Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:CVGI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$69.9m

Commercial Vehicle Group Valuation

Is CVGI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CVGI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$2.35
Fair Value
8.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: CVGI ($2.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CVGI is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CVGI?

Key metric: As CVGI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CVGI. This is calculated by dividing CVGI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CVGI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio2.5x
EarningsUS$27.61m
Market CapUS$69.88m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CVGI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CVGI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12x
TWIN Twin Disc
17.1xn/aUS$160.8m
CYD China Yuchai International
8.7x7.1%US$423.0m
PLOW Douglas Dynamics
11.1x-3.7%US$597.4m
MLR Miller Industries
11.2x8.2%US$772.5m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.5x-37.8%US$69.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CVGI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CVGI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.23.2x10.6%
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
 2.5x-37.8%US$69.88m
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
1.9xn/aUS$429.99m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
CVGI 2.5xIndustry Avg. 23.2xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.23.2x10.6%
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
 2.5x-37.8%US$69.88m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CVGI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (23.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CVGI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CVGI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.5x
Fair PE Ratio5.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CVGI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CVGI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.15
US$6.33
+194.6%
19.7%US$8.00US$5.00n/a3
Jan ’26US$2.48
US$6.33
+155.4%
19.7%US$8.00US$5.00n/a3
Dec ’25US$2.41
US$6.33
+162.8%
19.7%US$8.00US$5.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$3.01
US$7.33
+143.6%
12.9%US$8.00US$6.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$3.07
US$7.33
+138.9%
12.9%US$8.00US$6.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$3.63
US$7.33
+102.0%
12.9%US$8.00US$6.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$5.10
US$11.00
+115.7%
7.4%US$12.00US$10.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$4.96
US$11.00
+121.8%
7.4%US$12.00US$10.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$5.41
US$11.00
+103.3%
7.4%US$12.00US$10.00n/a3
May ’25US$5.87
US$11.00
+87.4%
7.4%US$12.00US$10.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$6.51
US$11.00
+69.0%
7.4%US$12.00US$10.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$6.70
US$11.67
+74.1%
10.7%US$13.00US$10.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$6.64
US$11.67
+75.7%
10.7%US$13.00US$10.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$7.01
US$11.67
+66.4%
10.7%US$13.00US$10.00US$2.483
Dec ’24US$6.91
US$11.67
+68.8%
10.7%US$13.00US$10.00US$2.413
Nov ’24US$6.93
US$12.67
+82.8%
3.7%US$13.00US$12.00US$3.013
Oct ’24US$7.76
US$12.67
+63.2%
3.7%US$13.00US$12.00US$3.073
Sep ’24US$9.14
US$12.67
+38.6%
3.7%US$13.00US$12.00US$3.633
Aug ’24US$10.66
US$12.67
+18.8%
3.7%US$13.00US$12.00US$5.103
Jul ’24US$11.10
US$12.67
+14.1%
3.7%US$13.00US$12.00US$4.963
Jun ’24US$9.79
US$12.67
+29.4%
3.7%US$13.00US$12.00US$5.413
May ’24US$7.39
US$11.00
+48.8%
12.9%US$13.00US$10.00US$5.873
Apr ’24US$7.30
US$11.00
+50.7%
12.9%US$13.00US$10.00US$6.513
Mar ’24US$8.11
US$11.00
+35.6%
12.9%US$13.00US$10.00US$6.703
Feb ’24US$8.58
US$11.00
+28.2%
12.9%US$13.00US$10.00US$6.643
Jan ’24US$6.81
US$11.00
+61.5%
12.9%US$13.00US$10.00US$7.013
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
US$6.33
Fair Value
66.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/29 15:58
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/29 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. is covered by 5 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David LeikerBaird
Gary PrestopinoBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Joseph GomesNOBLE Capital Markets, Inc.