Stock Analysis

Auburn National Bancorporation (NASDAQ:AUBN) Is Increasing Its Dividend To US$0.27

NasdaqGM:AUBN
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Auburn National Bancorporation, Inc. (NASDAQ:AUBN) will increase its dividend on the 25th of March to US$0.27, which is 1.9% higher than last year. This makes the dividend yield 3.1%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Auburn National Bancorporation

Auburn National Bancorporation's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Auburn National Bancorporation's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 0.4% if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 47% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGM:AUBN Historic Dividend February 12th 2022

Auburn National Bancorporation Has A Solid Track Record

Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from US$0.80 to US$1.04. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 2.7% over that duration. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. However, Auburn National Bancorporation's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. Growth of 0.4% may indicate that the company has limited investment opportunity so it is returning its earnings to shareholders instead. While this isn't necessarily a negative, it definitely signals that dividend growth could be constrained in the future unless earnings start to pick up again.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Auburn National Bancorporation's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Now, if you want to look closer, it would be worth checking out our free research on Auburn National Bancorporation management tenure, salary, and performance. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.