HSBC Holdings plc

NYSE:HSBC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$313.4b

HSBC Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

HSBC Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.8% and 6.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.2% in 3 years.

Key information

10.8%

Earnings growth rate

12.15%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth8.2%
Revenue growth rate6.9%
Future return on equity16.25%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 05

HSBC: Upside, But Not At This Valuation

Summary HSBC Holdings is a globally diversified, Asia-focused bank with over $3T in assets and a strong dividend profile. Current valuation at 12.21x P/E appears stretched given rising bad debt, compliance risks, and only modest historical returns. I set a conservative price target of £11/share (ADR $7.45) and rate HSBC as 'Hold' due to risk/reward concerns. While fundamentals and yield are solid, market optimism overstates upside and underestimates emerging market and regulatory risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative Feb 16

The Elhedery Cleansing: Dismantling the Global Generalist

The February 25th Reckoning HSBC enters its February 25, 2026 annual results presentation as a bank in the midst of a violent self-correction. For thirty years, HSBC operated under the hubristic "World’s Local Bank" strategy—a sprawling, inefficient model that left it with more middle managers than a government bureaucracy.
Seeking Alpha Apr 30

HSBC: A Strong Start To 2025 As Trade Fears Mount

Summary Like most banks, shares of HSBC have been pretty volatile since my last update in February, albeit they have recovered nearly all of their lost ground. The bank is off to a good start to 2025, with both revenue and profits coming in higher than expected. While tariff-related uncertainty could affect both revenue and credit charges, HSBC can absorb headwinds from both while remaining nicely profitable. The stock currently trades for a little under 1.3x tangible book value, which looks cheap based on the bank's earnings power. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 31

HSBC: Not Much Compelling For Long-Term Investors (Rating Downgrade)

Summary HSBC Holdings plc's strong performance, with a 41% total return, was driven by higher-than-expected interest rates and strategic divestments, despite a muted business outlook. The bank's net interest income rose to $43.7 billion, supported by a $200 billion structural hedge, reducing rate sensitivity and stabilizing earnings. HSBC plans cost-cutting measures and strategic disposals to streamline operations, aiming for $1.5 billion in savings and focusing on high-profit areas, especially in Asia. Despite high valuations and strong capital returns, the sustainability of HSBC's recent rally is questionable due to potential rate declines, making its long-term investment appeal less attractive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 22

HSBC Holdings Continues To Reward Shareholders

Summary HSBC Holdings plc remains our largest portfolio position, with a 39% share price increase over the past 12 months, outperforming the S&P 500. Despite a 6.6% drop in net interest income, HSBC's net profit for FY 2024 improved to $25 billion, with an attractive P/E ratio of 9.2. HSBC's dividend yield stands at 7.6%, significantly higher than JPM's 1.7%, and the bank has initiated substantial share buybacks, enhancing shareholder returns. We maintain our buy stance on HSBC, citing its strong financials, attractive valuation, and potential for further upside despite potential risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 29

HSBC Holdings: Strong Q3 Earnings And A Double-Digit Shareholder Yield

Summary Shares of HSBC have been a reasonable performer this year, roughly matching wider European financials with a circa 20% total return. The recently released third quarter results were strong, with the bank beating consensus on revenue and earnings. These shares continue to trade for around 1x tangible book value. With earnings resilient, dividends and buybacks can power attractive returns for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 01

HSBC: Likely Fairly Valued With Fundamental Uncertainties

Summary HSBC Holdings plc's stock has risen by over 15% in the past six months, likely sending it into fair value territory. The bank faces fundamental headwinds through its net interest income. Despite the phenomenon's potential, HSBC's restructuring outlook remains uncertain. A residual income model deems the stock fairly valued. HSBC's 6%+ dividend yield is commendable. Yet, a total return outlook paints a different picture. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 01

HSBC Showing Good Progress Mid-Year.

Summary First-half results showed that the bank is on track to grow earnings. Growth will likely come from their focus on the wealth segment. New customers and increased assets underpin their traction in their main markets of Hong Kong and the UK. Estimated Credit Losses are low and show a positive trend. Share buyback over last year reduced share counts, but we would have liked to see a continuation of the program as the share is attractively priced. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 12

HSBC: Q2 2024 Earnings Preview, Investment Case Remains Geared To Income

Summary HSBC Holdings plc is expected to report weak Q2 2024 earnings, with potential rate cuts ahead impacting revenue and earnings growth. Despite underperforming the market, HSBC Holdings' dividend yield remains high and sustainable for long-term investors. As interest rates peak, HSBC's profitability may decline, but its capital position and attractive dividend yield offer value for income-focused investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HSBC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202881,05532,015N/AN/A11
12/31/202777,74030,366N/AN/A12
12/31/202674,77027,423N/AN/A11
3/31/202663,77421,108N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202563,22421,102-143,802-139,141N/A
9/30/202557,97616,580N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202557,20817,8413,3677,551N/A
3/31/202557,99419,666N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202461,24022,91717,18221,068N/A
9/30/202457,97022,567N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202457,04822,052-13,099-9,334N/A
3/31/202456,64622,288N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202356,32022,432-9,605-5,910N/A
9/30/202363,08126,963N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202358,43123,34694,03598,067N/A
3/31/202354,43121,918N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202246,35814,346106,140110,549N/A
9/30/202245,43711,756N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202247,66813,297-12,657-8,649N/A
3/31/202248,72511,482N/AN/AN/A
1/1/202249,90412,6075,0448,609N/A
9/30/202149,52411,381N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202147,9959,197-147,917-144,425N/A
3/31/202144,3735,993N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202041,6123,898-48,013-44,503N/A
9/30/202043,667-2,173N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202044,997-56183,15986,712N/A
3/31/202050,1593,620N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201953,3425,969N/A-49,420N/A
9/30/201952,64613,015N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201953,46513,943N/A54,208N/A
3/31/201952,41613,656N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201852,01312,608N/A38,260N/A
9/30/201851,76610,797N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201851,0059,856N/A-93,102N/A
3/31/201850,4119,639N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201749,6769,683N/A-114,871N/A
9/30/201746,5455,517N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201742,9611,942N/A-9,043N/A
3/31/201743,504541N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201644,5621,299N/A77,877N/A
9/30/201646,1173,464N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201651,6189,310N/A125,233N/A
3/31/201654,51111,201N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201556,01812,572N/A64,785N/A
9/30/201558,88714,785N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201559,45512,987N/A30,504N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HSBC's forecast earnings growth (10.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: HSBC's earnings (10.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HSBC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: HSBC's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HSBC's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HSBC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.2%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 11:26
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

HSBC Holdings plc is covered by 46 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jesús Gómez DominguezBanco Santander
Thomas Andrew RaynerBarclays
Amandeep RakkarBarclays