Stock Analysis

Is BlueLinx Holdings (NYSE:BXC) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:BXC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BXC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does BlueLinx Holdings Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that BlueLinx Holdings had US$293.4m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$469.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$176.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BXC Debt to Equity History November 2nd 2023

A Look At BlueLinx Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, BlueLinx Holdings had liabilities of US$267.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$686.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$469.8m as well as receivables valued at US$297.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$186.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

BlueLinx Holdings has a market capitalization of US$623.4m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, BlueLinx Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Importantly, BlueLinx Holdings's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 68% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine BlueLinx Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. BlueLinx Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, BlueLinx Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

Although BlueLinx Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$176.4m. The cherry on top was that in converted 69% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$349m. So we are not troubled with BlueLinx Holdings's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - BlueLinx Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BlueLinx Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.