Heritage Commerce Corp's (NASDAQ:HTBK) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.13 per share on 20th of February. The dividend yield will be 5.4% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Heritage Commerce
Heritage Commerce's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much.
Heritage Commerce has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Heritage Commerce's payout ratio of 79% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
Looking forward, EPS is forecast to rise by 47.2% over the next 3 years. Analyst estimates also show the future payout ratio being 59% in the same 3 years which brings it into quite a comfortable range.
Heritage Commerce Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $0.16 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $0.52. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 13% per annum over that time. It is good to see that there has been strong dividend growth, and that there haven't been any cuts for a long time.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. It's not great to see that Heritage Commerce's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 5.3% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.
Our Thoughts On Heritage Commerce's Dividend
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. We can't deny that the payments have been very stable, but we are a little bit worried about the very high payout ratio. We don't think Heritage Commerce is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Given that earnings are not growing, the dividend does not look nearly so attractive. Businesses can change though, and we think it would make sense to see what analysts are forecasting for the company. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:HTBK
Heritage Commerce
Operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank of Commerce that provides various commercial and personal banking services to residents and the business/professional community in California.
Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.