Home BancShares, Inc.

NYSE:HOMB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.8b

Home BancShares Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Home BancShares is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4.1% and 6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 3.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.7% in 3 years.

Key information

4.1%

Earnings growth rate

3.67%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth8.2%
Revenue growth rate6.0%
Future return on equity10.74%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated08 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • Jan 16

Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) (NYSE:HOMB) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) ( NYSE:HOMB ) last week reported its latest annual results, which makes it a good...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jul 10

Home BancShares: High Quality, Growing, And Still Worth Buying

Summary Home BancShares is reaffirmed as a soft ‘buy’ due to strong growth, high asset quality, and a recent strategic acquisition. HOMB’s net interest margin and profitability are improving, supported by disciplined balance sheet management and low-cost, well-diversified deposits. The Mountain Commerce Bancorp acquisition adds assets in high-growth Tennessee markets at an attractive 8.1x P/E, with modest integration risks. Despite a forward P/E of 11.5 and elevated non-performing assets, HOMB’s returns on assets and equity remain robust versus peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 22

HOMB: Buybacks And Stable Profitability Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered their consensus price target for Home BancShares, with several firms cutting their estimates by about $1 to $2 per share as they reassess the stock’s risk and return profile, while keeping core assumptions such as fair value and projected profitability largely unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Home BancShares points to a more cautious stance on upside potential, with several firms trimming their price targets by around $1 to $2 per share while largely maintaining their broader views on valuation and profitability.
Analysis Article • Jun 21

Home BancShares (HOMB) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Strong Revenue And Profit Growth

Home BancShares (HOMB) has attracted fresh attention after recent analysis highlighted higher quarterly revenue and net profit, stronger financial health scores within the banking industry, and a rising institutional ownership base. See our latest analysis for Home BancShares. At a share price of $27.65, Home BancShares has seen a 5.86% 90 day share price return and a 3.95% 30 day share price return. The 1 year total shareholder return of 3.09% and 3 year total shareholder return of 36.59%...
Narrative Update • Jun 07

HOMB: Buybacks And Stable Earnings Outlook Will Support Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update The intrinsic value estimate for Home BancShares edges slightly lower, with the updated fair value moving from about $31.29 to $31.14 as analysts trim price targets, including several $2 cuts and a move from $31 to $30, citing the same factors that are also reflected in a higher discount rate and a more conservative future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Home BancShares focuses on small downward adjustments to price targets, with several firms trimming their views by about US$2 and one moving from US$31 to US$30 while maintaining a Neutral stance.
Narrative Update • May 04

HOMB: Sector Volatility And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings Potential

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Home BancShares by about $1 to roughly $31 per share, citing recent sector volatility and macro headlines that have introduced more near term uncertainty into the outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes cluster around modestly lower price targets for Home BancShares, with cuts of about $1 to $2 per share and a current reference point of about $31.
Narrative Update • Apr 20

HOMB: Stable Credit Costs And Sector Normalization Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Home BancShares to about $31.57 from $33.13, reflecting slightly lower assumed profit margins and a somewhat softer future P/E, partly offset by updated revenue expectations and recent price target cuts from Piper Sandler, Stephens, and Cantor. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Home BancShares has focused on modestly lower price targets and a more cautious stance on near term conditions for bank stocks, while still acknowledging longer term potential outlined in some commentary.
Narrative Update • Apr 04

HOMB: Stable Fundamentals And Credit Costs Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Home BancShares to around $31, trimming earlier views by about $1 as they factor in recent sector volatility, while still pointing to relatively stable regional bank fundamentals. Expectations for loan and revenue growth are cited as key factors that could influence performance over time.
Narrative Update • Feb 17

HOMB: Stable Credit Costs And Loan Trends Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts have adjusted their views on Home Bancshares, with recent price target changes ranging from a $1 increase at one firm to a $1 reduction at another. These revisions reflect updated expectations around regional bank fundamentals, loan trends, and revenue growth going into upcoming earnings.
Narrative Update • Feb 01

HOMB: Stable Outlook And Credit Quality Will Support Earnings Momentum

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to their outlook on Home Bancshares, with the average price target moving slightly higher as they factor in updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples in light of recent regional bank research. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Home Bancshares (Conway AR) point to a mixed, but generally steady, view on the shares, with modest changes to price targets and an emphasis on how loan and revenue trends could shape returns.
Analysis Article • Jan 16

Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) (NYSE:HOMB) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) ( NYSE:HOMB ) last week reported its latest annual results, which makes it a good...
Narrative Update • Jan 13

HOMB: Stable Outlook And Loan Trends Will Support Earnings Momentum

Narrative Update: Home Bancshares (Conway, AR) Analysts trimmed their price target on Home Bancshares to US$31 from US$32, citing generally stable regional bank outlooks, with loan and revenue growth expectations noted as key factors in their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary frames Home Bancshares as operating in a generally steady regional bank setting, with the updated US$31 price target reflecting both supportive and cautious views around upcoming earnings.
Narrative Update • Dec 02

HOMB: Improving Macro Backdrop Will Support Momentum and Acquisition Activity Ahead

Analysts have maintained the price target for Home Bancshares (Conway, AR) at $33.13 per share. This reflects a neutral view given a constructive industry outlook but no specific catalysts for outperformance at this time.
Narrative Update • Nov 18

HOMB: Loan Growth Acceleration Will Drive Performance In Constructive Bank Environment

Analysts have maintained their price target for Home Bancshares (Conway AR) at $33.13. They cite a broadly constructive outlook for U.S. banks, steady profit margins, and expectations for solid loan growth later this year.
Narrative Update • Nov 04

