UFP Industries, Inc.

NasdaqGS:UFPI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.5b

UFP Industries Valuation

Is UFPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UFPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UFPI ($121.79) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($52.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UFPI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UFPI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UFPI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.7x
PEG Ratio4.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UFPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UFPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.5x
AZEK AZEK
60.8x13.2%US$7.3b
AWI Armstrong World Industries
24.4x9.2%US$5.5b
SSD Simpson Manufacturing
24.3x7.4%US$8.6b
TREX Trex Company
52.5x12.7%US$10.8b
UFPI UFP Industries
15.3x3.3%US$7.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UFPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the peer average (40.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UFPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UFPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the US Building industry average (24x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UFPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UFPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.3x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UFPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UFPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$121.79
US$120.00
-1.5%
10.1%US$137.00US$102.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$115.96
US$120.00
+3.5%
10.1%US$137.00US$102.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$116.27
US$111.00
-4.5%
5.3%US$120.00US$102.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$125.55
US$111.00
-11.6%
5.3%US$120.00US$102.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$112.94
US$110.50
-2.2%
5.1%US$120.00US$102.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$95.78
US$110.50
+15.4%
5.1%US$120.00US$102.00n/a6
Oct ’24US$102.40
US$115.00
+12.3%
6.1%US$122.00US$102.00n/a6
Sep ’24US$107.31
US$115.00
+7.2%
6.1%US$122.00US$102.00n/a6
Aug ’24US$103.35
US$106.00
+2.6%
4.5%US$112.00US$100.00n/a6
Jul ’24US$97.05
US$104.33
+7.5%
4.6%US$112.00US$100.00n/a6
Jun ’24US$79.26
US$104.33
+31.6%
4.6%US$112.00US$100.00n/a6
May ’24US$79.36
US$102.50
+29.2%
4.8%US$112.00US$95.00n/a6
Apr ’24US$79.47
US$102.50
+29.0%
4.8%US$112.00US$95.00n/a6
Mar ’24US$85.59
US$101.33
+18.4%
6.9%US$112.00US$88.00US$115.966
Feb ’24US$96.33
US$95.17
-1.2%
6.8%US$102.00US$85.00US$116.276
Jan ’24US$79.25
US$95.17
+20.1%
6.8%US$102.00US$85.00US$125.556
Dec ’23US$83.51
US$95.17
+14.0%
6.8%US$102.00US$85.00US$112.946
Nov ’23US$71.58
US$95.17
+33.0%
6.8%US$102.00US$85.00US$95.786
Oct ’23US$72.16
US$104.50
+44.8%
9.5%US$120.00US$88.00US$102.406
Sep ’23US$78.87
US$104.50
+32.5%
9.5%US$120.00US$88.00US$107.316
Aug ’23US$92.01
US$104.50
+13.6%
9.5%US$120.00US$88.00US$103.356
Jul ’23US$69.14
US$102.50
+48.2%
9.6%US$120.00US$88.00US$97.056
Jun ’23US$77.86
US$102.50
+31.6%
9.6%US$120.00US$88.00US$79.266
May ’23US$77.37
US$102.50
+32.5%
9.6%US$120.00US$88.00US$79.366
Apr ’23US$78.40
US$99.83
+27.3%
11.3%US$115.00US$82.00US$79.476
Mar ’23US$83.32
US$99.83
+19.8%
11.3%US$115.00US$82.00US$85.596

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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