First Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

First Bancorp is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.9% and 9.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.6% in 3 years.

Key information

14.9%

Earnings growth rate

14.3%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	9.5%
Future return on equity	8.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	03 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

First Bancorp: Earnings To Grow But Stock Appears Overvalued

Dec 19

First Bancorp's (NASDAQ:FBNC) Dividend Will Be $0.22

Jun 18

Some Shareholders May Object To A Pay Rise For First Bancorp's (NASDAQ:FBNC) CEO This Year

Apr 26

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Passed With Ease

Mar 01

First Bancorp declares $0.22 dividend

Sep 15

First Bancorp upgraded to Overweight at Piper after YTD underperformance

Aug 18

First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To US$0.22

Feb 10

Here's Why I Think First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Dec 28

I Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Passed With Ease

Aug 11

First Bancorp declares $0.20 dividend

Jun 15

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:FBNC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	454	139	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2025	427	129	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2024	389	103	N/A	N/A	2
9/30/2024	363	102	141	144	N/A
6/30/2024	380	113	130	134	N/A
3/31/2024	384	113	69	75	N/A
12/31/2023	386	103	127	131	N/A
9/30/2023	385	112	140	145	N/A
6/30/2023	379	120	161	165	N/A
3/31/2023	374	127	163	167	N/A
12/31/2022	373	146	225	231	N/A
9/30/2022	358	118	206	210	N/A
6/30/2022	339	108	186	192	N/A
3/31/2022	322	101	206	212	N/A
12/31/2021	305	95	133	142	N/A
9/30/2021	299	108	122	134	N/A
6/30/2021	294	104	79	94	N/A
3/31/2021	277	91	59	74	N/A
12/31/2020	264	81	46	58	N/A
9/30/2020	259	78	42	52	N/A
6/30/2020	259	80	65	71	N/A
3/31/2020	270	87	44	48	N/A
12/31/2019	273	92	48	51	N/A
9/30/2019	273	95	49	56	N/A
6/30/2019	269	92	65	76	N/A
3/31/2019	267	91	47	58	N/A
12/31/2018	270	89	36	46	N/A
9/30/2018	269	80	52	60	N/A
6/30/2018	255	71	N/A	18	N/A
3/31/2018	239	59	N/A	32	N/A
12/31/2017	213	46	N/A	27	N/A
9/30/2017	188	40	N/A	0	N/A
6/30/2017	176	32	N/A	14	N/A
3/31/2017	162	28	N/A	22	N/A
12/31/2016	153	27	N/A	41	N/A
9/30/2016	150	26	N/A	37	N/A
6/30/2016	144	28	N/A	51	N/A
3/31/2016	140	26	N/A	54	N/A
12/31/2015	140	26	N/A	37	N/A
9/30/2015	137	27	N/A	42	N/A
6/30/2015	137	25	N/A	40	N/A
3/31/2015	138	25	N/A	37	N/A
12/31/2014	136	24	N/A	48	N/A
9/30/2014	135	23	N/A	68	N/A
6/30/2014	134	23	N/A	60	N/A
3/31/2014	134	22	N/A	69	N/A
12/31/2013	129	20	N/A	72	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FBNC's forecast earnings growth (14.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: FBNC's earnings (14.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FBNC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FBNC's revenue (9.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FBNC's revenue (9.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FBNC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/29 10:56
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

First Bancorp is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Paul Miller	FBR Capital Markets & Co.
Christopher Marinac	Janney Montgomery Scott LLC
Wood Lay	Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods

First Bancorp Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 8.4% to US$51.63

Price target increased by 9.5% to US$47.63

Price target increased by 13% to US$46.13

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Price target increased by 7.6% to US$37.13

Price target decreased by 8.4% to US$36.65

Recent updates

Third quarter dividend of US$0.22 announced

First Bancorp: Earnings To Grow But Stock Appears Overvalued

First Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend on Its Common Stock, Payable on January 25, 2025

Price target increased by 8.4% to US$51.63

Lead Independent Director recently sold US$274k worth of stock

Lead Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Price target increased by 9.5% to US$47.63

Price target increased by 13% to US$46.13

Independent Director recently sold US$869k worth of stock

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Second quarter dividend of US$0.22 announced

First Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend on Its Common Stock, Payable on October 25, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

First Bancorp Announces Retirement of Mason Y. Garrett as Board of Directors

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

First Bancorp's (NASDAQ:FBNC) Dividend Will Be $0.22

First quarter dividend of US$0.22 announced

First Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend on Its Common Stock, Payable on July 25, 2024

First Bancorp Announces Executive Changes

Some Shareholders May Object To A Pay Rise For First Bancorp's (NASDAQ:FBNC) CEO This Year

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

First Bancorp, Annual General Meeting, May 02, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share

First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.22

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.22 announced

First Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on April 25, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Price target increased by 7.6% to US$37.13

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share at 2.4% yield

First Bancorp's (NASDAQ:FBNC) Dividend Will Be $0.22

First Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on January 25, 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share at 3.2% yield

First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.22

First Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend on Its Common Stock, Payable on October 25, 2023

Insider recently sold US$1.8m worth of stock

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target decreased by 8.4% to US$36.65

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share at 2.7% yield

First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.22

First Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on July 25, 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Price target decreased by 9.4% to US$40.55

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share at 2.5% yield

First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.22

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) Passed With Ease

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share

First Bancorp Announces Cash Dividend, Payable on January 25, 2023

Price target increased to US$50.00

Price target increased to US$50.00

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share

First Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on October 25, 2022

First Bancorp declares $0.22 dividend

First Bancorp upgraded to Overweight at Piper after YTD underperformance

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

First Bancorp (NasdaqGS:FBNC) entered in a definitive merger agreement to acquire GrandSouth Bancorporation (OTCPK:GRRB) for approximately $160 million.

Upcoming dividend of US$0.22 per share

First Bancorp Announces Cash Dividend, Payable on July 25, 2022

Chairman & CEO recently bought US$100k worth of stock