revenue (2.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DE's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 23:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/18 00:00
Earnings2026/02/01
Annual Earnings2025/11/02

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Deere & Company is covered by 50 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Mircea DobreBaird
Andrew KaplowitzBarclays