Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.

NYSE:MFG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$112.7b

Mizuho Financial Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Mizuho Financial Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.8% and 2.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.4% in 3 years.

Key information

6.8%

Earnings growth rate

8.84%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth8.1%
Revenue growth rate2.4%
Future return on equity12.41%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated09 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • 4h

Mizuho Financial: Spotlight On Capital Preservation And Rate Hike Potential

Summary Mizuho Financial Group remains a Buy, based on my assessment of its rate sensitivity and capital return outlook. MFG stands to benefit most among Japanese megabanks from a likely Bank of Japan rate hike. Mizuho has prudently invested in Rakuten Bank via a share swap rather than a direct cash infusion. This means that it retains financial capacity for future buybacks and dividends. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 17

Mizuho Financial: Consider Rates Outlook And Capital Adequacy

Summary Mizuho Financial benefits from rising rates in Japan and a strengthening of its capital position. MFG is relatively more rate-sensitive than its major banking peers, which makes it the best proxy for the Japanese central bank's monetary tightening stance. The bank's core CET-1 metric has crossed the 10% mark, putting it in a good position to allocate more capital to investment opportunities and dividends & buybacks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 06

Mizuho Financial: Positive On Card Business Purchase And Buybacks (Rating Upgrade)

Summary My rating for Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. is upgraded to a Buy due to its strategic investment in Rakuten Card and the resumption of share repurchases. MFG's 15% stake in Rakuten Card is expected to enhance the company's business mix and improve its Return On Equity. Mizuho's first share buyback in 16 years and a 24% dividend hike signal strong shareholder returns, boosting investor confidence. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 14

Mizuho Financial: ROE Outlook And Growth Prospects Are Key Investment Factors (Rating Downgrade)

Summary It is challenging for Mizuho Financial to attain its FY 2025 ROE target, considering MFG's rate of cross-shareholding reduction and the current rate hike expectations for Japan. On the other hand, MFG's recent partnership with private credit manager Golub Capital serves as an indication of the potential inorganic growth opportunities for the company's asset management business. My target P/B multiple for Mizuho Financial is 0.81 times, which is close to where the stock is currently trading at now. I have a mixed view of MFG, which translates into a Hold rating, following my assessment of the stock's ROE outlook, growth prospects, and valuations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 02

Mizuho Financial Is Still A Buy With Q1 Earnings Beat And ROE Improvement

Summary Mizuho Financial is awarded a Buy rating due to its bottom-line growth and ROE expansion for the recent quarter. MFG's EPS grew by +18% YoY in Q1 FY 2024, as its banking business unit benefited from higher interest rates in Japan. The company's ROE improved to 8.0% for the first quarter of fiscal 2024, which means it is on track to meet its FY 2025 ROE goal of above 8%. My target P/B multiple of 1.1 times for MFG translates into a capital appreciation potential of +29%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 04

Mizuho Financial Group: Weak Yen, Strong Company

Summary Mizuho Financial Group has recorded a significant increase in revenues and net income in Q3'23 compared to the previous year. The bank has a multi-faceted growth strategy focused on inclusivity, technology, and sustainability, as well as responding to shifts in the Japanese economy. Mizuho's stock has outperformed the financial services industry and the broader market, positioning the bank well for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 07

Mizuho Financial: Multiple Re-Rating Catalysts (Rating Upgrade)

Summary The potential re-rating catalysts for MFG include allocating capital to assets with better returns, distributing more excess capital to shareholders, and the end of negative rates in Japan. The market currently values Mizuho Financial at roughly two-thirds of book value, and I deem the stock's valuations to be attractive. I upgrade my rating for MFG stock to a buy in view of the stock's undemanding valuations and the presence of multiple catalysts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 24

Mizuho Financial Group Offers Value For Your Money

Summary Mizuho Financial has made headway in lifting meager returns characteristic of Japanese banks. The company has set a good foundation for integrated cross-selling at home and abroad. Its price-to-book has little room left to full value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 09

Mizuho Financial Group: Still Cheap With The Wind In Its Sails

Summary Mizuho kicked off Q1 with a beat-and-raise and outlined ambitious new mid-term targets. Also boosting the outlook are a pending BoJ shift away from ultra-loose monetary policy and ongoing governance reforms. The YTD de-rating following the US/EU banking fallout means the stock now trades at an unjustifiably wide book value discount. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 23

Credit Suisse, Mizuho reportedly join banks leading $1B Olam Agri listing

Credit Suisse Group (NYSE:CS) and Mizuho Financial Group (NYSE:MFG) have been added to the group of banks involved in listing Olam Group's (OTCPK:OLGPF) (OTCPK:OLMIF) agricultural business in Singapore and Saudi Arabia, Bloomberg reported Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter. SNB Capital and EFG Hermes (OTC:EFGZF) also joined as joint bookrunners on the Olam Agri planned dual-listing that's expected to raise as much as $1B, the people said. Olam (OTCPK:OLMIF), one of Asia's biggest agricultural commodity traders, expects to announce plans to take the agri business public in H1 2023, they told Bloomberg. Other banks reportedly working on the deal include Citigroup (C), DBS Group Holdings (OTCPK:DBSDF) (OTCPK:DBSDY), HSBC Holdings (HSBC), and Morgan Stanley (MS).
Seeking Alpha • Dec 26

