Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation

NasdaqGS:GLDD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$802.9m

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Valuation

Is GLDD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GLDD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GLDD ($12.06) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($83.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GLDD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GLDD?

Key metric: As GLDD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GLDD. This is calculated by dividing GLDD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GLDD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.7x
EarningsUS$59.11m
Market CapUS$802.89m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GLDD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GLDD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.9x
LMB Limbach Holdings
40.3x18.5%US$1.0b
AMRC Ameresco
26.2x33.7%US$1.3b
NWPX Northwest Pipe
17.9x4.2%US$528.2m
AGX Argan
43.3x23.2%US$1.8b
GLDD Great Lakes Dredge & Dock
13.7x5.7%US$802.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GLDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the peer average (31.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GLDD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
GLDD 13.7xIndustry Avg. 34.9xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GLDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the US Construction industry average (34.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GLDD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GLDD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.7x
Fair PE Ratio15.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GLDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GLDD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.06
US$14.67
+21.6%
3.2%US$15.00US$14.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$11.69
US$14.00
+19.8%
5.8%US$15.00US$13.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$10.72
US$14.00
+30.6%
5.8%US$15.00US$13.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$9.95
US$13.00
+30.7%
12.6%US$15.00US$11.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$9.02
US$12.67
+40.4%
9.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$8.56
US$12.67
+48.0%
9.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$9.15
US$12.50
+36.6%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00n/a2
May ’25US$6.84
US$12.67
+85.2%
9.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$8.54
US$12.67
+48.3%
9.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$9.15
US$12.67
+38.4%
9.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$7.82
US$12.00
+53.5%
11.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$7.68
US$12.00
+56.3%
11.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$6.92
US$12.00
+73.4%
11.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$7.40
US$12.50
+68.9%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$11.692
Oct ’24US$7.97
US$12.50
+56.8%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$10.722
Sep ’24US$8.79
US$12.50
+42.2%
12.0%US$14.00US$11.00US$9.952
Aug ’24US$9.45
US$12.00
+27.0%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$9.022
Jul ’24US$8.16
US$12.00
+47.1%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$8.562
Jun ’24US$6.94
US$12.00
+72.9%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$9.152
May ’24US$5.83
US$12.00
+105.8%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$6.842
Apr ’24US$5.43
US$12.00
+121.0%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$8.542
Mar ’24US$5.55
US$12.00
+116.2%
16.7%US$14.00US$10.00US$9.152
Nov ’23US$7.80
US$17.03
+118.3%
0.1%US$17.05US$17.00US$7.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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