Swedbank AB (publ)

OTCPK:SWDB.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$22.0b

Swedbank Valuation

Is SWDB.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWDB.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWDB.F ($19.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($43.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWDB.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWDB.F?

Key metric: As SWDB.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SWDB.F. This is calculated by dividing SWDB.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SWDB.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7x
EarningsSEK 34.72b
Market CapSEK 244.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWDB.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWDB.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
BAP Credicorp
10.3x11.5%US$14.7b
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp
13.8x8.5%US$30.2b
FCNC.A First Citizens BancShares
11.2x-9.1%US$29.1b
CMA Comerica
15x10.4%US$8.5b
SWDB.F Swedbank
7x-8.8%US$244.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWDB.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWDB.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
SWDB.F 7.0xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies83PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWDB.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWDB.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWDB.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SWDB.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWDB.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$19.44
US$21.62
+11.3%
7.5%US$24.69US$18.13n/a16
Dec ’25US$19.30
US$21.72
+12.5%
6.8%US$24.65US$19.47n/a16
Nov ’25US$20.98
US$22.53
+7.4%
6.5%US$25.00US$20.36n/a16
Oct ’25US$21.54
US$23.09
+7.2%
6.7%US$25.71US$19.48n/a17
Sep ’25US$21.40
US$23.13
+8.1%
6.6%US$25.09US$19.56n/a16
Aug ’25US$21.23
US$22.18
+4.5%
7.0%US$24.77US$18.56n/a16
Jul ’25n/a
US$22.08
0%
7.4%US$24.50US$18.37n/a15
Jun ’25US$20.45
US$22.11
+8.1%
8.0%US$24.85US$18.29n/a15
May ’25US$19.25
US$21.60
+12.2%
8.3%US$24.69US$17.83n/a15
Apr ’25US$20.20
US$22.42
+11.0%
9.0%US$26.11US$18.45n/a15
Mar ’25US$22.51
US$22.87
+1.6%
9.8%US$26.75US$18.41n/a19
Feb ’25US$20.11
US$22.46
+11.7%
11.0%US$26.52US$18.26n/a18
Jan ’25n/a
US$22.52
0%
11.8%US$27.41US$18.15n/a18
Dec ’24US$18.95
US$22.63
+19.4%
12.1%US$27.66US$17.83US$19.3018
Nov ’24US$16.08
US$20.94
+30.2%
11.9%US$25.71US$16.57US$20.9819
Oct ’24US$18.45
US$21.72
+17.7%
11.9%US$25.63US$16.93US$21.5418
Sep ’24US$17.54
US$22.34
+27.3%
11.3%US$26.45US$17.47US$21.4020
Aug ’24US$18.65
US$22.38
+20.0%
11.8%US$26.60US$16.62US$21.2320
Jul ’24US$16.27
US$21.45
+31.8%
12.8%US$25.80US$15.95n/a20
Jun ’24US$15.44
US$20.87
+35.2%
13.4%US$25.33US$15.66US$20.4520
May ’24US$17.45
US$22.36
+28.1%
12.9%US$26.81US$16.57US$19.2520
Apr ’24US$16.52
US$22.19
+34.4%
13.6%US$27.55US$16.44US$20.2020
Mar ’24US$19.84
US$22.03
+11.0%
13.7%US$27.42US$16.36US$22.5120
Feb ’24US$20.00
US$21.62
+8.1%
12.9%US$25.65US$16.46US$20.1120
Jan ’24US$16.91
US$20.31
+20.1%
12.5%US$24.97US$16.65n/a20
Dec ’23US$16.20
US$19.54
+20.6%
12.1%US$24.29US$16.19US$18.9520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 01:58
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Swedbank AB (publ) is covered by 46 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Magnus AnderssonABG Sundal Collier
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
Fridtjof BerentsArctic Securities ASA