Mizuho Financial Group: Benefiting From A New Monetary Policy Regime

Summary Mizuho looks set to be a key beneficiary of the BoJ’s tighter monetary policy stance. Higher rates will be a tailwind for the P&L while also paving the way for a valuation re-rating. Alongside the stronger profit outlook, expect more dividend hikes ahead.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 26

Mizuho Financial Group Has A Yen Problem

Summary A lot of the company's business is in Japan, and its assets are substantially in Yen. With the Yen decline being a surety in the current economic regime, this positions Mizuho poorly. Its assets are also lots of Yen denominated securities, particularly government bonds, which are seeing value erosion from yen declines. They manage to produce increases in interest income thanks to foreign loan growth, and commission and trading revenues are good, but overall, the company isn't that great for a financial. Japan has been a complicated geography, and the Bank of Japan has refused to raise rates. The Yen is a mess and will probably stay that way, and while financial companies are rocketing in other geographies, Mizuho Financial Group (MFG) has more challenges than most. With its smaller transaction-related businesses suffering and it scrambling to grow loan balances to combat low rates in Japan, it has relied on trading-related income and derivatives fees to keep things going. While volatility is somewhat MFG's friend, we'd stay away from MFG compared to other full-service banks. Look at MFG Let's have a quick look at their statements. Highlight (Q1 2022 MFG) Growth has been pretty good on the surface, but where exactly is it coming from? Plenty of businesses are in decline. DCM and ECM, as well as other IB-related businesses - advisory, in general, is suffering a lot. IB, ECM, DCM (Q1 2022 MFG) The non-interest income has not risen much in general, including these advisory-related businesses, on account of lowered economic excitement affecting fee and commission-related income streams. Fee and other Income (Q1 2022 Pres) The pockets of strength have been in the countercyclical markets, trading businesses exposed to derivatives, hedges and structured products for trading. The businesses in decline were often those with dollar-denominated markets, with a lot of the wallet share of those businesses being in the US. Not ideal when USD flows have become relatively valuable. Otherwise, traditional banking-related businesses have been supported by stronger loan balances and in better markets from an FX point of view, with portfolio expansion in Europe and the US as well as other parts of Asia.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 29

Mizuho Financial GAAP EPS of ¥62.85, Ordinary Income of ¥1.24T

Mizuho Financial press release (NYSE:MFG): FQ1 GAAP EPS of  ¥62.85. Ordinary Income of  ¥1.24T (+67.6% Y/Y). The banking group maintained its full-year net profit forecast at ¥540B, compared to the average analyst estimate of ¥550.60B.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 18

Mizuho Financial Group: Why I See Potential For Renewed Upside

Mizuho Financial Group appears to be trading at an attractive price-to-book ratio. The group has significant exposure to a strong Japanese real estate market and net interest income is rising. For these reasons, I take the view that the stock could see upside from here. Investment Thesis: Mizuho Financial Group could see a rebound in upside once market conditions become less volatile as a result of rising net interest income, an attractive price-to-book ratio, as well as exposure to a strong Japanese real estate market. Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (MFG) has come under price pressure over the past few years - and more recently as a result of growing macroeconomic concerns over inflation. investing.com The purpose of this article is to assess whether Mizuho Financial Group could potentially see a rebound in upside from here. Performance In determining Mizuho Financial Group's main sources of risk exposure in the current market, I decided to compare the company's loans by industry for the periods March 2017 and March 2022. When analyzing loans by industry in March 2017 and March 2022 - we can see that Finance & Insurance as well as Real Estate have accounted for a larger portion of overall loan exposure in 2022 (figures provided in billions of yen expect percentages). Industry March 2017 Percentage (%) March 2022 Percentage (%) Manufacturing 8619.4 15.31% 9770.8 16.23% Agriculture & Forestry 37.7 0.07% 47.5 0.08% Fishery 1.3 0.00% 2.9 0.00% Mining, Quarrying Industry &Gravel Extraction Industry 224.8 0.40% 220.7 0.37% Construction 643 1.14% 857.4 1.42% Utilities 2212.1 3.93% 3043.3 5.06% Communication 1429.2 2.54% 1206.4 2.00% Transportation & Postal Industry 2032.5 3.61% 2581.5 4.29% Wholesale & Retail 4737.2 8.42% 5214.7 8.66% Finance & Insurance 7126.9 12.66% 9032.1 15.01% Real Estate 7142.2 12.69% 10160.4 16.88% Commodity Lease 2104.6 3.74% 2891.9 4.80% Service Industries 2648.8 4.71% 3082 5.12% Local Governments 873.4 1.55% 589 0.98% Governments 3191.1 5.67% 836.5 1.39% Other 13263.5 23.56% 10650 17.69% Source: Figures sourced from Mizuho Group - Historical Data. Percentages calculated by author. The performance of these sectors stand to be significantly influenced by inflation trends going forward. At present, a cheaper yen is making Japanese real estate more attractive to overseas investors - particularly from Hong Kong. In addition, the Bank of Japan has not taken the same approach as the Federal Reserve in raising rates - instead opting to maintain a loose monetary policy. As such, we can expect that the Japanese real estate market still has significant room for growth in the current environment. With that being said, the loose monetary policy by the Bank of Japan could end up proving a double-edged sword for the financial industry. Should interest rates remain low in the face of inflationary pressures - then this could potentially limit the degree to which the bank can raise net interest income. Mizuho Financial Group Historical Data We can see that domestic net interest income in fiscal 2021 was still higher than in other years for the Mizuho Financial Group. While we have conversely seen that net fee and commission income is also up significantly - inflationary pressures could place pressure on demand due to higher fees - even if interest rates themselves remain low. This remains a risk both for Mizuho Financial Group in its own right, as well as its loan exposure to other financial firms that could stand to see pressure on domestic net interest income going forward. In terms of the insurance industry - the degree to which the sector performs going forward - and thus the ability of insurance companies to repay loans - will hinge significantly on performance across the life insurance sector, which reportedly accounts for 80% of the overall market in Japan. While the sector came under pressure as a result of COVID-19, the outlook for the market has recently been revised to stable from negative - due to such companies reportedly maintaining strong capital positions as well as hikes in global interest rates allowing such companies to better manage reinvestment risk. Looking Forward Going forward, a significant consideration in how Mizuho Financial Group will perform from here will be driven by the broader macroeconomic environment, and in part monetary policy by the Bank of Japan. While interest rates currently remain low - investors will expect stronger growth in net interest income going forward. Mizuho Financial Group could potentially benefit from lower rates - as relatively cheaper loan repayments could make Mizuho more attractive compared to its international counterparts.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 01

