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Merlin, Inc.NasdaqGM:MRLN Stock Report

Market Cap US$1.0b
Share Price
US$7.06
US$25
71.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-30.5%
7D-15.0%
Portfolio Value
View

Merlin, Inc.

NasdaqGM:MRLN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.0b

Merlin (MRLN) Stock Overview

An aerospace and defense technology company, develops AI-powered autonomous flight software and systems for aircraft in the United States and New Zealand. More details

MRLN fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends0/6

MRLN Community Fair Values

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Merlin, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Merlin
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$7.06
52 Week HighUS$17.00
52 Week LowUS$5.88
Beta0
1 Month Change-35.05%
3 Month Change-32.89%
1 Year Change-30.51%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-28.32%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 06

Merlin: Evolutionary Flight Autonomy, Not AI Hype

Summary Merlin targets aerospace autonomy with its Merlin Pilot, blending AI and hardware for scalable, certifiable flight solutions. MRLN’s dual military-commercial strategy and focus on air traffic communication autonomy differentiate it from peers and enhance contract potential. Valuation analysis suggests MRLN is fairly valued near $8.27, with 2%-3% upside, supporting a hold or speculative long-term buy stance. Key risks include engineering and certification hurdles before commercial scalability, but strong contracting relationships and real-world testing are positives. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 06

Merlin: Evolutionary Flight Autonomy, Not AI Hype

Summary Merlin targets aerospace autonomy with its Merlin Pilot, blending AI and hardware for scalable, certifiable flight solutions. MRLN’s dual military-commercial strategy and focus on air traffic communication autonomy differentiate it from peers and enhance contract potential. Valuation analysis suggests MRLN is fairly valued near $8.27, with 2%-3% upside, supporting a hold or speculative long-term buy stance. Key risks include engineering and certification hurdles before commercial scalability, but strong contracting relationships and real-world testing are positives. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Shareholder Returns

MRLNUS Aerospace & DefenseUS Market
7D-15.0%1.2%0.5%
1Y-30.5%33.4%25.4%

Return vs Industry: MRLN underperformed the US Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 33.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: MRLN underperformed the US Market which returned 25.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is MRLN's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MRLN volatility
MRLN Average Weekly Movement26.0%
Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement9.2%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.0%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: MRLN's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: MRLN's weekly volatility has increased from 13% to 26% over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2018125Matt Georgewww.merlinlabs.com

Merlin, Inc., an aerospace and defense technology company, develops AI-powered autonomous flight software and systems for aircraft in the United States and New Zealand. The company provides an aircraft-agnostic, AI-powered software platform that enables autonomous flight for both legacy and next-generation airborne systems. Its main product, the Merlin Pilot, is an integrated hardware and software solution that manages navigation, communication with air traffic control, obstacle avoidance, and real-time decision-making using sensor technologies and natural language processing.

Merlin, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Merlin's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
MRLN fundamental statistics
Market capUS$1.01b
Earnings (TTM)-US$420.49m
Revenue (TTM)US$7.55m
121.0x
P/S Ratio
-2.2x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
MRLN income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$7.55m
Cost of RevenueUS$9.18m
Gross Profit-US$1.63m
Other ExpensesUS$418.86m
Earnings-US$420.49m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-3.25
Gross Margin-21.60%
Net Profit Margin-5,568.73%
Debt/Equity Ratio-83.1%

How did MRLN perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/14 23:11
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/14 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Merlin, Inc. is covered by 1 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Suji DesilvaRoth Capital Partners