Twin Disc, Incorporated

NasdaqGS:TWIN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$157.5m

Twin Disc Valuation

Is TWIN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TWIN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TWIN ($11.07) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TWIN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TWIN?

Key metric: As TWIN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TWIN. This is calculated by dividing TWIN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TWIN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.6x
EarningsUS$9.40m
Market CapUS$157.54m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TWIN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TWIN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.2x
MNTX Manitex International
12.5x11.0%US$116.7m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.8x-46.6%US$77.0m
CYD China Yuchai International
7.2x7.1%US$335.7m
PLOW Douglas Dynamics
10.5x-3.7%US$572.5m
TWIN Twin Disc
16.6xn/aUS$157.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TWIN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (8.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TWIN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
1.9xn/aUS$419.99m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.8x-46.6%US$76.99m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$659.00
No more companies available in this PE range
TWIN 16.6xIndustry Avg. 23.8xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TWIN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (23.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TWIN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TWIN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TWIN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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