Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.

NYSE:LOB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Live Oak Bancshares Valuation

Is LOB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOB ($39.57) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($83.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOB?

Key metric: As LOB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LOB. This is calculated by dividing LOB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LOB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.3x
EarningsUS$83.74m
Market CapUS$1.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.9x
NWBI Northwest Bancshares
17.4x31.5%US$1.7b
HOPE Hope Bancorp
14.5x29.3%US$1.5b
TFIN Triumph Financial
113.9x65.5%US$2.1b
LKFN Lakeland Financial
17.8x0.03%US$1.8b
LOB Live Oak Bancshares
21.4x31.4%US$1.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the peer average (40.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Banks Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FRCB First Republic Bank
0.02xn/aUS$27.98m
BKGM BankGuam Holding
1xn/aUS$18.48m
SBNY Signature Bank
0.002xn/aUS$2.18m
BCBH.F Caribbean Investment Holdings
0.00001xn/aUS$132.00
No more companies available in this PE range
LOB 21.3xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies82PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the US Banks industry average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LOB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$39.57
US$49.00
+23.8%
6.1%US$52.00US$46.00n/a2
Dec ’25US$47.40
US$48.00
+1.3%
8.3%US$52.00US$44.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$41.06
US$47.33
+15.3%
7.2%US$52.00US$44.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$46.02
US$54.25
+17.9%
4.8%US$57.00US$50.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$42.99
US$49.75
+15.7%
7.2%US$55.00US$46.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$43.07
US$49.75
+15.5%
7.2%US$55.00US$46.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$34.17
US$40.25
+17.8%
7.9%US$45.00US$36.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$34.48
US$40.50
+17.5%
8.8%US$46.00US$36.00n/a4
May ’25US$33.49
US$42.25
+26.2%
10.6%US$47.00US$36.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$40.56
US$46.75
+15.3%
11.6%US$55.00US$40.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$38.37
US$46.75
+21.8%
11.6%US$55.00US$40.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$36.15
US$46.75
+29.3%
11.6%US$55.00US$40.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$45.50
US$42.50
-6.6%
14.4%US$50.00US$36.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$35.72
US$35.50
-0.6%
9.0%US$40.00US$31.00US$47.404
Nov ’24US$28.83
US$35.50
+23.1%
9.0%US$40.00US$31.00US$41.064
Oct ’24US$28.95
US$35.50
+22.6%
9.0%US$40.00US$31.00US$46.024
Sep ’24US$32.32
US$37.75
+16.8%
7.6%US$41.00US$34.00US$42.994
Aug ’24US$37.41
US$37.75
+0.9%
7.6%US$41.00US$34.00US$43.074
Jul ’24US$26.31
US$28.00
+6.4%
9.1%US$32.00US$25.00US$34.174
Jun ’24US$22.74
US$26.13
+14.9%
2.8%US$27.00US$25.00US$34.484
May ’24US$22.63
US$26.88
+18.8%
5.3%US$29.00US$25.00US$33.494
Apr ’24US$24.37
US$29.75
+22.1%
7.3%US$33.00US$27.00US$40.564
Mar ’24US$34.00
US$33.00
-2.9%
7.7%US$37.00US$30.00US$38.374
Feb ’24US$34.71
US$33.00
-4.9%
7.7%US$37.00US$30.00US$36.154
Jan ’24US$30.20
US$34.00
+12.6%
8.6%US$38.00US$30.00US$45.504
Dec ’23US$34.05
US$35.50
+4.3%
7.6%US$40.00US$33.00US$35.724

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 21:31
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Steven AlexopoulosJ.P. Morgan
Christopher McGrattyKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods
Timothy SwitzerKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods