Provident Financial Services Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Provident Financial Services is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 48.9% and 22.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 39.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.4% in 3 years.

Key information

48.9%

Earnings growth rate

39.5%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	22.6%
Future return on equity	10.4%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	16 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.24

Nov 02

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.24

Jul 29

Provident Financial: An Old Local Bank With Growth Potential After Lakeland Bank Merger

Feb 14

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE:PFS) Analysts Just Slashed This Year's Revenue Estimates By 15%

Jul 30

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.24

May 01

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Apr 27

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.24

Jan 30

Revenue Downgrade: Here's What Analysts Forecast For Provident Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE:PFS)

Jan 28

Provident Financial GAAP EPS of $0.66 beats by $0.03, revenue of $132.33M misses by $2.95M

Jan 27

Provident Financial Services' (NYSE:PFS) Dividend Will Be $0.24

Oct 31

Provident Financial GAAP EPS of $0.58 in-line, revenue of $137.93M beats by $11.68M

Oct 28

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PFS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	927	304	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2025	877	278	N/A	N/A	3
12/31/2024	700	132	N/A	N/A	3
9/30/2024	526	94	229	233	N/A
6/30/2024	428	76	200	206	N/A
3/31/2024	441	120	149	157	N/A
12/31/2023	451	128	166	173	N/A
9/30/2023	464	150	162	170	N/A
6/30/2023	491	165	178	184	N/A
3/31/2023	500	172	206	207	N/A
12/31/2022	497	176	191	200	N/A
9/30/2022	479	164	179	192	N/A
6/30/2022	463	158	156	170	N/A
3/31/2022	468	163	151	171	N/A
12/31/2021	474	168	143	157	N/A
9/30/2021	475	171	171	185	N/A
6/30/2021	457	161	117	132	N/A
3/31/2021	408	131	97	110	N/A
12/31/2020	355	97	90	103	N/A
9/30/2020	332	82	64	73	N/A
6/30/2020	326	87	122	129	N/A
3/31/2020	336	97	133	139	N/A
12/31/2019	349	113	132	137	N/A
9/30/2019	352	122	128	132	N/A
6/30/2019	352	127	151	154	N/A
3/31/2019	341	121	152	155	N/A
12/31/2018	336	118	153	156	N/A
9/30/2018	328	102	156	159	N/A
6/30/2018	322	93	N/A	150	N/A
3/31/2018	331	98	N/A	125	N/A
12/31/2017	328	94	N/A	117	N/A
9/30/2017	325	97	N/A	133	N/A
6/30/2017	318	93	N/A	111	N/A
3/31/2017	312	90	N/A	124	N/A
12/31/2016	309	88	N/A	127	N/A
9/30/2016	307	87	N/A	113	N/A
6/30/2016	302	84	N/A	120	N/A
3/31/2016	304	85	N/A	121	N/A
12/31/2015	301	84	N/A	115	N/A
9/30/2015	296	83	N/A	114	N/A
6/30/2015	295	82	N/A	110	N/A
3/31/2015	284	76	N/A	106	N/A
12/31/2014	275	74	N/A	102	N/A
9/30/2014	264	70	N/A	96	N/A
6/30/2014	256	67	N/A	102	N/A
3/31/2014	255	70	N/A	104	N/A
12/31/2013	255	71	N/A	120	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PFS's forecast earnings growth (48.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: PFS's earnings (48.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PFS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PFS's revenue (22.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PFS's revenue (22.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PFS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.4%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 02:09
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Provident Financial Services, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Erik Zwick	Boenning & Scattergood, Inc.
Manuel Navas	D.A. Davidson & Co.
null null	D.A. Davidson & Co.

Provident Financial Services Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Price target increased by 10% to US$19.80

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 64%

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$18.20

Price target decreased by 8.2% to US$17.80

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 12%

Recent updates

Independent Director recently sold US$1.4m worth of stock

Executive Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

Insider recently sold US$325k worth of stock

New minor risk - Insider selling

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.24

Third quarter dividend of US$0.24 announced

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Provident Financial Services, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on November 29, 2024

Provident Financial Services, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 29, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.24 per share

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.24

Price target increased by 10% to US$19.80

Second quarter dividend of US$0.24 announced

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Provident Financial Services, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on August 30, 2024

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Provident Financial Services, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 25, 2024

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE:PFS) completed the acquisition of Lakeland Bancorp, Inc. (NasdaqGS:LBAI).

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 64%

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$18.20

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Provident Financial Services, Inc. Announces Net Charge-Offs for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2024

Provident Financial Services, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 18, 2024

Price target decreased by 8.2% to US$17.80

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 12%

Provident Financial Services, Inc. Receives Regulatory Approvals from FDIC and New Jersey Department of Banking and Insurance for Its Merger with Lakeland Bancorp, Inc

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Provident Financial: An Old Local Bank With Growth Potential After Lakeland Bank Merger

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 39%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.24 per share at 5.9% yield

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 42%

Provident Financial Services' (NYSE:PFS) Dividend Will Be $0.24

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.24 announced

Provident Financial Services, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Provident Financial Services, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on February 23, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

New minor risk - Insider selling

Upcoming dividend of US$0.24 per share at 6.8% yield

Price target decreased by 9.5% to US$17.20

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.24

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Provident Financial Services, Inc. Reports Unaudited Consolidated Net Loan Charge-Offs for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2023

Provident Financial: Impressive Dividend Yield With Promising Lakeland Merger

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 11%

Provident Financial Services, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 26, 2023

Do Provident Financial Services' (NYSE:PFS) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Insufficient new directors

Provident Financial Services: Waiting For Better Times, Better Price

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 29%

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.24

Upcoming dividend of US$0.24 per share at 5.3% yield

Now 22% undervalued

Provident Financial Services, Inc. (NYSE:PFS) Analysts Just Slashed This Year's Revenue Estimates By 15%

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Provident Financial Services, Inc. Reports Net Loan Charge-Offs for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Provident Financial Services, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 27, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 39%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.24 per share at 6.1% yield

Price target decreased by 7.6% to US$21.80

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.24

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations