This company has been acquired
Evoqua Water Technologies (AQUA) Stock Overview
Evoqua Water Technologies Corp. provides water and wastewater treatment systems and technologies, and mobile and emergency water supply solutions and contract services for industrial, commercial, and municipal water treatment markets in the United States and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
AQUA Community Fair Values
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Evoqua Water Technologies Corp. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$49.88 |
| 52 Week High | US$52.30 |
| 52 Week Low | US$30.44 |
| Beta | 1.79 |
| 1 Month Change | 1.55% |
| 3 Month Change | 2.87% |
| 1 Year Change | 39.64% |
| 3 Year Change | 163.08% |
| 5 Year Change | 158.58% |
| Change since IPO | 138.89% |
Recent News & Updates
Evoqua Water GAAP EPS of $0.07 misses by $0.01, revenue of $435.8M beats by $8.29M
Evoqua Water press release (NYSE:AQUA): Q1 GAAP EPS of $0.07 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $435.8M (+19.0% Y/Y) beats by $8.29M. Organic revenue growth contributed 9.1%, or $33.3 million, driven by favorable price realization and higher volume for products and services across most product lines and all regions. Inorganic revenue contributed $42.9 million, primarily related to our acquisition of the Mar Cor business on January 3, 2022.What To Make Of Xylem's Evoqua Acquisition
Summary Xylem just announced they have agreed to acquire Evoqua, offering 0.48 shares of Xylem per Evoqua share. Management expects the transaction to generate scale benefits, and to result in ~$140 million in synergies. We believe both companies were overvalued prior to the transaction, and a ~12% EBITDA improvement from synergies does very little to reduce an overly stretched valuation. Xylem (XYL) recently announced that they have agreed to acquire Evoqua (AQUA) in a $7.5 billion transaction. While this purchase would give Xylem access to Evoqua's strong portfolio of water and wastewater treatment solutions, which complement Xylem's existing offerings, we believe the company is overpaying significantly. That seems to be the way the market is interpreting it too, as shares of Evoqua moved higher after the announcement, as would be expected, but what is more surprising is how much Xylem's shares dropped after the news. Clearly the market believes that Xylem's shareholders are getting a bad deal, and we agree. Data by YCharts There are, however, some synergy opportunities as the two companies have compatible cultures and complementary operations. The way management is describing the rational is that this would create the "most advanced water solutions and services business at scale". The combined company Management expects $140M of expected run-rate cost synergies within three years, from things like enhanced purchasing power, logistics and freight savings, optimization of their office and branch footprint, increased utilization of their manufacturing facilities, reduced public company costs, etc. The slide below shows how the revenue by end market and by geography would look like for the combined company. Importantly, the company would have ~$7.1 billion in annual revenue and ~$1.2 billion in adjusted EBITDA before synergies. Synergies should add ~12% to the total adjusted EBITDA once realized. Xylem Investor Presentation In terms of revenue growth, Evoqua was growing a little bit faster at ~7% on average compared to a ~4% average for Xylem. The combined company should be expected to grow somewhere in the middle. While Xylem has a bigger weighting, there could be some revenue synergies that might be realized. Data by YCharts Transaction details At least Xylem is using its own overvalued shares as currency for the acquisition, as this is an all-stock transaction at a 0.480 exchange ratio. This means that Evoqua shareholders should receive 0.48 shares of Xylem for every share of Evoqua they own. Evoqua shareholders are expected to own approximately 25% of the combined company. With Xylem shares currently at $101.42, this would value Evoqua shares at $48.68. They are currently at 47.28, meaning there is still a ~3% spread that arbitrageurs could target. The fact that the spread is so low means the market believes the transaction has a high likelihood of being completed. The acquisition is expected to close mid-2023, and is subject to approval from shareholders of both companies, as well as required regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions. Balance Sheets The fact that it is an all-stock transaction means that at least Xylem will not over-leverage its balance sheet. This is important because Xylem was already carrying ~$2.3 billion in debt, and Evoqua ~$880 million that Xylem will now assume. Both companies have a similar financial debt to EBITDA ratio of ~3.6x, which means that if they meet the synergy targets their leverage could actually end up lower. Data by YCharts Valuation We believe this transaction changes very little the reality that both companies were overvalued before the acquisition, and look overvalued even assuming EBITDA grows ~12% thanks to synergies. We therefore believe at current prices both companies are a 'Sell', as the synergies and revenue growth rates don't justify such stretched valuation multiples. Data by YCharts We agree with Seeking Alpha, which gives Xylem an 'F' valuation grade. The only metric where it doesn't do that bad is the dividend yield, and even then we would argue that a ~1.18% yield is nothing to get too excited about. Seeking Alpha Risks There are two main risks that we believe both Evoqua and Xylem shareholders should consider in regards to the merged company. One is the integration risk, as mergers can sometimes be messy, and there are times when there are dis-synergies in addition to synergies, especially when company cultures clash.Evoqua Water Technologies: Great Results Do Not Translate To A Great Prospect
Summary Evoqua Water Technologies continues to generate strong sales, profit, and cash flow growth. This trend will probably continue, but it's important to keep in mind the price being paid for growth. At the end of the day, shares aren't affordably priced at this point in time. Although water makes up around 70% of the surface of the planet, it truly is one of the most vital resources we have. Not only is it necessary in order for life to continue, it's also true that only a small fraction of it is potable. Given the scarcity and significance of water in our world today, it should not be a surprise that there would be a number of companies dedicated to providing various goods and services aimed at handling, cleaning, transporting, etc… the water that we use. One such firm that warrants attention is Evoqua Water Technologies (AQUA), an enterprise that provides its customers with mission-critical water and wastewater treatment solutions. Recent fundamental performance achieved by the company has been robust. This has made shares cheaper as time has gone on. But at the end of the day, shares don't look cheap to me. Although I acknowledge that the company