HOMB: Sector Momentum And Loan Growth Will Offer Upside For Shares

Analysts have maintained their price target for Home Bancshares (Conway AR) at $33.13 per share. Recent research reflects a constructive industry outlook, but maintains a neutral stance on the company’s near-term prospects.
Narrative Update • Oct 21

Analysts See Cautious Outlook for Home Bancshares as Price Target Edges Down

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Home Bancshares (Conway, AR) from $33.71 to $33.13 per share. They cite a slightly softer outlook for revenue growth and profit margins within the current banking environment.
Analysis Article • Sep 25

Home Bancshares (Conway AR) (NYSE:HOMB) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article • Jul 27

Home Bancshares (Conway AR)'s (NYSE:HOMB) Dividend Will Be $0.20

The board of Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR) ( NYSE:HOMB ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.20 per...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 10

Home Bancshares Stays A Hold For Me Ahead Of Q1 Earnings

Summary Home Bancshares' net interest margin improvement and disciplined pricing strategy offer cautious optimism, but rising deposit costs and inflationary pressures remain concerns. Loan growth is mixed, with some regions showing potential, but overall growth is expected to be flattish to slightly negative in the near term. HOMB stock's valuation reflects muted market expectations, but its strong capital levels and conservative payout ratio provide a buffer for potential upside if management exceeds targets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 21

Home Bancshares: Earnings Outlook Remains Positive But Downgrading To Hold

Summary There is still some uncertainty related to hurricane devastation as some loans are still on deferral. Therefore, the portfolio’s credit risk is moderately high. The recent asset mix improvement will likely support the margin, while interest rate cuts will likely squeeze the margin. In line with the historical trend, loan growth will likely remain low this year unless Home Bancshares announces an M&A transaction. The year-end target price is close to the current market price. Further, HOMB is offering a low dividend yield. Hence, I’m downgrading it to a hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 24

Home Bancshares Doesn't Make The Cut

Summary Home Bancshares, with a market cap of $5.43 billion, shows impressive revenue and profit growth despite volatile deposits. The bank's loan portfolio has grown significantly, but deposits have declined, raising concerns amid high interest rates and depositor behavior. Home Bancshares' valuation appears lofty on an absolute basis but relatively cheaper compared to peers, with high asset quality and strong return on assets. Despite positive trends, the decline in deposits and high share price relative to earnings make Home Bancshares a better 'hold' than 'buy' candidate. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative • Aug 29

Efficiency Gains, Loan Growth, And Critical Share Repurchases Propel Bancshares Forward

Improved efficiency ratio and loan growth indicate enhanced profitability and positive future revenue prospects from better earnings quality.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 25

Home Bancshares: Positive Earnings Outlook Seems Priced-In

Summary Both the loan growth and net interest margin expansion of Home Bancshares beat my expectations for the second quarter. As a result, I’ve increased my earnings estimates for the full year. Earnings will receive a boost from continued loan growth. However, interest rate cuts will likely pressurize the margins, which will hurt the bottom line. The December 2024 target price is below the current market price. Further, HOMB is offering a modest dividend yield of 2.6%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 25

Home Bancshares: Time To Downgrade

Summary I’ve reduced my margin estimate after Home Bancshares missed my expectations. Anticipated interest rate cuts will have a mixed impact on the margin. Regional business activity seems strong enough to continue to drive loan growth. The December 2024 target price suggests a small upside from the current market price. Further, HOMB is offering a modest dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HOMB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,232N/AN/AN/A1
12/31/20271,211514N/AN/A8
12/31/20261,150492N/AN/A8
3/31/20261,075478406433N/A
12/31/20251,069475377399N/A
9/30/20251,042458354386N/A
6/30/20251,008434358399N/A
3/31/2025987417386430N/A
12/31/2024969402422461N/A
9/30/2024967388472501N/A
6/30/2024972386447472N/A
3/31/2024976390388409N/A
12/31/2023982393357380N/A
9/30/2023994422386408N/A
6/30/20231,007433464476N/A
3/31/2023941343432442N/A
12/31/2022855305394413N/A
9/30/2022774263351357N/A
6/30/2022691229269280N/A
3/31/2022684292349358N/A
12/31/2021715319379389N/A
9/30/2021726327384393N/A
6/30/2021714322362373N/A
3/31/2021690306291301N/A
12/31/2020565214280292N/A
9/30/2020551206244260N/A
6/30/2020557209243259N/A
3/31/2020566219263280N/A
12/31/2019661290N/A247N/A
9/30/2019657287N/A235N/A
6/30/2019661295N/A264N/A
3/31/2019662299N/A291N/A
12/31/2018660300N/A304N/A
9/30/2018655253N/A320N/A
6/30/2018609187N/A217N/A
3/31/2018577161N/A171N/A
12/31/2017540135N/A140N/A
9/30/2017507160N/A132N/A
6/30/2017500189N/A204N/A
3/31/2017486183N/A205N/A
12/31/2016474177N/A176N/A
9/30/2016458166N/A238N/A
6/30/2016438158N/A192N/A
3/31/2016418149N/A207N/A
12/31/2015394138N/A205N/A
9/30/2015375131N/A190N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HOMB's forecast earnings growth (4.1% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: HOMB's earnings (4.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (18.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HOMB's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: HOMB's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HOMB's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HOMB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/13 22:08
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/13 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Home BancShares, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brett RabatinBenchmark Company
Andrew StappB. Riley Securities, Inc.
David RochesterCantor Fitzgerald & Co.