How Bank of America’s Downgrade and Spinoff May Influence Honeywell (HON) Investors

Simply Wall St
  • In the past week, Bank of America downgraded Honeywell International from 'buy' to 'sell' due to concerns over limited earnings growth and the recent Solstice Advanced Materials spinoff, contributing to increased trading activity and cautious market sentiment.
  • This development comes alongside Honeywell's continued push into AI-assisted industrial automation, as it collaborates with TotalEnergies to pilot its Experion Operations Assistant at the Port Arthur refinery in Texas.
  • We'll examine how Bank of America's downgrade, amid the ongoing business transformation and spinoff, influences Honeywell's investment outlook.

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Honeywell International Investment Narrative Recap

Owning Honeywell International comes down to confidence in its ability to unlock value through its business transformation, particularly the planned separation into three standalone entities. Despite Bank of America's recent downgrade and the Solstice spinoff, these events do not appear to shift the fundamental near-term catalyst: successful execution of the split. However, the biggest risk remains in stability of end-market demand amid global economic uncertainty, and these news events haven’t yet materially affected that outlook.

Among recent announcements, Honeywell’s pilot of the AI-powered Experion Operations Assistant with TotalEnergies stands out. The software’s ability to help predict plant issues, reduce downtime, and cut emissions supports the automation segment’s growth narrative. This aligns with expectations that innovations in automation could drive margin expansion and increase the importance of the segment as the company transitions.

By contrast, investors should still be attentive to near-term pressures from separation costs and execution risk, especially if initial integration challenges or market headwinds surface...

Read the full narrative on Honeywell International (it's free!)

Honeywell International's outlook anticipates $45.8 billion in revenue and $7.5 billion in earnings by 2028. This is based on a 4.6% annual revenue growth rate and an increase in earnings of $1.8 billion from current earnings of $5.7 billion.

Uncover how Honeywell International's forecasts yield a $241.67 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

HON Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

While consensus estimates project Honeywell’s revenue climbing to around US$43.7 billion by 2028, bearish analysts highlight the margin challenges and potential near-term earnings pressures from separation costs. Depending on how the recent developments play out, these opposing views illustrate why it’s valuable for you to consider all sides before making up your mind.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Honeywell International - why the stock might be worth as much as 27% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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