Barclays PLC

NYSE:BCS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$80.6b

Barclays Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Barclays is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.9% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.3% in 3 years.

Key information

8.9%

Earnings growth rate

12.86%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth8.3%
Revenue growth rate5.6%
Future return on equity12.28%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 13

Barclays: Interesting Fundamentals, But Challenges Are Being Underestimated

Summary Barclays PLC receives a "Hold" rating, reflecting limited risk-adjusted upside at current valuations. Recent share price recovery and consensus "Buy" ratings are challenged by concerns over high overheads, regulatory history, and reliance on buybacks for KPI improvement. 2025 results met guidance, but cost/income remains elevated (over 61%), yield is under 2%, and buybacks are driving much of the reported EPS and ROTE growth. I see Barclays as fundamentally sound but not attractively valued for growth. Significant upside depends on aggressive buybacks and optimistic efficiency gains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 25

Barclays: Deposit-To-Loan And Credit Cycle Obstacles Have Emerged

Summary Barclays' ADRs trade below book value despite a near 60% year-on-year increase. Although tempted by the asset, we think structural risks have emerged that could create a value trap. Net interest income faces headwinds due to softened deposits and stalled loan commitments, potentially impacting Barclays' financials by late 2025. Despite a strong liquidity coverage ratio and non-cyclical performance from wealth management, we think the bank's NII risk remains underestimated. The bank's dividend profile is commendable, and its price returns show an ability to create holistic shareholder value. However, max drawdown and VaR metrics show that cyclical declines are severe. We maintain a 'Hold' outlook on Barclays. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 14

Barclays Q4 Results: Backing Out After 20%+ Gain

Summary Barclays PLC's Q4 results showed a 24.3% increase in total income, driven by strong performance in UK and Investment Banking, despite a 4% ADR drop. Concerns arise from Barclays UK's credit headwinds, declining mortgage rates, and rising delinquencies, impacting lending and depository environment. Investment Banking's future is uncertain, but potential M&A and IPO rebounds, along with fixed-income opportunities, could mitigate trading revenue risks. Given fundamental headwinds in UK consumer and corporate debt segments, I downgrade Barclays' ADRs from 'buy' to 'hold.'. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 20

Barclays: Still Trading At 0.6x 2026 Book Value

Summary Barclays remains a high-conviction pick, outperforming peers in 2024, trading at ~0.6x 2026 TBV despite a 70% YTD increase. The bank targets a +12% RoTE by 2026, focusing on high-return UK segments and cost efficiency, driving current outperformance. Analysts projections expect Barclays to meet cost-income targets but fall short on RoTE due to lower revenue growth; current valuation reflects a discount to U.S. peers. Key risks include macroeconomic crises, litigation, and execution failures, but BCS' resilient business model and buyback program support a Strong Buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 01

Barclays: On Track For Super-Charged Shareholder Returns

Summary Barclays stock is poised for significant upside, supported by strong Q3 results, a cheap valuation, and improving commercial momentum. The bank's Q3 performance exceeded expectations with strong revenue and earnings growth, highlighting operational discipline and strategic hedging initiatives. Barclays aims for £30 billion in revenue by 2026 and plans to return $10 billion to shareholders, promising substantial equity yield. I now estimate Barclays' U.S. ADR fair value at $33 per share, driven by revised EPS projections and an ongoing positive outlook for investment banking fees. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 25

Barclays: Value Or Trap Following Q3 Earnings?

