Old Second Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Old Second Bancorp's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 2.8% and 0.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 0.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.1% in 3 years.

Key information

-0.2%

Earnings growth rate

-0.5%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.8%
Revenue growth rate	-2.8%
Future return on equity	11.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Rainbows and Unicorns: Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:OSBC) Analysts Just Became A Lot More Optimistic

Jan 28

Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ:OSBC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.05

Jan 21

Old Second Bancorp Expects Big Gains From Higher Rates, Inflation

Sep 26

O2 Sponsor Finance provides senior secured credit facilities to support Prospect Partners' recapitalization of Blackwood Solutions

Sep 19

Old Second Bancorp declares $0.05 dividend

Jul 21

Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ:OSBC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of US$0.05

Apr 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:OSBC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	242	86	N/A	N/A	5
12/31/2025	238	84	N/A	N/A	6
12/31/2024	240	88	N/A	N/A	6
9/30/2024	264	84	124	137	N/A
6/30/2024	265	86	154	170	N/A
3/31/2024	268	89	115	129	N/A
12/31/2023	270	92	104	116	N/A
9/30/2023	279	97	115	125	N/A
6/30/2023	272	92	70	76	N/A
3/31/2023	256	79	126	132	N/A
12/31/2022	243	67	93	97	N/A
9/30/2022	198	35	37	40	N/A
6/30/2022	169	24	31	34	N/A
3/31/2022	149	20	14	16	N/A
12/31/2021	132	20	29	31	N/A
9/30/2021	137	37	58	60	N/A
6/30/2021	138	39	27	30	N/A
3/31/2021	136	39	29	32	N/A
12/31/2020	119	28	22	26	N/A
9/30/2020	118	29	27	32	N/A
6/30/2020	120	31	29	34	N/A
3/31/2020	121	31	44	49	N/A
12/31/2019	130	39	48	53	N/A
9/30/2019	129	39	50	52	N/A
6/30/2019	124	36	65	67	N/A
3/31/2019	123	33	56	58	N/A
12/31/2018	120	34	53	55	N/A
9/30/2018	117	23	47	49	N/A
6/30/2018	112	21	N/A	30	N/A
3/31/2018	106	20	N/A	39	N/A
12/31/2017	103	15	N/A	37	N/A
9/30/2017	102	23	N/A	39	N/A
6/30/2017	97	18	N/A	54	N/A
3/31/2017	94	17	N/A	31	N/A
12/31/2016	91	16	N/A	27	N/A
9/30/2016	88	14	N/A	23	N/A
6/30/2016	89	15	N/A	22	N/A
3/31/2016	93	14	N/A	21	N/A
12/31/2015	92	14	N/A	21	N/A
9/30/2015	94	12	N/A	23	N/A
6/30/2015	95	10	N/A	21	N/A
3/31/2015	90	14	N/A	2	N/A
12/31/2014	90	12	N/A	-6	N/A
9/30/2014	86	9	N/A	1	N/A
6/30/2014	87	79	N/A	0	N/A
3/31/2014	89	73	N/A	28	N/A
12/31/2013	95	77	N/A	35	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: OSBC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

Earnings vs Market: OSBC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: OSBC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: OSBC's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: OSBC's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.8% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: OSBC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.1%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/24 21:36
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jeffrey Rulis	D.A. Davidson & Co.
null null	D.A. Davidson & Co.
Brian Martin	FIG Partners

Old Second Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$18.92

Price target increased by 7.8% to US$18.50

Price target decreased by 7.2% to US$17.17

Price target decreased by 11% to US$18.83

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 16%

Price target increased by 7.7% to US$20.90

Recent updates

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (NasdaqGS:OSBC) announces an Equity Buyback for $39.1 million worth of its shares.

Independent Director recently sold US$254k worth of stock

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Old Second Bancorp's (NASDAQ:OSBC) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.06

Third quarter dividend increased to US$0.06

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on November 4, 2024

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 16, 2024

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Independent Director recently sold US$496k worth of stock

Old Second Bancorp's (NASDAQ:OSBC) Dividend Will Be $0.05

Price target increased by 7.1% to US$18.92

Second quarter dividend of US$0.05 announced

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 17, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Vice Chairman of the Board recently sold US$299k worth of stock

Vice Chairman of the Board recently sold US$586k worth of stock

Vice Chairman of the Board recently sold US$586k worth of stock

Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ:OSBC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.05

Old Second Bancorp, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2024

First quarter dividend of US$0.05 announced

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Declares Dividend, Payable on May 6, 2024

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 17, 2024

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Old Second National Bank Appoints Steve Rankins as A Senior Vice President/Senior Managing Director in Commercial Banking Group

O2 Sponsor Finance Promotes Nick O’Brien to Senior Vice President

Here's Why We Think Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ:OSBC) Is Well Worth Watching

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Reports Net Charge–Offs for the Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2023

Third quarter dividend of US$0.05 announced

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on February 5, 2024

High number of new directors

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Announces Resignation of William Kane as Member of Board of Director

Old Second Bancorp's (NASDAQ:OSBC) Dividend Will Be $0.05

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend Payable on November 6, 2023

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 18, 2023

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Announces Resignation of James Tapscott as A Member of the Board of Directors

Price target increased by 7.8% to US$18.50

Old Second Bancorp's (NASDAQ:OSBC) Dividend Will Be $0.05

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

William Skoglund, A Member of the Board of Directors of Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Resigns from the Board

Price target decreased by 7.2% to US$17.17

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 19, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ:OSBC) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.05

Price target decreased by 11% to US$18.83

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 16%

Price target increased by 7.7% to US$20.90

Rainbows and Unicorns: Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:OSBC) Analysts Just Became A Lot More Optimistic

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ:OSBC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.05

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on February 6, 2023

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Jan 25, 2023

Independent Lead Director recently bought US$164k worth of stock

Price target increased to US$20.40

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Announces Resignation of Duane Suits as Member of Board, Effective November 8, 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on November 7, 2022

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 26, 2022

Old Second Bancorp Expects Big Gains From Higher Rates, Inflation

O2 Sponsor Finance provides senior secured credit facilities to support Prospect Partners' recapitalization of Blackwood Solutions