Mizuho Financial Group acquires Capstone Partners

Mizuho Americas has announced the completion of its acquisition of Capstone Partners, which expands Mizuho Americas’ suite of investment banking solutions for clients in the alternative investment market, specifically financial sponsors. The acquisition also enhances the Co. pipeline for lending, acquisition financing, capital markets, and M&A advisory business. “Capstone reinforces our global capital raising and distribution capabilities, while opening new avenues of opportunity for delivering innovative fundraising and advisory services to the financial sponsor and general partner markets,” said Jerry Rizzieri, President and CEO of Mizuho Securities USA. Terms of the transaction were not disclosed.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MFG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/20294,690,7521,568,255N/AN/A5
3/31/20284,403,8551,497,352N/AN/A8
3/31/20273,976,2571,351,047N/AN/A8
3/31/20264,401,8241,248,632-6,311,262-5,992,524N/A
12/31/20254,017,8301,049,949N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20253,959,3551,009,239N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20253,891,114886,654N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20253,898,840885,433-6,093,001-5,748,181N/A
12/31/20243,834,387892,047N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20243,583,727829,381-1,508,715-1,206,202N/A
6/30/20243,300,875723,101N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20243,122,105678,993-554,280-298,509N/A
12/31/20233,010,015654,570N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20233,197,943637,31613,193,55713,401,234N/A
6/30/20232,861,070641,425N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20232,779,216555,5272,078,6592,261,835N/A
12/31/20222,940,436595,100N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20222,626,161478,786-6,898,903-6,735,131N/A
6/30/20222,844,665439,232N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20222,805,932530,4792,183,6002,322,381N/A
12/31/20212,515,381595,272N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20212,473,253641,1546,697,9526,884,561N/A
6/30/20212,433,275599,186N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20212,455,289471,02012,157,84312,374,003N/A
12/31/20202,457,443399,009N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20202,441,861376,4231,764,6152,004,408N/A
6/30/20202,439,203408,505N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20202,411,712448,568-6,431,197-6,197,490N/A
12/31/20192,559,37090,600N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20192,450,14324,874N/A-10,570,257N/A
6/30/20192,545,03697,989N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20192,555,62796,566N/A-5,442,855N/A
12/31/20182,596,730510,773N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20182,769,420619,262N/A1,464,012N/A
6/30/20182,809,851619,272N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20182,715,720576,547N/A-3,204,611N/A
12/31/20172,748,252574,592N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20172,725,006562,006N/A-8,825,487N/A
6/30/20172,620,532589,195N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20172,676,935603,544N/A-9,390,592N/A
12/31/20162,669,318655,118N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20162,640,981643,939N/A-4,957,942N/A
6/30/20162,666,436643,136N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20162,759,921668,514N/A-1,465,540N/A
12/31/20152,792,215601,850N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20152,817,118634,493N/A-1,463,378N/A
6/30/20152,901,102610,319N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MFG's forecast earnings growth (6.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: MFG's earnings (6.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (17.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MFG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MFG's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MFG's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MFG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/11 17:17
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/11 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Shinichi TamuraBarclays
Shinichiro NakamuraBofA Global Research
Koichi NiwaCitigroup Inc