Summary Barclays PLC has shown improved financial performance in Q3 2024, but revenue and earnings growth may be challenging due to the expected declining interest rate environment. The bank's valuation remains low, trading at around 0.6x book value, reflecting structural issues and a more cyclical business mix compared to peers. Barclays' strategy includes streamlining operations, focusing on higher growth areas, and improving efficiency, but more aggressive steps are needed for a potential re-rating. Despite positive earnings and a strong capital position, Barclays' shares do not offer much value for long-term investors given current market conditions and profitability challenges. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 28

Barclays: Still Undervalued With Fundamental Resilience

Summary Barclays PLC's stock price has surged since our latest coverage in October 2022, but a changing interest rate environment necessitates a revised outlook. Recent results show a decline in group income. I believe retail and corporate banking might underperform toward the back end of 2024 and early 2025. Despite my concerns about Barclays' net interest income, key metrics suggest that the firm's investment banking unit might spike. Moreover, private banking and wealth management can provide sustainable growth. A residual income model deems Barclays' stock undervalued, and a bird's-eye observation suggests the bank's dividend profile is respectable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 12

Barclays: Heading In The Right Direction

Summary Barclays reported a solid set of 2Q24 numbers, upgrading FY24E net interest income guidance and announcing a further £750m share buyback. Management is happy with the early progress towards the FY26 financial targets announced earlier this year. Consensus forecasts for FY26E imply significant share price upside, but should be taken with a healthy pinch of salt. The Barclays share price has performed well in recent months and has sufficient potential for further gains to support the maintenance of a Buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha May 20

Barclays: Well On Track To Deliver On The Triple-Digit Upside

Summary Barclays delivered a solid set of Q1 results, generating £7.0 billion in revenues, and £2.3 billion in pre-tax profits after impairment. Together with Q1 results, Barclays also shared a corporate strategy update and guided for a ROTE of >10% in 2024 and <12% in 2025. If ROTE guidance is correct, then BCS shares are undoubtedly cheap at about 0.5 P/B, and the stock may deserve a re-rating. The thesis of a cheap valuation is further underscored by Barclays' ambition to return about $12.5 billion of capital to investors over the next 3 years. I reiterate a "Strong Buy" rating for BCS shares, while I raise my base case target price to $29.5. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:BCS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202833,8809,009N/AN/A14
12/31/202732,4898,257N/AN/A15
12/31/202631,0197,161N/AN/A15
3/31/202627,0926,243N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202526,8186,175-8,070-6,211N/A
9/30/202526,0165,945N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202525,6546,052-11,890-10,316N/A
3/31/202524,8765,630N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202424,2505,316-9,413-7,839N/A
9/30/202423,5994,240N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202423,2513,9508,2289,946N/A
3/31/202423,2244,041N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202323,4974,2744,3136,031N/A
9/30/202323,7545,421N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202323,4995,6594,1115,857N/A
3/31/202324,0945,402N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202223,7365,0232,1363,882N/A
9/30/202223,6245,066N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202223,4004,9282,7384,458N/A
3/31/202223,1035,905N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202122,5936,2058,80210,522N/A
9/30/202121,9835,346N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202121,2204,5835,9787,302N/A
3/31/202118,7372,625N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202016,9451,526-9,068-7,744N/A
9/30/202017,2671,987N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202017,7541,0846,5368,329N/A
3/31/202019,0942,028N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201919,7302,461N/A-21,451N/A
9/30/201919,4721,766N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201919,2653,108N/A-32,703N/A
3/31/201919,5023,399N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201819,6681,597N/A-14,780N/A
9/30/201819,869366N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201819,47056N/A21,836N/A
3/31/201818,701-1,206N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201718,927587N/A55,473N/A
9/30/201719,0552,021N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201719,8901,642N/A-19,710N/A
3/31/201720,5162,215N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201619,8181,562N/A-31,695N/A
9/30/201617,820-1,242N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201617,713-1,064N/A52,308N/A
3/31/201618,479-691N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201519,641-626N/A46,633N/A
9/30/201520,254194N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201521,102185N/A2,782N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BCS's forecast earnings growth (8.9% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: BCS's earnings (8.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BCS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: BCS's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BCS's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BCS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.3%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/11 13:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/08 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Barclays PLC is covered by 29 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jesús Gómez DominguezBanco Santander
Peter RichardsonBerenberg
Dirk Hoffmann-BeckingBernstein