FirstSun Capital Bancorp Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
FirstSun Capital Bancorp is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 54.2% and 34.6% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 22.8% per annum.
Key information
54.2%
Earnings growth rate
22.83%
EPS growth rate
| Banks earnings growth | 8.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 34.6% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 30 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
FSUN: Share Authorization And Non Voting Stock Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts kept their $46 price target for FirstSun Capital Bancorp unchanged, reflecting steady assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, with no new Street research prompting a shift in their view. What's in the News Stockholders approved an amendment to increase the number of authorized shares of FirstSun common stock at a special meeting held on February 27, 2026 (company filing).FSUN: Share Authorization And Non Voting Stock Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts maintained their $46.00 price target for FirstSun Capital Bancorp, with this steady view supported by consistent assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Stockholders approved an amendment to increase the number of authorized shares of FirstSun common stock at a special meeting held on February 27, 2026 (company filing).FSUN: Special Shareholder Meeting Will Shape Future Upside Potential
Analysts have reaffirmed their $46.00 price target on FirstSun Capital Bancorp, pointing to steady assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as support for keeping their outlook unchanged. What's in the News FirstSun Capital Bancorp reported net charge offs of $5,024,000 for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).FSUN: Earnings Path And Special Meeting Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their $46.00 price target for FirstSun Capital Bancorp broadly in line with prior views, reflecting only small tweaks to the discount rate, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions rather than a shift in the overall outlook. What's in the News FirstSun Capital Bancorp reported net charge offs of $5,024,000 for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).FSUN: Earnings Path And Acquisition Timeline Will Drive Upside Potential
Analysts now see fair value for FirstSun Capital Bancorp at $46.00, up from $43.25. This reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, alongside recent Street research that trimmed the Street price target to $42 and modestly reduced 2025/2026 EPS estimates tied to the planned First Foundation acquisition timeline.FirstSun: Questionable M&A And Credit Fears Limit Recovery Potential
Summary FirstSun Capital Bancorp shares have underperformed due to investor skepticism over its acquisition of First Foundation and rising credit concerns. FSUN's deal aims to use its strong capital to restructure FFWM's balance sheet, but aggressive synergy targets and limited cost overlap pose execution risks. Recent earnings showed elevated credit losses and low reserve coverage, raising concerns as FSUN depletes capital for the acquisition. Despite FSUN's low valuation, I rate the stock a 'Hold' due to questionable capital allocation and ongoing M&A and credit headwinds. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSun Belt And Southern California Expansion Will Ignite Future Potential
Expansion in high-growth regions and focus on relationship-based lending strengthen the bank's market position and support ongoing revenue growth.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 792 | 222 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 677 | 96 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 3/31/2026 | 404 | 96 | 66 | 73 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 395 | 98 | 104 | 111 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 384 | 89 | 88 | 96 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 381 | 89 | 87 | 94 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 374 | 87 | 94 | 100 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 359 | 76 | 96 | 101 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 348 | 83 | 131 | 137 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 343 | 86 | 103 | 108 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 342 | 90 | 123 | 127 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 354 | 104 | 121 | 125 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 358 | 104 | 137 | 139 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 359 | 105 | 127 | 129 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 342 | 78 | 104 | 107 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 313 | 59 | 95 | 97 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 295 | 43 | 70 | 73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 271 | 26 | 91 | 94 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 265 | 36 | 99 | 103 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 276 | 43 | 110 | 113 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 276 | 46 | 52 | 57 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 283 | 52 | 24 | 29 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 282 | 55 | 39 | 43 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 261 | 48 | -7 | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 192 | 21 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: FSUN's forecast earnings growth (54.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: FSUN's earnings (54.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: FSUN's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: FSUN's revenue (34.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: FSUN's revenue (34.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if FSUN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/25 01:46 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Analyst Sources
FirstSun Capital Bancorp is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher McGratty | Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods |
| Wood Lay | Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods |
| Matthew Clark | Piper Sandler Companies |