Boeing Valuation

Is BA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BA ($146.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($294.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BA?

Key metric: As BA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BA. This is calculated by dividing BA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.5x
SalesUS$73.29b
Market CapUS$108.79b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
GD General Dynamics
1.7x4.7%US$77.1b
LMT Lockheed Martin
1.8x3.2%US$126.4b
NOC Northrop Grumman
1.7x4.0%US$71.5b
RTX RTX
2x5.1%US$158.3b
BA Boeing
1.5x13.3%US$108.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Aerospace & Defense Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VVX V2X
0.5x5.2%US$1.88b
LLAP Terran Orbital
0.4x29.5%US$51.22m
SIF SIFCO Industries
0.2xn/aUS$21.69m
AIRI Air Industries Group
0.3x8.9%US$14.28m
BA 1.5xIndustry Avg. 2.5xNo. of Companies9PS0246810+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the US Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.5x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$146.08
US$182.42
+24.9%
17.2%US$250.00US$85.00n/a24
Nov ’25US$154.59
US$182.63
+18.1%
17.1%US$250.00US$86.00n/a24
Oct ’25US$154.22
US$209.96
+36.1%
14.8%US$275.00US$110.00n/a24
Sep ’25US$173.74
US$220.28
+26.8%
10.8%US$275.00US$185.00n/a25
Aug ’25US$178.31
US$220.76
+23.8%
11.2%US$275.00US$175.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$186.70
US$218.08
+16.8%
11.8%US$275.00US$175.00n/a25
Jun ’25US$177.61
US$224.51
+26.4%
13.9%US$300.00US$175.00n/a27
May ’25US$171.46
US$225.83
+31.7%
16.1%US$300.00US$140.00n/a28
Apr ’25US$189.50
US$243.73
+28.6%
10.5%US$300.00US$200.00n/a28
Mar ’25US$200.00
US$258.33
+29.2%
9.7%US$300.00US$200.00n/a28
Feb ’25US$209.81
US$258.10
+23.0%
10.7%US$315.00US$190.00n/a29
Jan ’25US$260.66
US$267.86
+2.8%
12.2%US$320.00US$190.00n/a29
Dec ’24US$233.87
US$248.03
+6.1%
9.6%US$300.00US$190.00n/a29
Nov ’24US$189.38
US$240.33
+26.9%
9.9%US$275.00US$190.00US$154.5927
Oct ’24US$191.68
US$254.17
+32.6%
10.8%US$310.00US$204.00US$154.2223
Sep ’24US$223.40
US$256.45
+14.8%
10.1%US$310.00US$210.00US$173.7422
Aug ’24US$238.01
US$253.66
+6.6%
10.6%US$310.00US$210.00US$178.3121
Jul ’24US$211.16
US$233.29
+10.5%
9.8%US$291.00US$180.00US$186.7024
Jun ’24US$207.96
US$235.45
+13.2%
9.3%US$291.00US$180.00US$177.6122
May ’24US$203.87
US$232.96
+14.3%
11.5%US$291.00US$163.10US$171.4621
Apr ’24US$212.43
US$228.26
+7.4%
10.2%US$261.00US$163.10US$189.5020
Mar ’24US$204.55
US$227.86
+11.4%
10.2%US$261.00US$163.10US$200.0021
Feb ’24US$214.75
US$225.41
+5.0%
12.3%US$261.00US$160.00US$209.8120
Jan ’24US$190.49
US$203.91
+7.0%
14.3%US$250.00US$121.00US$260.6620
Dec ’23US$175.78
US$192.26
+9.4%
15.7%US$250.00US$121.00US$233.8720
Nov ’23US$143.38
US$189.24
+32.0%
17.3%US$250.00US$98.00US$189.3821

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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