Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V.

OTCPK:NMAK.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$252.2m

Nemak S. A. B. de C. V Valuation

Is NMAK.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NMAK.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NMAK.F ($0.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NMAK.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NMAK.F?

Key metric: As NMAK.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NMAK.F. This is calculated by dividing NMAK.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NMAK.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5x
EarningsUS$50.09m
Market CapUS$252.16m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NMAK.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NMAK.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
STRT Strattec Security
10.6x-19.3%US$166.2m
HLLY Holley
21.7x37.3%US$325.2m
CAAS China Automotive Systems
4.1xn/aUS$134.0m
AXL American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings
27.5x48.6%US$750.2m
NMAK.F Nemak S. A. B. de C. V
5x30.6%US$5.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NMAK.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the peer average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NMAK.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CDTI CDTi Advanced Materials
2.2xn/aUS$1.80m
No more companies available in this PE range
NMAK.F 5.0xIndustry Avg. 19.8xNo. of Companies3PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NMAK.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the US Auto Components industry average (19.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NMAK.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NMAK.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NMAK.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NMAK.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.086
US$0.33
+288.0%
41.8%US$0.55US$0.20n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
US$0.33
0%
41.8%US$0.55US$0.20n/a4
Oct ’25US$0.10
US$0.38
+272.9%
38.5%US$0.61US$0.25n/a4
Sep ’25US$0.12
US$0.38
+208.1%
38.5%US$0.61US$0.25n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
US$0.38
0%
38.5%US$0.61US$0.25n/a4
Jul ’25US$0.16
US$0.37
+131.5%
36.3%US$0.60US$0.25n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
US$0.41
0%
35.8%US$0.65US$0.28n/a4
May ’25US$0.18
US$0.39
+120.5%
35.6%US$0.64US$0.27n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
US$0.40
0%
33.4%US$0.64US$0.29n/a5
Mar ’25US$0.21
US$0.40
+88.6%
33.4%US$0.64US$0.29n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
US$0.40
0%
33.4%US$0.64US$0.29n/a5
Jan ’25US$0.24
US$0.39
+57.8%
32.3%US$0.64US$0.29n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.31
0%
15.8%US$0.41US$0.27n/a5
Nov ’24US$0.19
US$0.31
+64.3%
15.8%US$0.41US$0.27n/a5
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.40
0%
35.9%US$0.71US$0.31US$0.106
Sep ’24US$0.27
US$0.43
+59.6%
35.8%US$0.74US$0.32US$0.126
Aug ’24US$0.23
US$0.43
+82.3%
35.8%US$0.74US$0.32n/a6
Jul ’24US$0.23
US$0.41
+78.4%
35.1%US$0.70US$0.28US$0.166
Jun ’24US$0.23
US$0.41
+80.0%
35.1%US$0.70US$0.28n/a6
May ’24n/a
US$0.41
0%
34.0%US$0.69US$0.28US$0.186
Apr ’24US$0.25
US$0.41
+64.2%
34.0%US$0.70US$0.28n/a6
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.42
0%
32.2%US$0.68US$0.27US$0.216
Feb ’24US$0.32
US$0.41
+29.4%
30.9%US$0.66US$0.29n/a6
Jan ’24n/a
US$0.40
0%
30.9%US$0.64US$0.28US$0.246
Dec ’23US$0.23
US$0.40
+73.6%
30.9%US$0.64US$0.28n/a6
Nov ’23n/a
US$0.37
0%
31.7%US$0.62US$0.27US$0.196

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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