is a high-quality firm that would likely continue to fare well down the road, I do think that shares are more or less fairly valued at this moment. And because of that, I've decided to keep my ‘hold’ rating on its stock to reflect my view that shares should generate upside or downside that more or less match the broader market moving forward. Surpassing expectations In May of 2022, I wrote an article discussing whether it made sense to buy into shares of Evoqua Water Technologies or not. Leading up to that point, shares of the company had experienced a great deal of downside, with the pain surpassing even what the broader market had experienced. Even though this was what was transpiring, fundamental performance for the company was stronger than it had been one year earlier and the trend for the firm continued to show signs of improvement. But because of how shares were priced, I felt as though there were better prospects to be had and, as a result, I kept the company at the ‘hold’ level that I had assigned it previously. Since then, the market has disagreed with my assessment. While the S&P 500 is down 2.9%, shares of Evoqua Water Technologies have generated upside for investors of 13.9%. Author - SEC EDGAR Data When I last wrote about the enterprise, we only had data covering through the second quarter of its 2022 fiscal year. Today, that data now extends through the rest of that year. For 2022 as a whole, revenue came in at $1.74 billion. That's roughly 19% higher than the $1.46 billion generated in 2021. This increase, according to management, was driven largely by a 22.2% surge in product sales. Services revenue, meanwhile, increased a more modest but still impressive 13.5%. Most of the growth for the company came from organic means, with higher pricing and higher product and services volume adding 10.2%, or $149.4 million, to the company's top line. Inorganic revenue, largely centered around acquisition activities, added a further 9.4%, or $137.1 million, to the company's revenue. It is worth noting that the firm was hit negatively to the tune of $13.8 million thanks to foreign currency fluctuations. The rise in revenue for the company, especially since it was driven by both higher pricing and higher volume, resulted in a significant improvement in profitability. Net income shot up from $51.5 million to $72.2 million. Operating cash flow was a bit more tepid, climbing from $178.7 million to $181.4 million. But if we adjust for changes in working capital, the metric would have risen a very impressive 23.9% from $182.2 million to $225.8 million. In addition to that, we also have data for EBITDA. Based on what's provided, this figure rose from $250.9 million to $297.7 million. Author - SEC EDGAR Data Given current economic concerns, I can understand why some investors would be wondering if the firm was showing any weakness toward the end of 2022. The answer to that would be no. Sales in the final quarter of the year totaled $504.8 million. That's 18.5% above the $426 million reported in the final quarter of 2021. Net income shot up from $26.9 million to $41.3 million. Operating cash flow expanded from $75.8 million to $94.5 million, with the adjusted figure for this increasing from $61 million to $71.5 million. And finally, EBITDA for the enterprise rose from $81.9 million to $93.2 million. In fact, the picture for the company is going so well that management has provided some fairly detailed guidance when it comes to the 2023 fiscal year. Revenue is expected to come in at between $1.81 billion and $1.89 billion. Using the midpoint for this, sales should increase by roughly 6.5%. The firm is also forecasting EBITDA of between $310 million and $330 million. That implies a year-over-year increase of between 4% and 11%. If we assume that other profitability metrics will rise at the same rate that EBITDA it's forecast to, we should anticipate net income of $77.6 million and adjusted operating cash flow of $242.7 million. Author - SEC EDGAR Data Using these figures, we can effectively price the company. The results can be seen in the table above. Given timing and the uncertainty that the future holds, I would like to emphasize the valuation of the company using 2022 data. At present, this would imply a price-to-earnings multiple of 67.7, a price to adjusted operating cash flow multiple of 21.7, and an EV to EBITDA multiple of 18.9. For context, I also compared the company to five similar enterprises.Recent updates
Shareholder Returns
| AQUA | US Machinery | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 1.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| 1Y | 39.6% | 48.6% | 20.3% |
Return vs Industry: AQUA exceeded the US Machinery industry which returned 10.7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: AQUA exceeded the US Market which returned 4% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| AQUA volatility | |
|---|---|
| AQUA Average Weekly Movement | 3.0% |
| Machinery Industry Average Movement | 6.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: AQUA has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
Volatility Over Time: AQUA's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 4,500 | Ron Keating | www.evoqua.com |
Evoqua Water Technologies Corp. provides water and wastewater treatment systems and technologies, and mobile and emergency water supply solutions and contract services for industrial, commercial, and municipal water treatment markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Integrated Solutions and Services, and Applied Product Technologies. The Integrated Solutions and Services segment offers outsourced water service contracts, capital systems and related recurring aftermarket services, parts and consumables, and emergency services for treating process water, utility water, and wastewater.
Evoqua Water Technologies Corp. Fundamentals Summary
| AQUA fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$6.10b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$78.78m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.86b |
Is AQUA overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| AQUA income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.86b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.28b |
| Gross Profit | US$582.61m |
| Other Expenses | US$503.83m |
| Earnings | US$78.78m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2023
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.64 |
| Gross Margin | 31.36% |
| Net Profit Margin | 4.24% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 118.1% |
How did AQUA perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2023/05/25 19:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2023/05/23 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2023/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2022/09/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Evoqua Water Technologies Corp. is covered by 12 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Michael Halloran | Baird |
| Andrew Buscaglia | Berenberg |
| Andrew Kaplowitz | Citigroup Inc |