South Plains Financial Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
South Plains Financial is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.3% and 14% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 6.5% per annum.
Key information
17.3%
Earnings growth rate
6.49%
EPS growth rate
| Banks earnings growth | 8.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 14.0% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 01 Jul 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Jan 29
US$46.75 - That's What Analysts Think South Plains Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPFI) Is Worth After These Results
Shareholders might have noticed that South Plains Financial, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPFI ) filed its yearly result this time...Analysis Article • Oct 26
South Plains Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPFI) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
South Plains Financial, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPFI ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares...Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 15
SPFI: Texas Expansion And Patient M&A Support Balanced Risk Reward Ahead
Analysts have trimmed their price target on South Plains Financial by $2 to reflect updated views on the stock's fair value, citing recent research that reassesses the risk and return profile without changing the underlying fair value estimate of $47.00. What's in the News South Plains Financial is actively seeking acquisitions and investments, with management stating it is looking for M&A opportunities that meet strict cultural, credit, and community banking criteria.Narrative Update • Jun 01
SPFI: Texas Expansion And Disciplined M&A Will Support Future Upside
Analysts recently trimmed their price target on South Plains Financial by $2 to $47. This reflects updated views on fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Apr 24
SPFI: Houston Loan Momentum And Buybacks Will Support Measured Future Upside
Analysts have modestly reduced the blended fair value estimate for South Plains Financial to about $47.67 from $48.00. This adjustment reflects refreshed price targets around $48 that are supported by expectations for quicker revenue growth, a steady discount rate, and a modest change to future P/E and profit margin assumptions following recent positive commentary on loan growth and the Houston opportunity set.Narrative Update • Apr 09
SPFI: Houston Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Measured Future Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their average 12 month price target for South Plains Financial to $48, up from $45, citing a more optimistic view on loan growth momentum and the improving opportunity set in the Houston MSA following recent discussions with management. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more constructive tone around South Plains Financial, with several price targets reset to $48, up from a prior range around $44 to $45.Narrative Update • Mar 26
SPFI: Houston Expansion And Buybacks Will Drive Long Term Earnings Power
Narrative update Analysts recently lifted their price targets on South Plains Financial to as high as $48, up from prior targets near $44 to $45, citing improving loan growth trends after a stagnant period and a stronger long term growth profile tied to the Houston market expansion and the Bank of Houston transaction. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on South Plains Financial has turned more constructive, with several firms lifting price targets and upgrading their views after meeting with management and reviewing the Houston expansion and Bank of Houston transaction.Narrative Update • Mar 12
SPFI: Houston Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts have nudged their price target on South Plains Financial up by $1 to $48, citing accelerating loan growth and a stronger position in the small cap Texas banking market as key reasons for the adjustment. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how South Plains Financial is executing on loan growth and metro-market expansion, especially around Houston, and what that might mean for valuation and risk.Narrative Update • Feb 25
SPFI: Houston Acquisition And Metro Expansion Will Drive Future Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their price targets on South Plains Financial by $1 to $4, citing the Bank of Houston deal and an updated future P/E assumption of 9.36x as key reasons for their higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around the Bank of Houston transaction and the revised future P/E assumption of 9.36x, giving investors a clearer view of how the market is thinking about South Plains Financial's potential execution and earnings power.Narrative Update • Feb 11
SPFI: Metro Expansion And Houston Integration Will Shape Balanced Forward Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price targets on South Plains Financial higher, with recent raises of $1, $4, and an increase to $44. These changes support a refreshed view that reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple.Analysis Article • Jan 29
US$46.75 - That's What Analysts Think South Plains Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPFI) Is Worth After These Results
Shareholders might have noticed that South Plains Financial, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPFI ) filed its yearly result this time...Seeking Alpha • Jan 28
South Plains Financial: A Solid Bank At A Fair Valuation (Upgrade)
Summary South Plains Financial is rated a "Hold" as shares trade at ~10x pro forma earnings, reflecting M&A benefits and Texas market positioning. The BOH Holdings acquisition expands SPFI's Houston presence, but significant investment and execution are needed to scale beyond its Lubbock base. SPFI maintains strong credit quality, robust reserves, and a CET1 ratio of 14.45%, supporting a secure and recently increased dividend. Loan growth is expected to accelerate to mid-to-high single digits in 2026, but valuation limits upside potential relative to sector peers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jan 28
SPFI: Metro Expansion And Bank Of Houston Integration Will Drive Future Upside
Narrative Update on South Plains Financial Analysts have lifted their price target on South Plains Financial from US$43.50 to US$46.75, pointing to updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following recent research and the Bank of Houston transaction. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how the Bank of Houston transaction fits into South Plains Financial's growth plans and what it could mean for valuation and execution over time.Analysis Article • Jan 27
South Plains Financial (NASDAQ:SPFI) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of South Plains Financial, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPFI ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.17 on...Analysis Article • Jul 21
South Plains Financial's (NASDAQ:SPFI) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
South Plains Financial, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:SPFI ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period...Seeking Alpha • Apr 22
South Plains Financial: Rapidly Increasing Its Tangible Book Value
Summary South Plains Financial reported a net profit of $49.7M in 2024, driven by an $8.3M increase in net interest income. The bank maintains a very liquid balance sheet with nearly $950M in cash and securities, representing a significant portion of its $4.2B assets. Despite a rise in non-accrual loans, particularly in CRE, the bank has a strong track record of managing foreclosed assets with minimal losses. Trading at a 20% premium to its tangible book value, SPFI is expected to see TBV per share approach $30 by next year, making it a compelling watch for Texas economy exposure. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Oct 27
Loan Growth And Tactical Focus Propel Financial Optimism Amidst Market Challenges
Stabilization of the auto portfolio and strategic liquidity focus position the company for loan growth and improved revenue opportunities.Analysis Article • Oct 26
South Plains Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPFI) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
South Plains Financial, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPFI ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares...Analysis Article • Oct 21
South Plains Financial's (NASDAQ:SPFI) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
South Plains Financial, Inc. ( NASDAQ:SPFI ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 273 | 82 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 249 | 70 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 3/31/2026 | 212 | 61 | 62 | 68 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 207 | 58 | 72 | 77 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 205 | 60 | 64 | 69 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 199 | 55 | 58 | 63 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 194 | 51 | 62 | 66 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 191 | 50 | 56 | 59 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 184 | 44 | 59 | 62 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 185 | 46 | 67 | 70 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 213 | 64 | 49 | 52 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 211 | 63 | 54 | 59 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 216 | 65 | 51 | 57 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 224 | 67 | 54 | 60 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 206 | 53 | 74 | 78 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 217 | 58 | 119 | 124 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 223 | 60 | 134 | 138 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 223 | 60 | 113 | 117 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 221 | 58 | 155 | 159 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 221 | 59 | 93 | 96 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 223 | 60 | 47 | 49 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 223 | 61 | 81 | 83 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 211 | 53 | 7 | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 198 | 45 | 2 | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 186 | 40 | 38 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 170 | 31 | -4 | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 165 | 32 | 1 | 5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 158 | 29 | N/A | 30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 152 | 25 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 146 | 22 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 143 | 29 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 141 | 29 | N/A | 27 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 131 | 24 | N/A | 35 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SPFI's forecast earnings growth (17.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: SPFI's earnings (17.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (18.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: SPFI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: SPFI's revenue (14% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SPFI's revenue (14% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if SPFI's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/08 22:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
South Plains Financial, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Brett Rabatin | Benchmark Company |
| Wood Lay | Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods |
| Stephen Scouten | Piper Sandler Companies |