This company has been acquired
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings (AJRD) Stock Overview
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aerospace and defense products and systems in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
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Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$57.99 |
| 52 Week High | US$58.01 |
| 52 Week Low | US$39.18 |
| Beta | 0.52 |
| 1 Month Change | 5.21% |
| 3 Month Change | 2.80% |
| 1 Year Change | 32.73% |
| 3 Year Change | 40.58% |
| 5 Year Change | 69.51% |
| Change since IPO | 373.39% |
Recent News & Updates
The Aerojet Rocketdyne Lesson: Eyes On Facts And Opportunity
Summary The acquisition of Aerojet Rocketdyne by L3Harris Technologies has been finalized. Opposition to the merger by Sen. Elizabeth Warren was driven by anti-consolidation and anti-corporate sentiment, rather than fact-driven concerns about competition. Investors should consider the remaining upside of a stock set to be bought against the time remaining for the transaction to close and the opportunities offered by the market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAerojet Rocketdyne Stock: Time To Sell?
Summary Aerojet Rocketdyne stock has around 3% upside left. I believe opposition to the merger with L3Harris Technologies is not justified or supported by the reality of the business strengths of the companies. Aerojet Rocketdyne shares could be a sell, since taking profits and deploying the cash elsewhere might yield higher returns than waiting on the deal to be approved and value materialize. Aerojet Rocketdyne (AJRD) stock is one that I had a positive view on for a very long time. Since the announcement of the acquisition of Aerojet Rocketdyne by L3Harris Technologies (LHX), the stock took off but it is also a moment to wonder whether it is time to sell your Aerojet Rocketdyne shares. In this report I explain why as well and I discuss the company's most recent results. Aerojet Rocketdyne Stock Price Surged Seeking Alpha Aerojet Rocketdyne stock surged by 36.1% since I had a buy recommendation on the stock as I recognized that the company's quarterly results were impacted by Standard Missile charges which would actually allow the company to increase output in the future. Furthermore, I recognized the compelling position of Aerojet Rocketdyne in the current defense landscape where the importance to national security of Aerojet Rocketdyne shows. This also made the company attractive as a stand-alone business as well as an acquisition target as I pointed out. Aerojet Rocketdyne Q4 2022 Results Aerojet Rocketdyne Looking at the sales, Aerojet Rocketdyne revenues grew by 9.9% to $2.24 billion. Net income and adjusted net income, however, dropped to $74 million and $115 million, a significant reduction from $146.6 million and $164.5 million last year. So, sales growth did not translate into higher earnings. Higher sales were driven by the Next Generation Interceptor offset by lower RS-25 engine sales, which are used on the Space Launch System. Cost of sales grew from 82.3% of the revenues to 85.2% driven by supply chain disruptions. The Standard Missile program was also affected by this and accounting rules required some revenues and profits to be reversed as capacity had to be increased to accommodate customer requests to accelerate deliveries. Furthermore, Aerojet Rocketdyne had $43.5 million in proxy costs, litigation and legal settlements and a $22 million loss of debt. Would those not have occurred, the company would have booked a $139.5 million profit and there also was some acceleration in stock-based compensation due to the L3Harris merger agreement. What is somewhat unfortunate is that some program specific pressure such as the Standard Missile cost growth have not been quantified. Otherwise, we could have a better view on individual cost components swinging profits one way or the other. What we do know is that unusual items were $94 million compared to $29.4 million. Adjusting for that, the net income for 2022 would have been $168 million compared to $176 million last year, which I believe are not awful earnings if you consider the challenges in the supply chain. However, what is somewhat disappointing is that just as a stand-alone report the 10K does not provide a lot of detail and with the absence of an earnings call from management, analyzing the results was not easy. As an investor, you miss a lot of color that management normally does provide. Aerojet Rocketdyne and L3Harris Acquisition News Right now, all eyes are on an approval of the proposed merger between L3Harris Technologies and Aerojet Rocketdyne which is expected this year. I strongly believe that this merger is significantly different from the Lockheed Martin merger with Aerojet Rocketdyne as the former provides a horizontal integration while the latter provides a vertical integration with a company to which Aerojet Rocketdyne is a major supplier. The big question is whether the FTC will approve the merger. Sen. Elizabeth Warren wrote the following opposing the merger: This deal between Aerojet and L3Harris would reduce competition in the shrinking defense industry to a new low, and I encourage the FTC to oppose this dangerous transaction. I strongly believe that this view is too much driven by the anti-consolidation attitude and not enough by facts recognizing the differences in business activity for L3Harris and Aerojet Rocketdyne.Recent updates
Shareholder Returns
| AJRD | US Aerospace & Defense | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 3.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% |
| 1Y | 32.7% | 24.0% | 19.6% |
Return vs Industry: AJRD exceeded the US Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 1.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: AJRD exceeded the US Market which returned 9.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| AJRD volatility | |
|---|---|
| AJRD Average Weekly Movement | 1.2% |
| Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement | 9.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: AJRD has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
Volatility Over Time: AJRD's weekly volatility (1%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1915 | 5,283 | Eileen Drake | www.aerojetrocketdyne.com |
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aerospace and defense products and systems in the United States. It operates in two segments, Aerospace and Defense, and Real Estate. The Aerospace and Defense segment offers aerospace and defense products and systems for the United States government, including the Department of Defense, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, and aerospace and defense prime contractors.
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| AJRD fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$4.67b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$73.80m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$2.29b |
Is AJRD overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| AJRD income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$2.29b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.97b |
| Gross Profit | US$323.90m |
| Other Expenses | US$250.10m |
| Earnings | US$73.80m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2023
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.92 |
| Gross Margin | 14.13% |
| Net Profit Margin | 3.22% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 45.9% |
How did AJRD perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2023/07/29 09:09 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2023/07/27 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2023/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2022/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Kenneth Herbert | Canaccord Genuity |
| George Godfrey | CL King & Associates, Inc. |